New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

For Lubrizol Employees: Understanding the Impact of a Strong Dollar on Your Retirement Planning

If you are employed at Lubrizol, it is imperative to consider exchange rates as an opportunity to capitalize and better plan your finances. In late September 2022, the U.S. dollar hit a 20-year high in an index that measures its value against six major currencies: the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swedish krona, and the Swiss franc. At the same time, a broader inflation-adjusted index that captures a basket of 26 foreign currencies reached its highest level since 1985. Both indexes eased slightly but remained near their highs in October. ^1–2

Intuitively, it might seem that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy, but the effects are mixed in the context of other domestic and global pressures.

World Standard
Those employed by Lubrizol should be aware that the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. About 40% of global financial transactions are executed in dollars, with or without U.S. involvement. ³ As such, foreign governments, global financial institutions, and multinational companies all hold dollars, providing a level of demand regardless of other forces.

Demand for the dollar tends to increase during difficult times as investors seek stability and security. Despite high inflation and recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains the strongest in the world. ⁴ Other countries are battling inflation, too, and the strong dollar is making their battles more difficult. The United States recovered more quickly from the pandemic recession, putting it in a better position to weather inflationary pressures. This information may be useful for those working for Lubrizol as it may help you make decisions that better protect your assets.

Employees of Lubrizol should keep in mind how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy to combat inflation by raising interest rates has driven demand for the dollar even higher because of the appealing rates on dollar-denominated assets such as U.S. Treasury securities. Some other central banks have begun to raise rates as well — to fight inflation and offer better yields on their own securities. But the strength of the U.S. economy allows the Fed to push rates higher and faster, which is likely to maintain the dollar's advantage for some time.

Exports and Imports
The strong dollar makes imported goods cheaper and exported goods more expensive. For those working for Lubrizol, cheaper imports are generally good for consumers and for companies that use foreign-manufactured supplies, but they can undercut domestic sales by U.S. producers.

At the same time, the strong dollar effectively raises prices for goods that U.S. companies sell in foreign markets, making it more difficult to compete, and reducing the value of foreign purchases. Employees at Lubrizol can take a U.S. company that sells 10,000 euros worth of goods as an example. The foreign buyer would receive less revenue when a euro buys fewer dollars. Some experts are concerned that the strong dollar will dampen the post-pandemic rebound in U.S. manufacturing. ⁵ More broadly, the ballooning trade deficit cuts into U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), which includes imports as a negative input and exports as a positive input.

Overseas Exposure
Generally, large multinational companies have the most exposure to risk from currency imbalances, and the stock market has shown signs of a shift from large companies — which have dominated the market since before the pandemic — to smaller companies that may be more nimble and less dependent on overseas sales. The S&P SmallCap 600 index has outperformed the S&P 500 index through late October; if the trend continues through the end of the year, it would be the first time since 2016 that small caps have eclipsed large caps. ⁶ The S&P MidCap 400 index has done even better. Despite that, those working for Lubrizol must also account for how in the current bear market, better performance means lower losses; all three indexes have had double-digit losses through October 2022. ⁷

Global Pain
A weak currency can be a boon for a country by making its exports more competitive. But with the world economy weakening, other countries are not reaping those benefits, while paying more on debt and imported essentials such as food and fuel that are traded in dollars. Those working for Lubrizol should consider how the Fed is focused on domestic concerns, but it is effectively exporting inflation while trying to control it at home, and global economic pain could ultimately spread to the U.S. economy. ⁸

Slowing the Dollar
In the near term, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may reduce domestic demand for foreign goods, reducing the trade deficit and weakening the dollar. The advance Q3 2022 GDP estimate showed the trade gap closing, but it's unclear if the trend will last. ⁹

In the longer term, as inflation eases in the United States, the Fed will likely take its foot off the gas pedal and ultimately bring rates down. Lubrizol employees should understand how this would allow other central banks to catch up if they choose to do so, and would make foreign currencies and securities more appealing. Lower oil prices (denominated in dollars) and/or any reduction in world tensions — such as a slowdown in the Russia-Ukraine war — might also help reduce demand for dollars.

Articles you may find interesting:

The dynamics of these factors are complex, and it may take time for any of them to unfold. In the meantime, the strong dollar is a sign of U.S. economic strength, and it would not be wise to place too much emphasis on it for long-term investment decisions. However, this could be a great time for an overseas vacation.

U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid.

Lubrizol employees should be aware of how all investments are subject to market volatility and loss of principal. Investing internationally carries additional risks such as differences in financial reporting, currency exchange risk, and economic and political risk unique to the specific country. This may result in greater share price volatility. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The value of a foreign investment, measured in U.S. dollars, could decrease because of unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities that is considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1) MarketWatch, October 19, 2022 (U.S. Dollar index)
2) Federal Reserve, 2022 (Real Broad Dollar index)
3, 8) The New York Times, September 26, 2022
4, 6) The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2022
5) The Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2022
7) S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2022
9) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022

What are the considerations Lubrizol employees should take into account when deciding between a monthly annuity payment and a one-time lump sum payment from the BHCPP Plan? How does each option affect their overall retirement strategy, particularly regarding tax implications and cash flow management?

Monthly Annuity vs. Lump Sum Payment: Lubrizol employees choosing between a monthly annuity and a lump sum payment should consider their personal financial needs, tax situation, and cash flow. The lump sum payment offers a one-time cash amount that can be invested or used immediately but could be subject to higher taxes if not rolled over properly. On the other hand, an annuity provides steady income for life, which may be beneficial for long-term cash flow management. Consulting a financial advisor is crucial to determine the best option based on individual circumstances(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

In what ways do early retirement age milestones affect the value of retirement benefits for Lubrizol employees? Specifically, how do the age thresholds of 55 and 62 impact the reduction of benefits, and what strategies can employees employ to maximize their benefits around these key ages?

Early Retirement Age Milestones: Retirement age milestones, particularly 55 and 62, play a significant role in determining benefit values. At age 55, employees with 10 years of service receive a partially subsidized early retirement benefit, reducing the financial penalty for early retirement. At age 62, employees qualify for a full early retirement subsidy, which significantly boosts benefit value. Employees should consider these age thresholds when planning their retirement strategy(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

How does the current interest rate environment influence the lump sum value offered to retiring Lubrizol employees? Can you elaborate on how employees can use the pension modeler to forecast the potential financial outcomes of their lump sum offer in relation to interest rate changes?

Interest Rates and Lump Sum Value: The lump sum value for Lubrizol retirees is heavily influenced by the Federal interest rates. As interest rates rise, lump sum payments decrease, and vice versa. Employees can use the pension modeler provided by Lubrizol to forecast how interest rate changes will affect their lump sum payment. This tool allows employees to simulate different scenarios based on their planned retirement dates and interest rate assumptions(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

What resources and tools does Lubrizol provide to help employees understand the implications of their retirement benefits? Additionally, how can employees utilize Empower's financial planning team to align their retirement savings and pension benefits with their long-term financial goals?

Resources for Retirement Planning: Lubrizol provides several resources to help employees understand their retirement benefits. These include the pension modeler, which simulates retirement scenarios, and access to Empower’s financial planning team. Employees can use these tools to align their retirement savings and pension benefits with long-term goals and gain a clearer picture of what retirement may look like(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

In the context of the BHCPP Plan, what are the steps Lubrizol employees should follow to ensure they receive the correct retirement kit and benefit calculation based on the upcoming interest rates? What are the key deadlines and documentation required for making an informed decision?

Steps for Accurate Retirement Kit and Benefit Calculation: To receive the correct retirement kit and benefit calculation, Lubrizol employees need to request a retirement kit from the BHCPP Pension Service Center before key deadlines. For example, those targeting a benefit commencement date of December 1, 2022, must request a kit by November 1, 2022. Using the pension modeler can also help employees estimate their lump sum based on upcoming interest rates(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

How do Lubrizol's retirement benefits integrate with Social Security and other personal savings an employee may have? What should employees consider when evaluating their total retirement package, and how can they effectively project their income in retirement?

Integration with Social Security and Other Savings: Lubrizol’s retirement benefits should be considered alongside Social Security and personal savings. Employees can model their total retirement income using Empower's tools, which include data from their pension and 401(k). It's essential for employees to project their income from all sources to ensure financial stability in retirement(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

How does the pension modeler work for Lubrizol employees, and what unique features does it offer to help in planning their retirement? Can you discuss specific scenarios that employees might model, such as varying retirement dates or different financial assumptions?

Pension Modeler for Retirement Planning: The pension modeler available to Lubrizol employees is a powerful tool that allows them to simulate different retirement scenarios, including varying retirement ages and financial assumptions. Employees can model up to three scenarios simultaneously, enabling them to make informed decisions about the timing of their retirement and the potential financial outcomes(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

What information should Lubrizol employees gather prior to consulting with personal financial planners or the Lubrizol-sponsored CFPs? How can being well-prepared enhance the quality of advice and strategies received during such consultations?

Preparation for Financial Planner Consultations: Prior to consulting with financial planners, Lubrizol employees should gather comprehensive details about their personal financial situation, including monthly income, savings, expenses, and retirement goals. Being well-prepared will enhance the quality of advice they receive and enable more effective retirement planning(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

Can you explain the impact of Federal interest rates on the calculation of lump sum payments for Lubrizol retirees? How frequently are these rates updated, and where can employees find the most recent data relevant to their retirement planning?

Impact of Federal Interest Rates on Lump Sum Payments: Federal interest rates, updated annually in October, significantly affect the calculation of lump sum payments for Lubrizol retirees. These rates are used to discount future annuity payments to present value. Employees can find the latest interest rate data on the IRS website or through Lubrizol’s pension modeler(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…)(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).

How can Lubrizol employees contact the BHCPP Pension Service Center for further assistance regarding their retirement benefits? What specific information should they have on hand to facilitate a productive conversation about their retirement options? These questions are designed to provide depth and complexity, encouraging detailed exploration and resources related to the retirement process for Lubrizol employees.

Contacting the BHCPP Pension Service Center: Lubrizol employees can contact the BHCPP Pension Service Center at 877-459-2403 for assistance with retirement benefits. To have a productive conversation, employees should have their retirement kit request details, planned retirement dates, and personal financial information readily available(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…)(Lubrizol_11_1_2022_Lump…).