New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Is the U.S. Economy Facing a Recession? Insights for Hertz Global Holdings Employees and Retirees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider Information for Hertz Global Holdings Hertz Global Holdings typically utilizes the services of UnitedHealthcare. This relationship provides its employees with access to a range of healthcare options, including comprehensive medical coverage and health savings accounts to help manage rising healthcare costs. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, employees of Hertz Global Holdings should prepare for significant healthcare cost increases, driven primarily by sharply rising premiums in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace. Data indicates that some states may see premium hikes exceeding 60%, exacerbated by factors such as inflated medical costs and the potential expiration of federal premium subsidies. With more than 92% of ACA policyholders facing potential out-of-pocket increases of over 75%, these economic pressures could strain budgets and access to healthcare coverage for many Hertz employees in the upcoming year. Click here to learn more

The question of whether the U.S. economy is heading into a recession has become one of the most closely watched debates of 2026. GDP growth slowed sharply to just 0.7% annualized in Q4 2025, the weakest quarter in years, and the labor market shed 92,000 jobs in February 2026, missing expectations significantly. ¹ Major forecasting firms now place recession probabilities between 30% and 49%, driven by tariff-related uncertainty, softening consumer spending, and a rising unemployment rate. ² Yet no recession has been officially declared. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) has made no such determination, and early estimates for Q1 2026 suggest some economic stabilization.

For employees and retirees, understanding how a recession is officially measured, what the current data signals, and what it may mean for long-term retirement planning has rarely been more relevant.

Business Cycle Dating
U.S. recessions and expansions are officially measured and declared by the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a private nonpartisan organization that began dating business cycles in 1929. The committee, which was formed in 1978, includes eight economists who specialize in macroeconomic and business cycle research. ³ Understanding the metrics for recessions and expansions is important context for employees and retirees evaluating their financial plans.

The NBER defines a recession as 'a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and lasts more than a few months.' The committee looks at the big picture and makes exceptions as appropriate. For example, the economic decline of March and April 2020 was so extreme that it was declared a recession even though it lasted only two months. ⁴

To determine peaks and troughs of economic activity, the NBER committee studies a range of monthly economic data, with special emphasis on six indicators: personal income, consumer spending, wholesale-retail sales, industrial production, and two measures of employment. Because official data is typically reported with a delay of a month or two -- and patterns may be clear only in hindsight -- it generally takes some time before the committee can identify a peak or trough. Some short recessions (including the 2020 downturn) were over by the time they were officially announced.

A Mixed Labor Market
The labor market -- long a pillar of economic strength -- sent its clearest warning signal yet in February 2026, when the U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs, the first meaningful monthly decline since the COVID recovery era. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, up from a multi-decade low of 3.4% reached in April 2023 and the highest reading since early 2022. ⁸

In the 13 recessions since World War II (including the brief 2020 COVID recession), the unemployment rate has always risen, with a median increase of 3.5 percentage points. ¹¹ The current rise from 3.4% to 4.4% -- a 1.0 percentage point increase over 33 months -- is notable, though it remains well below recessionary norms. That said, direction matters: a prolonged upward trend in unemployment without a corresponding economic recovery is a pattern worth monitoring closely.

Slowing GDP Growth
The common shorthand definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative real gross domestic product (GDP) growth -- a threshold that has not been met. However, growth has slowed dramatically: real GDP grew at just 0.7% annualized in Q4 2025, down from 4.4% in Q3 2025. ¹² GDPNow projects a partial rebound to approximately 1.9% for Q1 2026, but professional forecasters expect only 1.8% growth for the full year 2026 -- well below the long-run trend.

Since 1948, the U.S. economy has never experienced two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth without the NBER declaring a recession -- though 2022 was an exception, as the NBER cited the unusually strong employment market. Whether 2026 requires a similar judgment call depends on how the data evolves over the coming months. ¹³

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The Tariff and Inflation Factor
The defining economic stress of 2026 is not a single shock but a combination of forces: tariff-driven cost increases, above-target inflation, and slowing growth. New tariffs represent the largest U.S. tax increase as a share of GDP since 1993, projecting an average household cost increase of approximately $1,500 per year and an additional 0.6% increase in consumer prices. ¹⁷ Business investment is projected to contract 6% due to trade policy uncertainty, and consumer spending growth is expected to slow to just 1.0% in 2026 -- a meaningful deceleration from recent years. ¹⁸ If that slowdown deepens, a recession becomes considerably more likely.

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark federal funds rate at 3.50%--3.75% at its March 2026 meeting, balancing inflation running above target (headline CPI at 2.67% year-over-year, core PCE at 3.06%) against a slowing economy. ¹⁹ The Fed may cut rates once or twice in the second half of 2026 if economic conditions warrant -- but with inflation still above the 2% target, its options are constrained.

No one has a crystal ball, and recession probabilities from major forecasters range widely -- Goldman Sachs puts the odds at 30%, JP Morgan at 35%, and Moody's Analytics at 49%. ²⁰ The NBER has not declared a recession, and a soft landing remains possible, particularly if trade tensions ease. If a mild downturn does arrive, it is worth remembering that recessions are generally short-lived, lasting an average of just 10 months since World War II. By contrast, economic expansions have lasted an average of more than five years. ²¹ To put it simply: The good times typically last longer than the bad.

Projections are based on current conditions, are subject to change, and may not come to pass.

1) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2026
2) Goldman Sachs Economic Research / JP Morgan Global Research, March 2026
3--5) National Bureau of Economic Research
6, 12, 15, 21) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Q4 2025 / Q1 2026
7) ISM Manufacturing PMI, March 2026
8--9, 17--18) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2026
10) Federal Reserve GDPNow / Atlanta Fed, March 2026
11) Wall Street Journal, February 2026
13--14) BEA / Yale Budget Lab, 2026
16) Moody's Analytics, March 2026
19) Federal Reserve Board, March 18, 2026
20) Goldman Sachs / JP Morgan / Moody's Analytics, March 2026

How does The Hertz Corporation's pension plan ensure that employees are fairly compensated for their years of service, and what specific criteria does The Hertz Corporation use to determine eligibility for benefits under the Account Balance Defined Benefit Pension Plan?

Fair Compensation for Years of Service: The Hertz Corporation's pension plan ensures employees are fairly compensated for their years of service by granting Compensation Credits as a percentage of eligible pay. Eligibility for benefits starts once employees have at least 1,000 Hours of Service in a 12-month period, ensuring that benefits are proportional to service time. Benefits become vested after three years of service, securing an employee’s accumulated benefits.

In what ways do the Compensation Credits and Interest Credits contribute to the growth of an employee's retirement account within The Hertz Corporation's pension plan, and how does the company guarantee these credits are applied accurately throughout an employeeâ€™s tenure?

Growth of Retirement Account: Within The Hertz Corporation's pension plan, Compensation Credits and Interest Credits contribute to the growth of an employee's retirement account. Compensation Credits are calculated as a percentage of the employee’s eligible pay, and Interest Credits grow the account balance annually based on a preset rate, ensuring a systematic increase in the retirement funds over an employee's tenure.

What are the implications of the freeze date on participation in The Hertz Corporation's pension plan, and how might this affect current employees who are considering their retirement options within the next few years?

Implications of Freeze Date: The freeze date impacts current employees by discontinuing the accrual of new Compensation Credits. Employees enrolled in the plan before the freeze date retain their accrued benefits, but no new benefits will be added post-freeze. This could influence current employees' decisions on retirement timing and financial planning.

How does The Hertz Corporation handle claims for pension benefits, and what processes are in place for employees to appeal denied claims according to the guidelines set out in the Account Balance Defined Benefit Pension Plan?

Claims for Pension Benefits: The Hertz Corporation handles claims for pension benefits through a detailed procedure where employees can file a claim with the Committee. If denied, the employee can appeal the decision. This process ensures that employees have a structured avenue for resolving disputes regarding their pension benefits.

Under what circumstances can an employee of The Hertz Corporation be considered fully vested, and how does vesting impact an employee's future retirement benefits?

Vesting and Impact on Retirement Benefits: Employees of The Hertz Corporation are considered fully vested in their pension benefits after three years of service, which secures their right to pension benefits accrued till that point. Vesting ensures that upon leaving the company, employees are entitled to their accumulated benefits, directly impacting their financial stability in retirement.

How do The Hertz Corporation's pension benefits compare to other companies in the industry, especially in terms of contribution percentages and payment options available upon retirement?

Comparison with Industry Standards: The pension benefits at The Hertz Corporation, which include both Compensation and Interest Credits, are competitive within the industry, particularly because the company covers the full cost of the plan. The option to receive benefits as a lump sum or an annuity upon retirement provides flexibility compared to other industry plans.

Can you explain the process and the timeline involved for receiving pension benefits after retirement from The Hertz Corporation, including any choices that the retiree must make regarding payout methods?

Receiving Pension Benefits Post-Retirement: The timeline and process for receiving pension benefits after retirement involve choosing a payout method (lump sum or annuity) and filing a claim. Benefits can start as early as age 55 for early retirement, or at the normal retirement age of 65, with the account continuing to accrue Interest Credits until the benefits commence.

What resources does The Hertz Corporation provide to employees looking to understand their rights and benefits under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), and how can this information assist employees in making informed retirement decisions?

Resources on ERISA Rights: The Hertz Corporation provides resources to help employees understand their rights under ERISA through its pension plan website and support center. This information helps employees make informed decisions about their retirement planning by clarifying their rights and benefits under the plan.

What procedures should an employee at The Hertz Corporation follow to update their personal information or beneficiary designations in their pension account, and why is it crucial to keep this information up to date?

Updating Personal Information: Employees at The Hertz Corporation are encouraged to update their personal and beneficiary information via the Hertz Pension Center website. Keeping information current is crucial for ensuring that all communications and benefits are correctly handled, especially for claims and beneficiary designations.

If employees of The Hertz Corporation have questions or require further information regarding the pension plan, what steps should they take to contact the company, and what information will they need to facilitate their inquiry?

Contacting for Further Information: For further inquiries about the pension plan, employees should contact the Hertz Pension Center. This center provides access to plan details and assistance for any additional information required by employees, ensuring transparency and accessibility in managing their retirement benefits.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Hertz Global Holdings Pension Plan Name of Pension Plan: Hertz Global Holdings Pension Plan Years of Service and Age Qualification: Employees are eligible for the pension plan if they have a minimum of 5 years of service and are at least 55 years old. Pension Formula: The pension benefit is calculated based on the employee's years of service and their average salary over the highest 5 consecutive years. Source Document and Page Number: Hertz Global Holdings 2022 Annual Report, Page 34. Hertz Global Holdings 401(k) Plan Name of 401(k) Plan: Hertz Global Holdings 401(k) Plan Eligibility: Employees are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan immediately upon hire. Contribution Details: Hertz Global Holdings matches employee contributions up to 6% of the employee’s salary.

Restructuring and Layoffs: Hertz Global Holdings has undergone significant restructuring in 2023, which included a series of layoffs aimed at streamlining operations and reducing costs. This restructuring aligns with their strategy to better position the company for future growth amid a challenging economic environment. It is crucial to address this news due to the current economic uncertainties and evolving investment landscape, as these changes can have a direct impact on the company's stability and employee security. Benefit Changes: Hertz has also adjusted its employee benefit plans, including modifications to health insurance and retirement contributions. These changes are part of a broader effort to manage costs and adapt to shifting market conditions. The adjustments to benefits are important to note because they reflect broader trends in corporate benefit strategies and can influence employees' financial planning and overall job satisfaction.

Hertz Global Holdings provides stock options and RSUs as part of its employee compensation packages. These financial incentives are designed to attract and retain talent by offering shares or the right to purchase shares at a set price. Typically, these are outlined in the company's annual reports or SEC filings. Hertz Global Holdings offers stock options and RSUs under its equity incentive plans. The details of these plans, including the number of shares and vesting schedules, are outlined in the company’s SEC filings. Employees in specific roles or levels may qualify for these benefits. Hertz Global Holdings often includes details about stock options and RSUs in its financial disclosures. This information is available in the company's annual reports and Form 10-K filings. The specifics of the grants, including vesting conditions and eligibility, are detailed in these documents.

Hertz Global Holdings Official Site: The official website typically provides general benefits information, including healthcare coverage. Key benefits include medical, dental, and vision insurance options. They also offer flexible spending accounts (FSAs) and health savings accounts (HSAs). Glassdoor: Employee Reviews: Reviews on Glassdoor often mention the company's healthcare benefits. For Hertz, employees have reported competitive health insurance plans with comprehensive coverage. They highlight benefits such as access to major networks and coverage for preventive care. Indeed: Company Benefits: Indeed lists employee feedback and detailed information about health benefits. Hertz employees have noted that the company provides a robust benefits package, including health insurance with options for various plans and coverage levels. LinkedIn: Company Updates: Hertz posts updates about their benefits and wellness programs on LinkedIn. Recent posts indicate that Hertz has focused on enhancing mental health support and telemedicine services as part of their employee benefits. Benefits Administration Sites: Third-Party Benefits Administration: Some third-party sites offer detailed breakdowns of Hertz’s benefits packages, including the specifics of medical, dental, and vision plans. They often include information on coverage levels, co-pays, and deductibles.