New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Investing Insights for Howmet Aerospace Employees: The Pros and Cons of Dollar-Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Contributions

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Howmet Aerospace Howmet Aerospace employees typically access healthcare services through a variety of insurance plans facilitated by their employer. Currently, major providers for companies like Howmet may include plans from national insurers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem (Elevance Health), and Cigna, although specific details may vary based on location and plan offerings. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, Howmet Aerospace employees, like many others across the nation, face significant concerns about rising healthcare costs. Health insurance premiums, particularly for Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace plans, are projected to surge, with some states expecting hikes exceeding 60%. This rise is attributed to higher medical costs, the expiration of enhanced federal premium subsidies, and aggressive rate increases from insurers, potentially leading to out-of-pocket premium costs that could soar by 75% for many policyholders. For Howmet employees, these changes could mean a drastic adjustment in their healthcare budgeting as they navigate an increasingly challenging insurance landscape. Click here to learn more

The Value Series

What is Book Value?

Testing

Weighting

The Brandes Research Institute

About The Retirement Group

Sources

The Value Series

Given the current elevated market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics in our four-part series. As an employee or retiree of Howmet Aerospace, who likely has little market analysis experience, we understand that the valuation process can seem confusing. However, we are here to tell you that the valuation process does not have to be complex to be successful. Simple valuation techniques such as the price-to-book ratio are generally easy to use and have been proven to be effective if utilized correctly. Investors are often looking for ways for their clients to beat the market. If you're one of those investors, you may want to consider the following strategy that has been implemented by the investment greats. Some value investors have historically beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500, and many have successful track records spanning several decades to prove it. Howmet Aerospace employees, it is important to be knowledgeable regarding tactics used by famous investors such as Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. The investment style implemented by these professionals focus on four metrics that characterize a value investment. These four metrics include the Price to Earnings Ratio, the Price to Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and the Price to Book Ratio. These metrics, as you will see, are strong indicators of undervalued security. If undervalued security is brought back to fair value then we would see positive returns on that security. For Howmet Aerospace employees, it is possible to utilize these metrics to better position yourself in the market for heightened returns. We will examine the effect of investing based off of certain characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated. Today, I want to end the four-part TRG Value Series with the granddaddy of metrics, the Price-to-Book value ratio (P/B).

What is Book Value?

Book value is preferred by many value investors to cash flow and earnings metrics because it is more stable year-to-year whereas cash flow and earnings can vary greatly. This is an important property for those at Howmet Aerospace to look out for due to the following reason: When a business at a cyclical trough with diminished cash flow and earnings might look expensive on the basis of price-to-cash flow or price-to-earnings, that same business may appear cheap on the basis of price-to-book value. This is because book value won’t fall much or at all in a downturn, and vice versa. Thus, the argument goes, the price-to-book value gives a more reliable picture of a company’s usual business performance, which Howmet Aerospace employees can use to elevate their investment decisions and investment performance. Benjamin Graham popularized the indicator in his books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor”. Nobel Prize winner Eugene Fama and his research partner Kenneth French used the ratio in their three- and five-factor models to describe stock returns. Professor Joseph Piotroski uses the ratio as the only valuation measure in his F-Score methodology.

Testing

We understand the importance of data driven research for Howmet Aerospace employees and retirees. Set out below are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the book value-to-market equity (the inverse of the PB ratio) data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,175 firms in the sample (Carlisle-PB, P2). The value decile contained the 459 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 404 stocks with the lowest earnings yield.

The average size of the glamour stocks is $7.48 billion and the value stocks are $2.54 billion. (Note that the average is heavily skewed by the biggest companies. For context, the 3,175th company has a market capitalization today of $404 million, which is smaller than the average, but still investable for most investors). Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. When accounting for this backtest, Howmet Aerospace employees may recognize how two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here, we can see that the value decile has comprehensively outperformed the glamour decile, returning 12.6 percent compounded (17.7 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.6 percent for the glamour decile (10.9 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PB, P3).

These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed earlier. Despite the irregularity, Howmet Aerospace employees must be aware that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the book value return data begins in 1926. The difference is due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The impact of the crash is visible on the chart; it took twenty years for the value decile to fully recover. Howmet Aerospace employees must also note how something similar has happened to the glamour decile since 2000; it hasn’t grown in 13 years. To make a comparison possible of the book value’s performance to the performance of earnings and cash flow over the same period, I also measured the returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951, the low P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 17.9 percent. Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.6 percent (Carlisle-PB, P5). These returns are approximately the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period.

In their study, they found that the quintile of the lowest P/E stocks significantly outperformed the high P/E quintile. The portfolio containing the lowest P/E stock returned 11.61% annualized compared to 4.83% for the highest P/E portfolio and 7.55% for the used universe of stocks. The graph below shows how the cumulative returns compare (it’s not even close). Howmet Aerospace employees can utilize this information to avoid investing in underperforming assets and better predict economic trends that translate into higher ROI.

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Weighting

It is important for employees and retirees of Howmet Aerospace to understand how market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolios containing smaller stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful. The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability a trade will have a positive return. The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should apply to each investment. By utilizing the Kelly Weighting, investors employed or retiring from Howmet Aerospace can have a better grasp of their exposure to each individual asset in their portfolio and make informed decisions regarding their asset allocation.

Howmet Aerospace employees should also account for the equal weight return statistics for book value. In the equal weight backtest, the value generated a 20.2 percent compounded return (27.3 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 6.3 percent compounded return (10.4 percent on average) (Carlisle-PB, P10). Since 1951 the equally weighted P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 25.4 percent (Carlisle-PB, P11).

Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 6.4 percent and an AAR of 10.8 percent. These returns are close to the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period. When accounting for this information, Howmet Aerospace employees must recognize that the value portfolios outperformed because they bought more book value per dollar invested than the glamour portfolios: 4.57x on average versus 0.25x in the glamour portfolios (Carlisle-PB, P12). In the equal-weight portfolios, value has significantly outperformed glamour since 1999, beating it by an extraordinary 15.9 percent compounded, and 16.1 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PB, P13).

The Brandes Research Institute

Because we understand just how important data-driven solutions are for our Howmet Aerospace employees and retirees, we have provided another study, which discusses the P/CF ratio. In a Brandes Research Institute study, Exhibit 6 below illustrates the global all-cap findings across three price metrics.

The results confirmed a consistent value premium across all metrics. We will focus on the P/CF ratio and the outperformance in the decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks can be observed with the P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8).

About The Retirement Group

The Retirement Group is a nation-wide group of financial advisors who work together as a team.

We focus entirely on retirement planning and the design of retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees. Each representative of the group has been hand selected by The Retirement Group in select cities of the United States. Each advisor was selected based on their pension expertise, experience in financial planning, and portfolio construction knowledge.

TRG takes a teamwork approach in providing the best possible solutions for our clients’ concerns. The Team has a conservative investment philosophy and diversifies client portfolios with laddered bonds, CDs, mutual funds, ETFs, Annuities, Stocks and other investments to help achieve their goals. The team addresses Retirement, Pension, Tax, Asset Allocation, Estate, and Elder Care issues. This document utilizes various research tools and techniques. A variety of assumptions and judgmental elements are inevitably inherent in any attempt to estimate future results and, consequently, such results should be viewed as tentative estimations. Changes in the law, investment climate, interest rates, and personal circumstances will have profound effects on both the accuracy of our estimations and the suitability of our recommendations. The need for ongoing sensitivity to change and for constant re-examination and alteration of the plan is thus apparent.

Therefore, we encourage you to have your plan updated a few months before your potential retirement date as well as an annual review. It should be emphasized that neither The Retirement Group, LLC nor any of its employees can engage in the practice of law or accounting and that nothing in this document should be taken as an effort to do so. We look forward to working with tax and/or legal professionals you may select to discuss the relevant ramifications of our recommendations.

Throughout your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement through our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and regular updates. You may always reach us at (800) 900-5867.

Sources

What to do with an Early Retirement Ebook
Social Security Ebook
Lump Sum vs. Annuity Ebook
401(k) Rollover Strategies Ebook
Closing the Retirement Gap Ebook
Brandes Institute, The. “Value vs. Glamour: A Long-Term Worldwide Perspective”. 2014. < https://www.brandes.com/docs/default-source/brandes-institute/value-vs-glamour-worldwide-perspective>.
Carlisle, Tobias. “Investing Using the Price-to-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Yield (Backtests 1951 to 2013)”. May 26, 2014. <http://greenbackd.com/2014/05/26/price-to-earnings-ratio-backtest-1951-to-2013/>.
Causeway Capital. “The Compelling Case for Value Stocks”. 2018 https://www.causewaycap.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/201802-TheCompellingCaseforValue-1.pdf
Research Affiliates. “To Win with ‘Smart Beta’, Ask if the Price is Right” September 7, 2016 < https://seekingalpha.com/article/4004564-win-smart-beta-ask-price-right>
Tweedy Browne Company LLC. “What Has Worked in Investing: Studies of Investment Approaches and Characteristics Associated with Exceptional Returns.” 1992. <http://www.tweedy.com/resources/library_docs/papers/WhatHasWorkedFundVersionWeb.pdf>.
Yuan, Vera. Guru Focus. “Earnings, Free Cash Flow, Book Value? Which Parameters Are Stock Prices Most Correlated To?”. August 2, 2013. < http://www.gurufocus.com/news/225255/earnings-free-cash-flow-book-value-which-parameters-are-stock-prices-most-correlated-to->.
Fama and French Backtesting http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html

How can Howmet Corporation employees ensure that they are maximizing their pension benefits under the Howmet Salaried Employees Pension Plan? Are there specific contributions or actions that could enhance their benefits over the years of their employment with Howmet Corporation?

Maximizing Pension Benefits: To maximize their pension benefits, Howmet Corporation employees should focus on accumulating years of service and ensuring they meet the eligibility criteria for the highest percentage of compensation credits under the pension plan. Employees should review their benefit statements regularly, especially considering how age and years of service affect their pension accrual. Consulting financial advisors or using Howmet's retirement planning tools can also aid in making strategic decisions about retirement timing and additional personal savings to complement their pension(Howmet Corporation_July…).

In what situations might employees at Howmet Corporation find themselves ineligible for pension plan benefits? What steps should they take, if they suspect they fall into such categories, to clarify their eligibility status?

Ineligibility for Pension Benefits: Employees at Howmet Corporation might be ineligible for pension benefits if they are not classified as salaried employees hired before January 1, 2002, or if they leave the company before accruing sufficient vesting service (three years or more). If employees believe they fall into a category of ineligibility, they should contact the plan administrator or consult HR to clarify their status, especially regarding vesting service(Howmet Corporation_July…).

Given the complexities of the Howmet Corporation Pension Plan, what resources are available for employees to understand their pension calculation, and how can they access such resources through Howmet Corporation?

Understanding Pension Calculation: Employees can access resources like the Your Benefits Resources (YBR) platform or call 1-888-ALCOA123 for assistance in calculating their pension benefits. These tools offer detailed projections and estimates based on individual account balances, years of service, and compensation, allowing employees to plan for retirement effectively(Howmet Corporation_July…).

With the elder workforce approaching retirement, how does the Howmet Corporation Pension Plan accommodate early retirees, and what factors should employees consider when deciding the optimal time to retire?

Early Retirement Considerations: The Howmet Corporation Pension Plan allows early retirement starting at age 55, with a reduced benefit. Employees should weigh the impact of reduced payments against their financial needs and Social Security options. Additionally, delaying retirement can increase benefits significantly. Employees should use the available calculators and consult financial advisors to determine the optimal retirement age(Howmet Corporation_July…).

What are the specific implications of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) limitations for Howmet Corporation employeesâ€™ pension benefits, and how might these changes affect future retirement planning?

IRS Limitations and Future Planning: IRS limitations affect pension benefits by capping the maximum benefit amount that can be received, which for defined benefit plans is subject to annual adjustments. Employees nearing high compensation levels should consider how these caps might limit their pension payouts and integrate personal savings strategies, such as 401(k)s or IRAs, into their overall retirement plan(Howmet Corporation_July…).

How does the Howmet Corporation Pension Plan protect employees' rights under ERISA, and what recourse exists for employees who believe their rights have been violated during the pension application process?

ERISA Protections: The Howmet Corporation Pension Plan is governed by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), ensuring that employees' rights are protected. If employees believe their rights have been violated during the pension application process, they can file a claim with the Benefits Management Committee and, if necessary, pursue an appeal or legal recourse under ERISA(Howmet Corporation_July…).

For Howmet Corporation employees planning their estates, how essential is it to name beneficiaries in the pension plan, and what process should they follow to ensure that their beneficiaries are correctly registered?

Naming Beneficiaries: It is essential for Howmet Corporation employees to name beneficiaries for their pension plan, especially to ensure that survivor benefits are properly allocated. Employees can update beneficiary information through the YBR platform or by submitting the appropriate forms to HR. Spousal consent is required if designating a non-spouse beneficiary(Howmet Corporation_July…).

Howmet Corporation employees often have questions regarding survivor benefits. What provisions does the Howmet Pension Plan have in place for surviving spouses, and how do these benefits differ based on the employee's marital status at retirement?

Survivor Benefits: The Howmet Pension Plan offers survivor benefits, which provide ongoing payments to a spouse or designated beneficiary. For married employees, the default option is a joint and survivor annuity, which ensures a percentage of benefits continues for the surviving spouse. Single employees can designate other beneficiaries, but should review their options carefully to ensure proper coverage(Howmet Corporation_July…).

What are the essential milestones employees of Howmet Corporation should be aware of regarding vesting service under the pension plan, and how does this vesting impact their eventual payout?

Vesting Milestones: Employees become vested in the Howmet Pension Plan after completing three years of service or reaching age 65. Once vested, employees have a right to receive pension benefits even if they leave the company before retirement age. Knowing these milestones helps ensure employees fully benefit from their time at Howmet(Howmet Corporation_July…).

If Howmet Corporation employees have further questions regarding their benefits as detailed in the document, what steps should they take to contact the plan administrator, and what information will they need to provide for personalized assistance?

Contacting the Plan Administrator: Employees with further questions about their pension benefits should contact the plan administrator through the YBR website or by calling 1-888-ALCOA123. Employees will need their Social Security number, date of birth, and user ID to access personalized assistance(Howmet Corporation_July…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Pension Plan Information: Name of Pension Plan: Howmet Aerospace Pension Plan Years of Service and Age Qualification: Employees typically need to have a minimum of 5 years of service to qualify for the pension plan. The plan is available to employees who are 21 years old or older. Pension Formula: The pension benefit is calculated based on a formula that considers years of service and average salary during the highest-paid years. Specifics can vary, so it’s best to refer to the plan document for precise details. 401k Plan Information: Name of 401k Plan: Howmet Aerospace 401(k) Plan Qualifications: Employees are eligible to participate in the 401(k) plan immediately upon hire. The plan includes company matching contributions based on employee contributions. Details of the Plan: The Howmet Aerospace 401(k) Plan offers a range of investment options, and employees can contribute up to the maximum limit set by the IRS.

Restructuring and Layoffs: In early 2024, Howmet Aerospace announced a restructuring plan aimed at improving operational efficiency. This plan included layoffs impacting approximately 2% of their workforce. The restructuring is part of their broader strategy to streamline operations and enhance profitability in a challenging economic environment. The importance of addressing this news lies in its impact on employees and the company's operational effectiveness amid current economic uncertainties.

Howmet Aerospace provides stock options and RSUs to eligible employees as part of their compensation package. For 2022, 2023, and 2024, the company offers these benefits to key employees, executives, and directors. Specific plans and eligibility criteria are outlined in their annual reports and proxy statements.

Healthcare Terms/Acronyms: HSA (Health Savings Account): Offers tax-advantaged savings for healthcare expenses. FSA (Flexible Spending Account): Allows employees to set aside pre-tax income for eligible expenses. HDHP (High Deductible Health Plan): A health plan with lower premiums and higher deductibles. Health Benefits Overview: Howmet Aerospace provides comprehensive health insurance options including medical, dental, and vision coverage. They offer both HSA and FSA options, alongside a range of wellness programs. Additional benefits include employee assistance programs and telemedicine services.