Healthcare Provider Update: Offers medical, dental, drug, and optical plans, along with FSAs and wellness education programs 1. As ACA premiums rise and subsidies expire, Hawaiian Electrics comprehensive employer-sponsored benefits may help employees avoid the steep out-of-pocket increases expected in the individual market. Click here to learn more
We understand the importance of data driven research for Hawaiian Electric Industries employees and retirees. Set out below are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the book value-to-market equity (the inverse of the PB ratio) data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,175 firms in the sample (Carlisle-PB, P2). The value decile contained the 459 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 404 stocks with the lowest earnings yield.
The average size of the glamour stocks is $7.48 billion and the value stocks are $2.54 billion. (Note that the average is heavily skewed by the biggest companies. For context, the 3,175th company has a market capitalization today of $404 million, which is smaller than the average, but still investable for most investors). Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. When accounting for this backtest, Hawaiian Electric Industries employees may recognize how two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here, we can see that the value decile has comprehensively outperformed the glamour decile, returning 12.6 percent compounded (17.7 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.6 percent for the glamour decile (10.9 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PB, P3).
These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed earlier. Despite the irregularity, Hawaiian Electric Industries employees must be aware that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the book value return data begins in 1926. The difference is due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The impact of the crash is visible on the chart; it took twenty years for the value decile to fully recover. Hawaiian Electric Industries employees must also note how something similar has happened to the glamour decile since 2000; it hasn’t grown in 13 years. To make a comparison possible of the book value’s performance to the performance of earnings and cash flow over the same period, I also measured the returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951, the low P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 17.9 percent. Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.6 percent (Carlisle-PB, P5). These returns are approximately the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period.
In their study, they found that the quintile of the lowest P/E stocks significantly outperformed the high P/E quintile. The portfolio containing the lowest P/E stock returned 11.61% annualized compared to 4.83% for the highest P/E portfolio and 7.55% for the used universe of stocks. The graph below shows how the cumulative returns compare (it’s not even close). Hawaiian Electric Industries employees can utilize this information to avoid investing in underperforming assets and better predict economic trends that translate into higher ROI.
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It is important for employees and retirees of Hawaiian Electric Industries to understand how market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolios containing smaller stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful. The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability a trade will have a positive return. The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should apply to each investment. By utilizing the Kelly Weighting, investors employed or retiring from Hawaiian Electric Industries can have a better grasp of their exposure to each individual asset in their portfolio and make informed decisions regarding their asset allocation.
Hawaiian Electric Industries employees should also account for the equal weight return statistics for book value. In the equal weight backtest, the value generated a 20.2 percent compounded return (27.3 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 6.3 percent compounded return (10.4 percent on average) (Carlisle-PB, P10). Since 1951 the equally weighted P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 25.4 percent (Carlisle-PB, P11).
Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 6.4 percent and an AAR of 10.8 percent. These returns are close to the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period. When accounting for this information, Hawaiian Electric Industries employees must recognize that the value portfolios outperformed because they bought more book value per dollar invested than the glamour portfolios: 4.57x on average versus 0.25x in the glamour portfolios (Carlisle-PB, P12). In the equal-weight portfolios, value has significantly outperformed glamour since 1999, beating it by an extraordinary 15.9 percent compounded, and 16.1 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PB, P13).
Because we understand just how important data-driven solutions are for our Hawaiian Electric Industries employees and retirees, we have provided another study, which discusses the P/CF ratio. In a Brandes Research Institute study, Exhibit 6 below illustrates the global all-cap findings across three price metrics.
The results confirmed a consistent value premium across all metrics. We will focus on the P/CF ratio and the outperformance in the decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks can be observed with the P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8).
How does the recent benefit rate increase effective August 1, 2020, impact the overall retirement benefits for employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii? Employees need to understand how the increase from $34.92 to $35.92 per year of credited service translates into their calculated pension benefits, particularly those nearing retirement. Discussion on how these changes affect both current employees and potential retirees is crucial for informed decision-making regarding retirement timing and financial planning.
The recent benefit rate increase from $34.92 to $35.92 per year of credited service increases the maximum monthly retirement benefit to $1,257.20 for employees with 35 years of service. This change, effective August 1, 2020, means that employees retiring after that date will benefit from higher monthly pension payments. Those nearing retirement should factor in this increase when calculating their pension benefits, as it can significantly improve their financial security in retirement(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
What should employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii consider when applying for pension benefits under the new amendments to the plan? It is essential for employees to recognize what benefits may apply to them based on their work history and service years. A thorough understanding of how the amended plan provisions relate to their individual circumstances will enable them to make more beneficial choices regarding their retirement options.
Employees must consider how their years of service and the recent amendments, like the benefit rate increase, apply to their personal circumstances. Delaying retirement past August 1, 2020, may lead to higher pension payments. It’s crucial to consult the Trust Fund Office to understand how these changes affect individual benefit calculations and make informed retirement decisions based on their work history(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
In what ways do the new rules regarding the Required Minimum Distribution (RMD) affect employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii? Employees must grasp the nuances of the new RMD timeline, particularly how it has shifted from age 70-1/2 to 72, impacting their pension benefit distribution strategies. This updated rule introduces significant planning considerations for those continuing to work past age 70-1/2, including necessary adjustments to retirement timelines and financial sustainability.
The new RMD rules, effective January 1, 2020, have increased the age for required pension distributions from 70½ to 72. This change allows employees to delay their pension payouts until they reach age 72 or terminate employment, whichever comes later. Employees working beyond age 70½ will benefit from this change by postponing their required pension distributions without incurring IRS penalties(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
How does the cash lump-sum settlement option work for retirees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii who permanently reside in a foreign country? Understanding the qualifications and restrictions surrounding this option is vital for employees considering retirement abroad. Employees need comprehensive knowledge about the financial implications and the procedural requirements to ensure they receive their rights and benefits accurately and timely.
For retirees permanently residing in foreign countries (excluding Canada), the cash lump-sum settlement option applies only to benefits accrued as of July 31, 2020. Any benefits earned after that date must be paid as a monthly annuity. This adjustment ensures that retirees receive a portion of their pension as a lump sum, with the remainder being distributed monthly, depending on their post-retirement residence(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
What options do employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii have for starting their pensions while still working, especially if they are 70 or older? Knowledge of the in-service distribution option available for vested participants allows employees to explore financial strategies that best suit their income needs as they transition into retirement. The implications of this choice on their overall retirement strategy warrant thoughtful consideration and planning.
Vested employees aged 70 or older can begin receiving their monthly pension payments while still working for a contributing employer. This option, effective January 1, 2020, allows employees to access their pension benefits without suspending work. It provides flexibility for those wanting to supplement their income while continuing employment(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
What additional considerations should employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii be aware of when it comes to a One-Year Break in Service and its potential impact on their retirement benefits? Employees must navigate the complexities of how a break in service affects their accrued benefits under the plan, especially in light of the amendments. Potential retirees should be well-versed in the implications of service breaks on their total pension calculations.
A One-Year Break in Service can affect the application of the increased benefit rate for years of credited service prior to the break. Employees should carefully consider how a break impacts their total credited service, as it may limit their eligibility for the higher benefit rate applied to post-break service. Contacting the Trust Fund Office for guidance is advisable(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
How do employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii ensure they remain compliant with the new pension plan distribution requirements to avoid IRS penalties? This requires insight into the timing and processes associated with benefit distributions, including the understanding of deadlines related to RMDs. Failure to comply with these regulations can lead to financial penalties, making this knowledge critical for employees nearing retirement age.
Employees must begin receiving their pension by the April 1st following the calendar year in which they turn 72 or terminate employment. Understanding this timeline and following through with benefit applications in a timely manner is essential to avoid IRS penalties associated with delayed distributions(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
What steps can employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii take to optimize their retirement strategy given the recent changes in the pension plan? A well-informed strategy tailored to individual circumstances is essential, considering changes like the benefit rate increase and distribution rules. Employees need to calculate their potential retirement benefits accurately and consider their personal financial situations to make informed retirement decisions.
Employees should carefully review the benefit rate increase and new distribution options, considering their service years and retirement goals. Consulting with the Trust Fund Office to ensure accurate calculations and strategic timing for benefit applications can help employees maximize their retirement income(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
How can participants of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii Pension Plan stay informed about potential changes to their plan in the future? Ongoing communication with the Trust Fund Office is crucial for ensuring employees are aware of changes that might affect their benefits and planning. Knowing how to effectively reach out for information and updates will empower employees to stay ahead in their retirement planning.
Staying in contact with the Trust Fund Office and regularly reviewing updates and amendments to the pension plan is crucial. Employees should take advantage of communication channels such as phone consultations or email to remain informed about any changes that could affect their retirement planning(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
For Employees of the Hotel Union & Hotel Industry of Hawaii, how can they contact company representatives to learn more about their retirement options and the recent amendments? Understanding the best practices for reaching out to the Trust Fund Office for assistance reflects the company’s commitment to supporting employees during their retirement planning process. Clear communication channels help ensure that any questions regarding pension benefits are promptly addressed.
Employees can contact the Trust Fund Office by phone at (808) 523-0199 or via email at hiaflinfo@brmsonline.com during business hours. Maintaining communication with the office ensures that employees receive personalized advice regarding their pension options and the recent plan amendments(Hotel Union Hotel Indu…).
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