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For Berkshire hathaway Employees: Understanding the Impact of a Strong Dollar on Your Retirement Planning

If you are employed at Berkshire hathaway, it is imperative to consider exchange rates as an opportunity to capitalize and better plan your finances. In late September 2022, the U.S. dollar hit a 20-year high in an index that measures its value against six major currencies: the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swedish krona, and the Swiss franc. At the same time, a broader inflation-adjusted index that captures a basket of 26 foreign currencies reached its highest level since 1985. Both indexes eased slightly but remained near their highs in October. ^1–2

Intuitively, it might seem that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy, but the effects are mixed in the context of other domestic and global pressures.

World Standard
Those employed by Berkshire hathaway should be aware that the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. About 40% of global financial transactions are executed in dollars, with or without U.S. involvement. ³ As such, foreign governments, global financial institutions, and multinational companies all hold dollars, providing a level of demand regardless of other forces.

Demand for the dollar tends to increase during difficult times as investors seek stability and security. Despite high inflation and recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains the strongest in the world. ⁴ Other countries are battling inflation, too, and the strong dollar is making their battles more difficult. The United States recovered more quickly from the pandemic recession, putting it in a better position to weather inflationary pressures. This information may be useful for those working for Berkshire hathaway as it may help you make decisions that better protect your assets.

Employees of Berkshire hathaway should keep in mind how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy to combat inflation by raising interest rates has driven demand for the dollar even higher because of the appealing rates on dollar-denominated assets such as U.S. Treasury securities. Some other central banks have begun to raise rates as well — to fight inflation and offer better yields on their own securities. But the strength of the U.S. economy allows the Fed to push rates higher and faster, which is likely to maintain the dollar's advantage for some time.

Exports and Imports
The strong dollar makes imported goods cheaper and exported goods more expensive. For those working for Berkshire hathaway, cheaper imports are generally good for consumers and for companies that use foreign-manufactured supplies, but they can undercut domestic sales by U.S. producers.

At the same time, the strong dollar effectively raises prices for goods that U.S. companies sell in foreign markets, making it more difficult to compete, and reducing the value of foreign purchases. Employees at Berkshire hathaway can take a U.S. company that sells 10,000 euros worth of goods as an example. The foreign buyer would receive less revenue when a euro buys fewer dollars. Some experts are concerned that the strong dollar will dampen the post-pandemic rebound in U.S. manufacturing. ⁵ More broadly, the ballooning trade deficit cuts into U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), which includes imports as a negative input and exports as a positive input.

Overseas Exposure
Generally, large multinational companies have the most exposure to risk from currency imbalances, and the stock market has shown signs of a shift from large companies — which have dominated the market since before the pandemic — to smaller companies that may be more nimble and less dependent on overseas sales. The S&P SmallCap 600 index has outperformed the S&P 500 index through late October; if the trend continues through the end of the year, it would be the first time since 2016 that small caps have eclipsed large caps. ⁶ The S&P MidCap 400 index has done even better. Despite that, those working for Berkshire hathaway must also account for how in the current bear market, better performance means lower losses; all three indexes have had double-digit losses through October 2022. ⁷

Global Pain
A weak currency can be a boon for a country by making its exports more competitive. But with the world economy weakening, other countries are not reaping those benefits, while paying more on debt and imported essentials such as food and fuel that are traded in dollars. Those working for Berkshire hathaway should consider how the Fed is focused on domestic concerns, but it is effectively exporting inflation while trying to control it at home, and global economic pain could ultimately spread to the U.S. economy. ⁸

Slowing the Dollar
In the near term, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may reduce domestic demand for foreign goods, reducing the trade deficit and weakening the dollar. The advance Q3 2022 GDP estimate showed the trade gap closing, but it's unclear if the trend will last. ⁹

In the longer term, as inflation eases in the United States, the Fed will likely take its foot off the gas pedal and ultimately bring rates down. Berkshire hathaway employees should understand how this would allow other central banks to catch up if they choose to do so, and would make foreign currencies and securities more appealing. Lower oil prices (denominated in dollars) and/or any reduction in world tensions — such as a slowdown in the Russia-Ukraine war — might also help reduce demand for dollars.

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The dynamics of these factors are complex, and it may take time for any of them to unfold. In the meantime, the strong dollar is a sign of U.S. economic strength, and it would not be wise to place too much emphasis on it for long-term investment decisions. However, this could be a great time for an overseas vacation.

U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid.

Berkshire hathaway employees should be aware of how all investments are subject to market volatility and loss of principal. Investing internationally carries additional risks such as differences in financial reporting, currency exchange risk, and economic and political risk unique to the specific country. This may result in greater share price volatility. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The value of a foreign investment, measured in U.S. dollars, could decrease because of unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities that is considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1) MarketWatch, October 19, 2022 (U.S. Dollar index)
2) Federal Reserve, 2022 (Real Broad Dollar index)
3, 8) The New York Times, September 26, 2022
4, 6) The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2022
5) The Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2022
7) S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2022
9) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022

How does the merger of the Johns Manville Employees Retirement Plan into the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan specifically affect the retirement benefits for current employees at Johns Manville? In what ways can eligible employees of Johns Manville leverage the benefits of this merger to maximize their retirement planning?

Impact of Merger on Current Employees' Retirement Benefits: The merger of the Johns Manville Employees Retirement Plan into the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan does not decrease the pension benefits previously earned by employees under their prior plans. Employees continue to receive the same benefits with the same payment options as provided by their prior plan. Any previous payment elections, beneficiary designations, and qualified domestic relations orders remain effective. This consolidation also maintains the insurance of pension benefits through the federal Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation.

What are the implications for employees of Johns Manville if they choose to retire early prior to their Normal Retirement Age? How do the specific conditions set forth in the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan guide early retirees from Johns Manville in making informed decisions regarding their benefit options?

Implications of Early Retirement: Employees of Johns Manville who choose to retire early, before their Normal Retirement Age, can still receive benefits. However, these benefits are adjusted based on the age of retirement. If an employee retires at 60, for instance, their monthly benefit payment from the plan will be reduced by a certain percentage for each month that the benefit payments start before the Normal Retirement Age. This reduction compensates for the longer period over which benefits are expected to be paid.

Given the unique characteristics of the Merged Plan, what should employees at Johns Manville consider when calculating their Average Final Salary, and how does this calculation impact their retirement benefits? Additionally, how is Covered Compensation factored into this adjustment, and what strategies can employees employ to ensure accurate calculations?

Calculation of Average Final Salary and Covered Compensation: When calculating the Average Final Salary for retirement benefits, it includes the highest-paid, five consecutive years out of the last ten years of employment. This calculation impacts the retirement benefits as it forms part of the formula used to determine the pension amount. Additionally, Covered Compensation, which refers to the average of the Social Security wage bases, is used to adjust portions of the salary in the benefits calculation, ensuring that the benefits align with national wage growth trends.

How can employees of Johns Manville navigate the various options available for retirement benefit payments outlined in the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan? What key points should Johns Manville employees consider regarding the selection of forms of payment and potential tax implications in retirement?

Navigating Retirement Benefit Payment Options: Employees of Johns Manville need to consider the form of payment for their retirement benefits, as different options can have different tax implications and affect monthly income. Options typically include lump sums, annuities, or a combination. Employees should consider their financial needs, tax situation, and life expectancy when choosing the form of payment. Consulting with a financial advisor could be beneficial.

For employees at Johns Manville, what steps should they take to stay informed about their accumulated service and benefit service credits, particularly in relation to the changes brought about by the merger into the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan? How do vested rights impact their eligibility for retirement benefits?

Staying Informed About Service Credits: To manage the transition and keep track of their service credits post-merger, Johns Manville employees should regularly review their service and benefit statements, maintain communication with the plan administrator, and attend any informational meetings or seminars offered by Berkshire Hathaway. Understanding how service credits are calculated and tracked ensures that employees can accurately plan for retirement.

What is the process for reemployment under the Terms of the Merged Plan for former employees of Johns Manville, and how can they ensure their accumulated benefit service is credited effectively upon rehire? What are the implications of this reemployment on their retirement benefits, particularly concerning their previous employment history?

Reemployment and Accumulated Benefits: Reemployed former employees of Johns Manville should verify how their accumulated benefits are treated upon their rehire. Generally, benefits accumulated during previous periods of employment will be credited upon rehire, but specific plan provisions should be consulted to confirm how reemployment affects accrued benefits and eligibility for additional benefits.

What do the terms of the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan dictate regarding disability retirement benefits for eligible employees at Johns Manville? How should employees approach the application process for disability benefits, and what criteria do they need to be aware of to qualify?

Disability Retirement Benefits: Eligible employees of Johns Manville who become disabled according to the terms of the plan may qualify for disability retirement benefits. The process involves a determination by the plan administrator, and employees must meet specific criteria outlined in the plan documents to qualify. Understanding these criteria and the required documentation is crucial for accessing disability benefits.

How can employees of Johns Manville ensure they have adequate protection for their beneficiaries under the retirement provisions outlined in the Berkshire Hathaway Consolidated Pension Plan? What specific steps can employees take to secure these benefits, and how can they keep their beneficiary designations updated?

Beneficiary Protections: Employees should regularly review and update their beneficiary designations to ensure that their retirement benefits are distributed according to their wishes upon their death. This includes making any necessary changes following life events such as marriage, divorce, or the birth of a child.

How does participation in the Merged Plan differ for salaried and hourly employees of Johns Manville, and what specific eligibility criteria apply to each group? How can understanding these differences improve retirement planning for employees across the different classifications?

Differences in Participation for Salaried and Hourly Employees: The eligibility and benefits might differ between salaried and hourly employees under the Merged Plan. Understanding these differences helps employees make informed decisions about their retirement planning and benefit utilization.

How can employees of Johns Manville contact the Local Benefits Administrator for assistance regarding their retirement benefits and the contents of their plan documents? What are the recommended methods of communication for inquiries or requests regarding their Merged Plan benefits?

Contacting Local Benefits Administrator: Employees should contact their Local Benefits Administrator for any inquiries or assistance regarding their retirement plan. Keeping the contact information updated and consulting the administrator for guidance on plan provisions and benefit claims is advised for navigating their retirement benefits effectively.