New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Investing Insights for Weyerhaeuser Employees: The Pros and Cons of Dollar-Cost Averaging vs. Lump-Sum Contributions

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Weyerhaeuser Weyerhaeuser's healthcare benefit plans are typically managed through a variety of providers, widely depending on the location and specific employee benefits outlined in their policy documentation. Generally, major national insurers such as UnitedHealthcare, Anthem, and Aetna are among those that may provide coverage options for employees. Health Care Cost Increases in 2026 As 2026 approaches, Weyerhaeuser employees could face significant increases in healthcare costs, driven largely by anticipated steep hikes in Affordable Care Act (ACA) premiums. With some states forecasting premium increases exceeding 60%, and without the renewal of federal premium subsidies, over 22 million individuals may see their out-of-pocket expenses surge by up to 75%. Additionally, rising medical costs-fueled by hospital, physician, and medication price inflation-could contribute to an overall healthcare cost rise of 8.5% for employers, prompting shifts in cost-sharing dynamics between employers and employees. As these challenges unfold, navigating healthcare options strategically will be essential for managing individual financial impacts. Click here to learn more

The Value Series

What is Book Value?

Testing

Weighting

The Brandes Research Institute

About The Retirement Group

Sources

The Value Series

Given the current elevated market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics in our four-part series. As an employee or retiree of Weyerhaeuser, who likely has little market analysis experience, we understand that the valuation process can seem confusing. However, we are here to tell you that the valuation process does not have to be complex to be successful. Simple valuation techniques such as the price-to-book ratio are generally easy to use and have been proven to be effective if utilized correctly. Investors are often looking for ways for their clients to beat the market. If you're one of those investors, you may want to consider the following strategy that has been implemented by the investment greats. Some value investors have historically beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500, and many have successful track records spanning several decades to prove it. Weyerhaeuser employees, it is important to be knowledgeable regarding tactics used by famous investors such as Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. The investment style implemented by these professionals focus on four metrics that characterize a value investment. These four metrics include the Price to Earnings Ratio, the Price to Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and the Price to Book Ratio. These metrics, as you will see, are strong indicators of undervalued security. If undervalued security is brought back to fair value then we would see positive returns on that security. For Weyerhaeuser employees, it is possible to utilize these metrics to better position yourself in the market for heightened returns. We will examine the effect of investing based off of certain characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated. Today, I want to end the four-part TRG Value Series with the granddaddy of metrics, the Price-to-Book value ratio (P/B).

What is Book Value?

Book value is preferred by many value investors to cash flow and earnings metrics because it is more stable year-to-year whereas cash flow and earnings can vary greatly. This is an important property for those at Weyerhaeuser to look out for due to the following reason: When a business at a cyclical trough with diminished cash flow and earnings might look expensive on the basis of price-to-cash flow or price-to-earnings, that same business may appear cheap on the basis of price-to-book value. This is because book value won’t fall much or at all in a downturn, and vice versa. Thus, the argument goes, the price-to-book value gives a more reliable picture of a company’s usual business performance, which Weyerhaeuser employees can use to elevate their investment decisions and investment performance. Benjamin Graham popularized the indicator in his books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor”. Nobel Prize winner Eugene Fama and his research partner Kenneth French used the ratio in their three- and five-factor models to describe stock returns. Professor Joseph Piotroski uses the ratio as the only valuation measure in his F-Score methodology.

Testing

We understand the importance of data driven research for Weyerhaeuser employees and retirees. Set out below are the results of two Fama and French backtests of the book value-to-market equity (the inverse of the PB ratio) data from 1926 to 2013. As of December 2013, there were 3,175 firms in the sample (Carlisle-PB, P2). The value decile contained the 459 stocks with the highest earnings yield, and the glamour decile contained the 404 stocks with the lowest earnings yield.

The average size of the glamour stocks is $7.48 billion and the value stocks are $2.54 billion. (Note that the average is heavily skewed by the biggest companies. For context, the 3,175th company has a market capitalization today of $404 million, which is smaller than the average, but still investable for most investors). Portfolios are formed on June 30 and rebalanced annually. When accounting for this backtest, Weyerhaeuser employees may recognize how two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, which means that bigger firms contribute more to the performance of the portfolio, and smaller firms contribute less. Here, we can see that the value decile has comprehensively outperformed the glamour decile, returning 12.6 percent compounded (17.7 percent in the average year) over the full period versus 8.6 percent for the glamour decile (10.9 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PB, P3).

These returns are considerably lower than the returns found for the price-to-earnings and cash-flow ratios discussed earlier. Despite the irregularity, Weyerhaeuser employees must be aware that the earnings and cash flow back tests ran back to only 1951, and the book value return data begins in 1926. The difference is due to the 1929 crash, which had an oversized impact on returns. The impact of the crash is visible on the chart; it took twenty years for the value decile to fully recover. Weyerhaeuser employees must also note how something similar has happened to the glamour decile since 2000; it hasn’t grown in 13 years. To make a comparison possible of the book value’s performance to the performance of earnings and cash flow over the same period, I also measured the returns beginning in 1951. Since 1951, the low P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 17.9 percent. Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 9.6 percent and an AAR of 12.6 percent (Carlisle-PB, P5). These returns are approximately the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period.

In their study, they found that the quintile of the lowest P/E stocks significantly outperformed the high P/E quintile. The portfolio containing the lowest P/E stock returned 11.61% annualized compared to 4.83% for the highest P/E portfolio and 7.55% for the used universe of stocks. The graph below shows how the cumulative returns compare (it’s not even close). Weyerhaeuser employees can utilize this information to avoid investing in underperforming assets and better predict economic trends that translate into higher ROI.

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Weighting

It is important for employees and retirees of Weyerhaeuser to understand how market capitalization-weighted returns are useful for demonstrating that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to the value portfolios containing smaller stocks. Unless you’re running an index (or hugging an index), they’re not really meaningful. The easiest portfolio weighting scheme is to simply equally weight each position. (If we’re prepared to put up with a little extra volatility for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is determined by the Kelly Criterion which is a formula used to determine what percentage of their capital should be used in each trade to maximize long-term growth. There are two key components to the formula (Kelly % = W- [(1 - W) / R]): the winning probability factor (W) and the win/loss ratio (R). The winning probability is the probability a trade will have a positive return. The win/loss ratio is equal to the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trading amounts. The result of the formula will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should apply to each investment. By utilizing the Kelly Weighting, investors employed or retiring from Weyerhaeuser can have a better grasp of their exposure to each individual asset in their portfolio and make informed decisions regarding their asset allocation.

Weyerhaeuser employees should also account for the equal weight return statistics for book value. In the equal weight backtest, the value generated a 20.2 percent compounded return (27.3 percent on average), beating out glamour’s 6.3 percent compounded return (10.4 percent on average) (Carlisle-PB, P10). Since 1951 the equally weighted P/B value decile has generated a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.0 percent and an average annual return (AAR) of 25.4 percent (Carlisle-PB, P11).

Over the same period, the glamour decile returned a CAGR of 6.4 percent and an AAR of 10.8 percent. These returns are close to the same as the returns generated by the low P/CF and P/E studies over the same period. When accounting for this information, Weyerhaeuser employees must recognize that the value portfolios outperformed because they bought more book value per dollar invested than the glamour portfolios: 4.57x on average versus 0.25x in the glamour portfolios (Carlisle-PB, P12). In the equal-weight portfolios, value has significantly outperformed glamour since 1999, beating it by an extraordinary 15.9 percent compounded, and 16.1 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PB, P13).

The Brandes Research Institute

Because we understand just how important data-driven solutions are for our Weyerhaeuser employees and retirees, we have provided another study, which discusses the P/CF ratio. In a Brandes Research Institute study, Exhibit 6 below illustrates the global all-cap findings across three price metrics.

The results confirmed a consistent value premium across all metrics. We will focus on the P/CF ratio and the outperformance in the decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks can be observed with the P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8).

About The Retirement Group

The Retirement Group is a nation-wide group of financial advisors who work together as a team.

We focus entirely on retirement planning and the design of retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees. Each representative of the group has been hand selected by The Retirement Group in select cities of the United States. Each advisor was selected based on their pension expertise, experience in financial planning, and portfolio construction knowledge.

TRG takes a teamwork approach in providing the best possible solutions for our clients’ concerns. The Team has a conservative investment philosophy and diversifies client portfolios with laddered bonds, CDs, mutual funds, ETFs, Annuities, Stocks and other investments to help achieve their goals. The team addresses Retirement, Pension, Tax, Asset Allocation, Estate, and Elder Care issues. This document utilizes various research tools and techniques. A variety of assumptions and judgmental elements are inevitably inherent in any attempt to estimate future results and, consequently, such results should be viewed as tentative estimations. Changes in the law, investment climate, interest rates, and personal circumstances will have profound effects on both the accuracy of our estimations and the suitability of our recommendations. The need for ongoing sensitivity to change and for constant re-examination and alteration of the plan is thus apparent.

Therefore, we encourage you to have your plan updated a few months before your potential retirement date as well as an annual review. It should be emphasized that neither The Retirement Group, LLC nor any of its employees can engage in the practice of law or accounting and that nothing in this document should be taken as an effort to do so. We look forward to working with tax and/or legal professionals you may select to discuss the relevant ramifications of our recommendations.

Throughout your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement through our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and regular updates. You may always reach us at (800) 900-5867.

Sources

What to do with an Early Retirement Ebook
Social Security Ebook
Lump Sum vs. Annuity Ebook
401(k) Rollover Strategies Ebook
Closing the Retirement Gap Ebook
Brandes Institute, The. “Value vs. Glamour: A Long-Term Worldwide Perspective”. 2014. < https://www.brandes.com/docs/default-source/brandes-institute/value-vs-glamour-worldwide-perspective>.
Carlisle, Tobias. “Investing Using the Price-to-Earnings Ratio and Earnings Yield (Backtests 1951 to 2013)”. May 26, 2014. <http://greenbackd.com/2014/05/26/price-to-earnings-ratio-backtest-1951-to-2013/>.
Causeway Capital. “The Compelling Case for Value Stocks”. 2018 https://www.causewaycap.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/201802-TheCompellingCaseforValue-1.pdf
Research Affiliates. “To Win with ‘Smart Beta’, Ask if the Price is Right” September 7, 2016 < https://seekingalpha.com/article/4004564-win-smart-beta-ask-price-right>
Tweedy Browne Company LLC. “What Has Worked in Investing: Studies of Investment Approaches and Characteristics Associated with Exceptional Returns.” 1992. <http://www.tweedy.com/resources/library_docs/papers/WhatHasWorkedFundVersionWeb.pdf>.
Yuan, Vera. Guru Focus. “Earnings, Free Cash Flow, Book Value? Which Parameters Are Stock Prices Most Correlated To?”. August 2, 2013. < http://www.gurufocus.com/news/225255/earnings-free-cash-flow-book-value-which-parameters-are-stock-prices-most-correlated-to->.
Fama and French Backtesting http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html

What are the specific eligibility criteria for employees to participate in the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan, and how do these criteria differ among salaried, non-union hourly, and union hourly employees? Understanding the nuanced eligibility requirements for the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan is vital for employees considering their future retirement options. These guidelines not only determine who can partake in the plan but also influence the pension benefits they may accrue. Additionally, it would be beneficial to explore how changes in employment statusâ€”such as termination or reduction of hoursâ€”impact continuous eligibility in the plan.

Eligibility Criteria: Participation in the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan depends on several factors, including whether an employee is salaried, non-union hourly, or union hourly. Salaried and non-union hourly employees accrue service until their employment ends, whereas union hourly employees' participation depends on collective bargaining agreements, with specific plan closure dates applicable at certain locations(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

Can you explain the process for calculating retirement benefits under the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan, and what factors might affect final benefit amounts? This question delves into the critical components utilized in determining the retirement benefits for employees at Weyerhaeuser Company. Various elements such as length of service, salary history, and any contribution caps set by the IRS can significantly shape what an employee ultimately receives. Itâ€™s essential for employees to grasp how these factors interplay and what they can do to optimize their benefits as they approach retirement.

Retirement Benefit Calculation: Retirement benefits under the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan are determined by a combination of vesting service and credited service. Vesting service establishes eligibility for benefits, while credited service calculates the benefit amount. Other factors, such as salary history, age at retirement, and IRS contribution limits, also affect the final benefit(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

What are the available options for beneficiaries under the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan, and what specific documentation is necessary for designating a beneficiary? Naming a beneficiary is a crucial aspect of financial planning within the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan. Employees must understand the rules surrounding beneficiary designations, especially in scenarios involving spouses and children. Furthermore, it is essential to explore the implications of these designations on peace of mind and financial security for the employeeâ€™s family.

Beneficiary Designation: Employees are required to designate a beneficiary for the pension plan, especially if they are married. If married, the spouse must be the primary beneficiary unless written consent is provided. Employees can name contingent beneficiaries if their spouse predeceases them, and these designations must be submitted on approved forms(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

In what ways can employees initiate the claims process if they believe there has been an error in their pension benefit calculations at Weyerhaeuser Company? This process encompasses several steps, starting with how to formally lodge a complaint about potential discrepancies in pension calculations. Clear communication channels within Weyerhaeuser's administrative structure must be succinctly outlined for employees. Additionally, understanding the implications of unresolved claims on their financial future adds depth to this inquiry.

Claims Process: If an employee believes there has been an error in their pension benefit calculation, they can file a claim in writing with the Weyerhaeuser Pension Service Center. The employee will receive a written decision within 90 days, with an additional 90-day extension if needed. If the claim is denied, the employee can appeal the decision(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

What kind of healthcare benefits is available to retirees from Weyerhaeuser Company, and how do these benefits interplay with the pensions under the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan? Examining the intersection of pension benefits with retiree healthcare provisions can reveal critical information for employees planning their post-retirement lives. Employees should understand what healthcare coverage entails and how it could affect their overall financial wellbeing once they transition into retirement.

How does Weyerhaeuser Company ensure compliance with the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) with respect to the administration of the Pension Plan? ERISA sets forth numerous regulations that govern employee benefits plans, and understanding how Weyerhaeuser adheres to these guidelines is important for employees. This inquiry should focus on specific practices that ensure transparency, equity, and protection for employees' pension rights under this federal law.

ERISA Compliance: Weyerhaeuser ensures compliance with ERISA by providing employees with the necessary documents, including summary plan descriptions and annual reports. ERISA also grants employees the right to obtain information about their benefits, including the Plan's funding status and eligibility requirements(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

What potential risks should employees be aware of when considering the termination of the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan, and what recourse do they have if this occurs? Understanding the risks associated with plan termination, including the financial impact on retirement savings, is crucial for employees. Furthermore, Weyerhaeuser's obligations in such a scenario and the options available to employeesâ€”whether itâ€™s transitioning to another plan or taking a lump-sum payoutâ€”should be addressed.

Plan Termination Risks: Employees should be aware that if Weyerhaeuser terminates the pension plan, their benefits may still be insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC). However, some benefits, such as recent increases or non-vested benefits, may not be fully covered by PBGC(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

What resources does Weyerhaeuser Company provide for employees to calculate their estimated benefits before retirement, and how can these estimates assist in retirement planning? Tools and resources offered by Weyerhaeuser to facilitate personal benefit calculations play a pivotal role in financial planning. Employees should know where to access these tools, which can provide insights into potential retirement income and underscore the importance of proactive planning.

Resources for Estimating Benefits: Weyerhaeuser provides tools and resources, such as benefit estimate calculators, through the Weyerhaeuser Pension Service Center. Employees are encouraged to use these tools to help with retirement planning, including understanding potential income and preparing for retirement(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

How can Weyerhaeuser employees effectively contact the Pension Service Center for detailed inquiries regarding their pension benefits or the claims process? Efficient communication with the Pension Service Center is vital for employees seeking clarification about their benefits. Detailing the various methods availableâ€”such as phone, mail, or onlineâ€”will ensure that employees can swiftly address their questions and concerns regarding the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan.

Contacting the Pension Service Center: Employees can contact the Weyerhaeuser Pension Service Center via phone at 866-288-2510 or online through the company's benefits portal. The service center provides assistance with benefit calculations, claims, and general inquiries about the pension plan(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).

What changes to the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan should employees be aware of that might affect their benefits or participation in the plan, and how are these communicated to employees? Awareness of any amendments to the pension plan is essential for employees to understand how their benefits may be influenced. Weyerhaeuser's approach to communicating these changes, whether through direct correspondence or public announcements, is key to ensuring that employees stay informed and can adapt their retirement planning accordingly.

Plan Changes: Employees will be notified of any material changes to the Weyerhaeuser Pension Plan through Summary of Material Modifications (SMM) documents. It is essential for employees to stay informed of these updates, as they can impact pension benefits and participation(Weyerhaeuser Company_Ef…).