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Investing Insights for Equity Residential Employees: The Pros and Cons of Dollar-Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Contributions

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Healthcare Provider Update: Offers three medical plan options including UHC PPO and Surest, with 100% preventive care coverage. Employees also receive dental, vision, HSAs, FSAs, and wellness incentives 7. With ACA premiums rising and subsidies expiring, Equitys employer-sponsored plans may provide better value and predictability for employees. Click here to learn more

Table of Contents

The Value Series

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Given the current elevated market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics in our four-part series. As an employee or retiree of Equity Residential, who likely has little market analysis experience, we understand that the valuation process can seem confusing. However, we are here to tell you that the valuation process does not have to be complex to be successful. Simple valuation techniques such as the price-to-book ratio are generally easy to use and have been proven to be effective if utilized correctly.  Investors are often looking for ways for their clients to beat the market. If you're one of those investors, you may want to consider the following strategy that has been implemented by the investment greats. Some value investors have historically beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500, and many have successful track records spanning several decades to prove it. Equity Residential employees, it is important to be knowledgeable regarding tactics used by famous investors such as Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. The investment style implemented by these professionals focus on four metrics that characterize a value investment. These four metrics include the Price to Earnings Ratio, the Price to Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and the Price to Book Ratio. These metrics, as you will see, are strong indicators of undervalued security. If undervalued security is brought back to fair value then we would see positive returns on that security.  For Equity Residential employees, it is possible to utilize these metrics to better position yourself in the market for heightened returns. We will examine the effect of investing based off of certain characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated. Today, I want to end the four-part TRG Value Series with the granddaddy of metrics, the Price-to-Book value ratio (P/B).

What is Book Value?

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Book value is preferred by many value investors to cash flow and earnings metrics because it is more stable year-to-year whereas cash flow and earnings can vary greatly. This is an important property for those at Equity Residential to look out for due to the following reason: When a business at a cyclical trough with diminished cash flow and earnings might look expensive on the basis of price-to-cash flow or price-to-earnings, that same business may appear cheap on the basis of price-to-book value. This is because book value won’t fall much or at all in a downturn, and vice versa. Thus, the argument goes, the price-to-book value gives a more reliable picture of a company’s usual business performance, which Equity Residential employees can use to elevate their investment decisions and investment performance. Benjamin Graham popularized the indicator in his books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor”. Nobel Prize winner Eugene Fama and his research partner Kenneth French used the ratio in their three- and five-factor models to describe stock returns. Professor Joseph Piotroski uses the ratio as the only valuation measure in his F-Score methodology.

Testing

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We understand the importance of data driven research for Equity Residential employees and retirees. Set out below are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the book value-to-market equity (the inverse of the PB ratio) data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,175 firms in the sample (Carlisle-PB, P2). The value decile contained the 459 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 404 stocks with the lowest earnings yield.

 

 

The average size of the glamour stocks is $7.48 billion and the value stocks are $2.54 billion. (Note that the average is heavily skewed by the biggest companies. For context, the 3,175th company has a market capitalization today of $404 million, which is smaller than the average, but still investable for most investors). Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. When accounting for this backtest, Equity Residential employees may recognize how two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here, we can see that the value decile has comprehensively outperformed the glamour decile, returning 12.6 percent compounded (17.7 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.6 percent for the glamour decile (10.9 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PB, P3).

 

These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed earlier. Despite the irregularity, Equity Residential employees must be aware that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the book value return data begins in 1926. The difference is due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The impact of the crash is visible on the chart; it took twenty years for the value decile to fully recover. Equity Residential employees must also note how something similar has happened to the glamour decile since 2000; it hasn’t grown in 13 years. To make a comparison possible of the book value’s performance to the performance of earnings and cash flow over the same period, I also measured the returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951, the low P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 17.9 percent. Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.6 percent (Carlisle-PB, P5). These returns are approximately the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period.

 

 

In their study, they found that the quintile of the lowest P/E stocks significantly outperformed the high P/E quintile. The portfolio containing the lowest P/E stock returned 11.61% annualized compared to 4.83% for the highest P/E portfolio and 7.55% for the used universe of stocks. The graph below shows how the cumulative returns compare (it’s not even close). Equity Residential employees can utilize this information to avoid investing in underperforming assets and better predict economic trends that translate into higher ROI.

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Weighting

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It is important for employees and retirees of Equity Residential to understand how market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolios containing smaller stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful. The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability a trade will have a positive return. The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should apply to each investment. By utilizing the Kelly Weighting, investors employed or retiring from Equity Residential can have a better grasp of their exposure to each individual asset in their portfolio and make informed decisions regarding their asset allocation.

 

Equity Residential employees should also account for the equal weight return statistics for book value.  In the equal weight backtest, the value generated a 20.2 percent compounded return (27.3 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 6.3 percent compounded return (10.4 percent on average) (Carlisle-PB, P10). Since 1951 the equally weighted P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 25.4 percent (Carlisle-PB, P11).

 

 

 

 

Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 6.4 percent and an AAR of 10.8 percent. These returns are close to the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period. When accounting for this information, Equity Residential employees must recognize that the value portfolios outperformed because they bought more book value per dollar invested than the glamour portfolios: 4.57x on average versus 0.25x in the glamour portfolios (Carlisle-PB, P12). In the equal-weight portfolios, value has significantly outperformed glamour since 1999, beating it by an extraordinary 15.9 percent compounded, and 16.1 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PB, P13).

The Brandes Research Institute

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Because we understand just how important data-driven solutions are for our Equity Residential employees and retirees, we have provided another study, which discusses the P/CF ratio. In a Brandes Research Institute study, Exhibit 6 below illustrates the global all-cap findings across three price metrics.

 

 

 

 

The results confirmed a consistent value premium across all metrics. We will focus on the P/CF ratio and the outperformance in the decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks can be observed with the P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8).

About The Retirement Group    

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The Retirement Group is a nation-wide group of financial advisors who work together as a team.

 

We focus entirely on retirement planning and the design of retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees. Each representative of the group has been hand selected by The Retirement Group in select cities of the United States. Each advisor was selected based on their pension expertise, experience in financial planning, and portfolio construction knowledge.

TRG takes a teamwork approach in providing the best possible solutions for our clients’ concerns. The Team has a conservative investment philosophy and diversifies client portfolios with laddered bonds, CDs, mutual funds, ETFs, Annuities, Stocks and other investments to help achieve their goals. The team addresses Retirement, Pension, Tax, Asset Allocation, Estate, and Elder Care issues. This document utilizes various research tools and techniques. A variety of assumptions and judgmental elements are inevitably inherent in any attempt to estimate future results and, consequently, such results should be viewed as tentative estimations. Changes in the law, investment climate, interest rates, and personal circumstances will have profound effects on both the accuracy of our estimations and the suitability of our recommendations. The need for ongoing sensitivity to change and for constant re-examination and alteration of the plan is thus apparent.

Therefore, we encourage you to have your plan updated a few months before your potential retirement date as well as an annual review. It should be emphasized that neither The Retirement Group, LLC nor any of its employees can engage in the practice of law or accounting and that nothing in this document should be taken as an effort to do so. We look forward to working with tax and/or legal professionals you may select to discuss the relevant ramifications of our recommendations.

Throughout your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement through our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and regular updates. You may always reach us at (800) 900-5867.

Sources

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  1. What to do with an Early Retirement Ebook

  2. Social Security Ebook

  3. Lump Sum vs. Annuity Ebook

  4. 401(k) Rollover Strategies Ebook

  5. Closing the Retirement Gap Ebook

  6. Brandes Institute, The. “Value vs. Glamour: A Long-Term Worldwide Perspective”. 2014. < https://www.brandes.com/docs/default-source/brandes-institute/value-vs-glamour-worldwide-perspective>. 

  7.  Carlisle, Tobias. “Investing Using the Price-to-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Yield (Backtests 1951 to 2013)”. May 26, 2014. <http://greenbackd.com/2014/05/26/price-to-earnings-ratio-backtest-1951-to-2013/>.

  8. Causeway Capital. “The Compelling Case for Value Stocks”. 2018 https://www.causewaycap.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/201802-TheCompellingCaseforValue-1.pdf

  9. Research Affiliates. “To Win with ‘Smart Beta’, Ask if the Price is Right” September 7, 2016 < https://seekingalpha.com/article/4004564-win-smart-beta-ask-price-right>

  10. Tweedy Browne Company LLC. “What Has Worked in Investing: Studies of Investment Approaches and Characteristics Associated with Exceptional Returns.” 1992. <http://www.tweedy.com/resources/library_docs/papers/WhatHasWorkedFundVersionWeb.pdf>.

  11. Yuan, Vera. Guru Focus. “Earnings, Free Cash Flow, Book Value? Which Parameters Are Stock Prices Most Correlated To?”. August 2, 2013. < http://www.gurufocus.com/news/225255/earnings-free-cash-flow-book-value-which-parameters-are-stock-prices-most-correlated-to->.

  12. Fama and French Backtesting http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html

What are the eligibility requirements for employees to participate in the Equity-League Pension Plan, and how can they ensure compliance with these requirements to maximize their potential benefits during retirement?

Eligibility for the Equity-League Pension Plan: Employees become eligible to participate in the Pension Plan by working at least two weeks in covered employment during a 12-month period. To maximize benefits, employees should ensure they continue working in covered employment to accumulate Years of Vesting Service (YVS), which solidifies their entitlement to benefits even if they leave the industry​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

How do the contribution limits for the Equity-League 401(k) Plan compare to traditional IRAs, and what strategies can employees deploy to make the most of their contribution options as they approach retirement?

Contribution Limits Comparison: The Equity-League 401(k) Plan has higher contribution limits compared to traditional IRAs. Employees can contribute up to $19,000 annually (or $25,000 if over 50), while traditional IRAs are capped at $6,000 (or $7,000 for those over 50). By taking full advantage of catch-up contributions as they near retirement, employees can significantly boost their retirement savings​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

What approaches can participants in the Equity-League Pension Plan take to effectively manage their individual accounts, and how can they adjust their investment strategies based on changes in their employment status or retirement goals?

Managing Individual Accounts in the Pension Plan: Participants in the Equity-League 401(k) Plan can manage their accounts by selecting from various investment options, including age-based and equity funds. Adjusting investments based on career changes or retirement goals can help employees align their portfolios with their risk tolerance and retirement timeline​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

In what ways can employees of the Equity-League Pension Plan benefit from understanding the vesting schedule, and how can this knowledge impact their overall retirement planning and decision-making process?

Vesting Schedule: Understanding the vesting schedule is crucial for employees. Employees become vested by accumulating five YVS or by satisfying other vesting tests, such as the 25-year test. Once vested, employees secure their pension benefits, regardless of future employment changes​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

What are the tax implications for participants in the Equity-League Pension Trust Fund when taking distributions from their retirement accounts, and how can they optimize their withdrawals to minimize tax liabilities?

Tax Implications for Distributions: When taking distributions from their retirement accounts, employees may face a 10% penalty if withdrawals are made before age 59½. However, rolling over distributions into IRAs can help defer taxes. Employees should consult tax professionals to optimize withdrawals and minimize tax liabilities​(Equity-League_Pension_T…)​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

How can employees ensure that their beneficiary designations are current within the Equity-League Pension Plan, and what steps should they take in the event of a life change, such as marriage or divorce, to protect their intended beneficiaries?

Beneficiary Designations: It’s important for employees to keep beneficiary designations current. In the event of life changes such as marriage or divorce, updating these designations ensures intended beneficiaries receive the appropriate benefits. Employees can contact the Fund Office to make updates​(Equity-League_Pension_T…)​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

What resources are available for employees of the Equity-League Pension Trust Fund to educate themselves about their retirement rights under ERISA, and how can they utilize these resources to advocate for their interests effectively?

ERISA Resources for Employees: Employees are protected under ERISA, which guarantees certain rights regarding their retirement benefits. The Equity-League Pension Trust Fund provides resources such as the Summary Plan Description, and employees can access legal help if they believe their rights have been violated​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

How does the withdrawal process work for employees of the Equity-League Pension Plan, particularly in the context of normal retirement age and circumstances that may lead to early withdrawals?

Withdrawal Process: Employees can take withdrawals as early as age 60, but benefits will be reduced for each year prior to age 65. Early withdrawals may also incur penalties, so employees should consider the long-term financial impact before opting for early retirement​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

Given the significant assets under management in the Equity-League Pension Trust Fund, how do investment choices within the plan impact employees' potential retirement income, and what factors should be considered when selecting these investments?

Investment Choices: Investment options within the 401(k) Plan impact employees' retirement income. With 19 investment choices, including equity and fixed-income investments, participants should select funds that balance growth and risk, keeping in mind the potential long-term returns​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

What is the best way for employees to contact the Equity-League Pension Trust Fund for inquiries about their benefits or the retirement process, and what specific information should they be prepared to provide to facilitate a productive conversation?

Contacting the Fund for Inquiries: Employees can contact the Equity-League Pension Trust Fund by phone, email, or mail. When making inquiries, employees should provide personal details such as their participant ID and questions about specific benefits to ensure efficient assistance​(Equity-League_Pension_T…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Pension Plan Name: Equity Residential does not offer a traditional defined benefit pension plan. Instead, they focus on other retirement savings options. Years of Service and Age Qualification: Not applicable, as Equity Residential does not have a traditional pension plan. 401(k) Plan: 401(k) Plan Name: Equity Residential 401(k) Plan. Who Qualifies: Full-time employees are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan.
Restructuring and Layoffs: Equity Residential, a major player in the residential real estate sector, has recently undergone a restructuring phase aimed at optimizing operations and enhancing efficiency. This move comes in response to shifting market conditions and evolving tenant needs. As part of this restructuring, the company has streamlined its workforce to better align with its strategic objectives. While specific numbers of layoffs have not been disclosed, the company's focus has been on adapting to economic fluctuations and improving operational agility. It is crucial to monitor these developments due to the current economic environment, which includes challenges related to investment returns and regulatory changes impacting real estate. Understanding these adjustments can provide valuable insights into how real estate companies are navigating these complexities.
Equity Residential Stock Options and RSUs 2022 Equity Residential (EQR) offered both stock options and RSUs to its employees. The company typically uses EQR for stock options and RSU for Restricted Stock Units in its documentation. In 2022, employees at Equity Residential eligible for these benefits included senior executives and other key employees. 2023 In 2023, Equity Residential continued its practice of granting stock options and RSUs to select employees. The acronym EQR refers to stock options, while RSU denotes Restricted Stock Units within the company’s benefit structure. This year, the eligibility was similar to previous years, targeting executives and high-performing staff. 2024 For 2024, Equity Residential maintained its stock option and RSU programs with updates to the vesting schedules and grant sizes. Employees at Equity Residential can receive these benefits based on their role and performance, with EQR used for stock options and RSU for Restricted Stock Units. Eligibility remains focused on key positions and high contributors.
Equity Residential has been actively working on enhancing its employee healthcare benefits, particularly in the context of its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) initiatives. In 2023, the company emphasized its commitment to creating a supportive environment for its employees by expanding healthcare offerings that include comprehensive medical, dental, and vision plans. These benefits are designed to support the diverse needs of its workforce, reflecting the company's broader commitment to social responsibility and employee well-being. Equity Residential has also integrated wellness programs aimed at promoting physical and mental health, recognizing the importance of employee well-being in sustaining long-term business success.
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