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Investing Insights for General Dynamics Employees: The Pros and Cons of Dollar-Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Contributions

Healthcare Provider Update: For General Dynamics, the primary healthcare provider is UnitedHealthcare, which offers health insurance benefits to many employees and their families. Looking ahead to 2026, consumers are bracing for significant healthcare cost increases, particularly in the context of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). With insurers predicting record premium hikes, some states could see increases exceeding 60%, largely due to rising medical expenses and the potential expiration of enhanced federal subsidies that currently help millions of policyholders. Without these subsidies, it is projected that many individuals could experience a shocking 75% rise in out-of-pocket premiums, greatly impacting affordability and access to healthcare for millions across the nation. Click here to learn more

The Value Series

What is Book Value?

Testing

Weighting

The Brandes Research Institute

About The Retirement Group

Sources

The Value Series

Given the current elevated market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics in our four-part series. As an employee or retiree of General Dynamics, who likely has little market analysis experience, we understand that the valuation process can seem confusing. However, we are here to tell you that the valuation process does not have to be complex to be successful. Simple valuation techniques such as the price-to-book ratio are generally easy to use and have been proven to be effective if utilized correctly. Investors are often looking for ways for their clients to beat the market. If you're one of those investors, you may want to consider the following strategy that has been implemented by the investment greats. Some value investors have historically beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500, and many have successful track records spanning several decades to prove it. General Dynamics employees, it is important to be knowledgeable regarding tactics used by famous investors such as Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. The investment style implemented by these professionals focus on four metrics that characterize a value investment. These four metrics include the Price to Earnings Ratio, the Price to Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and the Price to Book Ratio. These metrics, as you will see, are strong indicators of undervalued security. If undervalued security is brought back to fair value then we would see positive returns on that security. For General Dynamics employees, it is possible to utilize these metrics to better position yourself in the market for heightened returns. We will examine the effect of investing based off of certain characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated. Today, I want to end the four-part TRG Value Series with the granddaddy of metrics, the Price-to-Book value ratio (P/B).

What is Book Value?

Book value is preferred by many value investors to cash flow and earnings metrics because it is more stable year-to-year whereas cash flow and earnings can vary greatly. This is an important property for those at General Dynamics to look out for due to the following reason: When a business at a cyclical trough with diminished cash flow and earnings might look expensive on the basis of price-to-cash flow or price-to-earnings, that same business may appear cheap on the basis of price-to-book value. This is because book value won’t fall much or at all in a downturn, and vice versa. Thus, the argument goes, the price-to-book value gives a more reliable picture of a company’s usual business performance, which General Dynamics employees can use to elevate their investment decisions and investment performance. Benjamin Graham popularized the indicator in his books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor”. Nobel Prize winner Eugene Fama and his research partner Kenneth French used the ratio in their three- and five-factor models to describe stock returns. Professor Joseph Piotroski uses the ratio as the only valuation measure in his F-Score methodology.

Testing

We understand the importance of data driven research for General Dynamics employees and retirees. Set out below are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the book value-to-market equity (the inverse of the PB ratio) data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,175 firms in the sample (Carlisle-PB, P2). The value decile contained the 459 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 404 stocks with the lowest earnings yield.

The average size of the glamour stocks is $7.48 billion and the value stocks are $2.54 billion. (Note that the average is heavily skewed by the biggest companies. For context, the 3,175th company has a market capitalization today of $404 million, which is smaller than the average, but still investable for most investors). Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. When accounting for this backtest, General Dynamics employees may recognize how two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here, we can see that the value decile has comprehensively outperformed the glamour decile, returning 12.6 percent compounded (17.7 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.6 percent for the glamour decile (10.9 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PB, P3).

These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed earlier. Despite the irregularity, General Dynamics employees must be aware that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the book value return data begins in 1926. The difference is due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The impact of the crash is visible on the chart; it took twenty years for the value decile to fully recover. General Dynamics employees must also note how something similar has happened to the glamour decile since 2000; it hasn’t grown in 13 years. To make a comparison possible of the book value’s performance to the performance of earnings and cash flow over the same period, I also measured the returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951, the low P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 17.9 percent. Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.6 percent (Carlisle-PB, P5). These returns are approximately the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period.

In their study, they found that the quintile of the lowest P/E stocks significantly outperformed the high P/E quintile. The portfolio containing the lowest P/E stock returned 11.61% annualized compared to 4.83% for the highest P/E portfolio and 7.55% for the used universe of stocks. The graph below shows how the cumulative returns compare (it’s not even close). General Dynamics employees can utilize this information to avoid investing in underperforming assets and better predict economic trends that translate into higher ROI.

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Weighting

It is important for employees and retirees of General Dynamics to understand how market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolios containing smaller stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful. The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability a trade will have a positive return. The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should apply to each investment. By utilizing the Kelly Weighting, investors employed or retiring from General Dynamics can have a better grasp of their exposure to each individual asset in their portfolio and make informed decisions regarding their asset allocation.

General Dynamics employees should also account for the equal weight return statistics for book value. In the equal weight backtest, the value generated a 20.2 percent compounded return (27.3 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 6.3 percent compounded return (10.4 percent on average) (Carlisle-PB, P10). Since 1951 the equally weighted P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 25.4 percent (Carlisle-PB, P11).

Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 6.4 percent and an AAR of 10.8 percent. These returns are close to the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period. When accounting for this information, General Dynamics employees must recognize that the value portfolios outperformed because they bought more book value per dollar invested than the glamour portfolios: 4.57x on average versus 0.25x in the glamour portfolios (Carlisle-PB, P12). In the equal-weight portfolios, value has significantly outperformed glamour since 1999, beating it by an extraordinary 15.9 percent compounded, and 16.1 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PB, P13).

The Brandes Research Institute

Because we understand just how important data-driven solutions are for our General Dynamics employees and retirees, we have provided another study, which discusses the P/CF ratio. In a Brandes Research Institute study, Exhibit 6 below illustrates the global all-cap findings across three price metrics.

The results confirmed a consistent value premium across all metrics. We will focus on the P/CF ratio and the outperformance in the decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks can be observed with the P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8).

About The Retirement Group

The Retirement Group is a nation-wide group of financial advisors who work together as a team.

We focus entirely on retirement planning and the design of retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees. Each representative of the group has been hand selected by The Retirement Group in select cities of the United States. Each advisor was selected based on their pension expertise, experience in financial planning, and portfolio construction knowledge.

TRG takes a teamwork approach in providing the best possible solutions for our clients’ concerns. The Team has a conservative investment philosophy and diversifies client portfolios with laddered bonds, CDs, mutual funds, ETFs, Annuities, Stocks and other investments to help achieve their goals. The team addresses Retirement, Pension, Tax, Asset Allocation, Estate, and Elder Care issues. This document utilizes various research tools and techniques. A variety of assumptions and judgmental elements are inevitably inherent in any attempt to estimate future results and, consequently, such results should be viewed as tentative estimations. Changes in the law, investment climate, interest rates, and personal circumstances will have profound effects on both the accuracy of our estimations and the suitability of our recommendations. The need for ongoing sensitivity to change and for constant re-examination and alteration of the plan is thus apparent.

Therefore, we encourage you to have your plan updated a few months before your potential retirement date as well as an annual review. It should be emphasized that neither The Retirement Group, LLC nor any of its employees can engage in the practice of law or accounting and that nothing in this document should be taken as an effort to do so. We look forward to working with tax and/or legal professionals you may select to discuss the relevant ramifications of our recommendations.

Throughout your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement through our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and regular updates. You may always reach us at (800) 900-5867.

Sources

What to do with an Early Retirement Ebook
Social Security Ebook
Lump Sum vs. Annuity Ebook
401(k) Rollover Strategies Ebook
Closing the Retirement Gap Ebook
Brandes Institute, The. “Value vs. Glamour: A Long-Term Worldwide Perspective”. 2014. < https://www.brandes.com/docs/default-source/brandes-institute/value-vs-glamour-worldwide-perspective>.
Carlisle, Tobias. “Investing Using the Price-to-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Yield (Backtests 1951 to 2013)”. May 26, 2014. <http://greenbackd.com/2014/05/26/price-to-earnings-ratio-backtest-1951-to-2013/>.
Causeway Capital. “The Compelling Case for Value Stocks”. 2018 https://www.causewaycap.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/201802-TheCompellingCaseforValue-1.pdf
Research Affiliates. “To Win with ‘Smart Beta’, Ask if the Price is Right” September 7, 2016 < https://seekingalpha.com/article/4004564-win-smart-beta-ask-price-right>
Tweedy Browne Company LLC. “What Has Worked in Investing: Studies of Investment Approaches and Characteristics Associated with Exceptional Returns.” 1992. <http://www.tweedy.com/resources/library_docs/papers/WhatHasWorkedFundVersionWeb.pdf>.
Yuan, Vera. Guru Focus. “Earnings, Free Cash Flow, Book Value? Which Parameters Are Stock Prices Most Correlated To?”. August 2, 2013. < http://www.gurufocus.com/news/225255/earnings-free-cash-flow-book-value-which-parameters-are-stock-prices-most-correlated-to->.
Fama and French Backtesting http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html

How does General Dynamics Corporation ensure that employees understand their eligibility for retirement benefits under the General Dynamics retirement plan? What resources are available to help employees navigate the complexities of the plan, and how does the company assist employees in applying for these benefits?

General Dynamics Corporation ensures that employees understand their eligibility for retirement benefits under the General Dynamics retirement plan by providing detailed plan documents and resources such as the General Dynamics Service Center. This center assists employees in navigating the complexities of the retirement plan and in applying for benefits. Employees can contact the service center for further guidance through the phone number and website provided in the retirement plan documentation(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

In what ways does the structure of the retirement plan at General Dynamics Corporation accommodate long-term employees who may be considering early retirement? Can you detail the benefits available to these employees and the processes they must follow to access these benefits?

The General Dynamics retirement plan accommodates long-term employees considering early retirement by allowing retirement after age 55 with 10 years of continuous service. These employees may receive reduced benefits to account for the extended payment period. The plan provides multiple benefit options, such as immediate commencement or deferral of payments until age 65. Employees must contact the service center to initiate the retirement process(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does General Dynamics Corporation define Continuous Service, and what impact does this definition have on an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits? Discuss the scenarios in which service may be interrupted and the implications of such interruptions on the retirement plan.

Continuous Service is defined as uninterrupted employment with General Dynamics or its subsidiaries. This is crucial in determining eligibility for retirement benefits. Breaks in service, such as leaves of absence or layoffs, can impact an employee's service. However, certain periods, such as military service, may not interrupt Continuous Service if specific conditions are met(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What are the financial implications for employees considering a transition from active employment to retirement at General Dynamics Corporation? Describe how the retirement plan initiatives are structured to provide financial security for retiring employees and any related considerations they should be aware of.

Financially, General Dynamics' retirement plan provides stability by incorporating a defined benefit structure that does not require employee contributions. The plan is designed to supplement other retirement income sources, such as Social Security and 401(k) plans. Employees should be mindful of the potential reduction of benefits if they opt for early retirement, as these reductions impact monthly payouts(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does the General Dynamics Corporation retirement plan compare with standard industry practices in terms of benefit offerings and eligibility criteria? Analyze how General Dynamics maintains competitiveness while ensuring the financial sustainability of the retirement plan.

Compared to industry standards, the General Dynamics retirement plan offers competitive benefit structures, including a defined benefit formula based on final average pay. The company maintains competitiveness while ensuring the sustainability of the plan by covering all associated costs and monitoring government regulations to avoid excessive liabilities(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What are the specific provisions of the General Dynamics retirement plan regarding death benefits for employees who pass away before retirement? Explain how beneficiaries are determined and what processes beneficiaries should follow to claim these benefits.

In the event of an employee’s death before retirement, the General Dynamics plan provides death benefits to surviving spouses. The benefit is typically structured as a lifetime monthly annuity, and the spouse may defer payments until the employee would have been eligible for retirement. Beneficiaries should contact the service center to initiate the claim process(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How does General Dynamics Corporation handle the situation for employees who experience a total disability prior to retirement? Detail the implications of this scenario on benefit accrual and eligibility for retirement benefits once the employee recovers.

If an employee experiences a total disability prior to retirement, the plan may suspend benefit accruals. The employee may still be eligible for retirement benefits once they recover, depending on their service history and the nature of the disability. The impact on their accrued benefits depends on the duration of the disability(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

In light of changes to IRS limits and regulations, how has General Dynamics Corporation adjusted its retirement plan offerings? Discuss the challenges and strategies the company employs to remain compliant while providing valuable retirement options to employees.

General Dynamics adjusts its retirement plan offerings in response to changes in IRS limits and regulations to remain compliant. The company uses strategies such as modifying contribution and benefit limits and providing employees with updated information on how these changes affect their retirement planning(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

What role does the General Dynamics Service Center play in the overall administration of retirement benefits? Evaluate the center's capacity to address employee inquiries and its effectiveness in communicating essential information regarding the retirement plan.

The General Dynamics Service Center plays a pivotal role in administering retirement benefits, answering employee inquiries, and guiding them through the process of applying for and receiving benefits. The center's resources, including online tools, help employees make informed decisions about their retirement(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

How can employees at General Dynamics Corporation contact the company to learn more about their retirement benefits? Provide the various channels available, including direct contacts and online resources, along with a brief overview of what employees can expect when seeking assistance.

Employees can contact General Dynamics to learn more about their retirement benefits through the General Dynamics Service Center at 1-888-GD-BENEFITS (1-888-432-3633) or by visiting www.gdbenefits.com. These resources provide employees with comprehensive support, from understanding eligibility to selecting benefit options(General_Dynamics_Corpor…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

General Dynamics provides RSUs and stock options to eligible employees.