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For Nationwide Employees: Understanding the Impact of a Strong Dollar on Your Retirement Planning

If you are employed at Nationwide, it is imperative to consider exchange rates as an opportunity to capitalize and better plan your finances. In late September 2022, the U.S. dollar hit a 20-year high in an index that measures its value against six major currencies: the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swedish krona, and the Swiss franc. At the same time, a broader inflation-adjusted index that captures a basket of 26 foreign currencies reached its highest level since 1985. Both indexes eased slightly but remained near their highs in October. ^1–2

Intuitively, it might seem that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy, but the effects are mixed in the context of other domestic and global pressures.

World Standard
Those employed by Nationwide should be aware that the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. About 40% of global financial transactions are executed in dollars, with or without U.S. involvement. ³ As such, foreign governments, global financial institutions, and multinational companies all hold dollars, providing a level of demand regardless of other forces.

Demand for the dollar tends to increase during difficult times as investors seek stability and security. Despite high inflation and recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains the strongest in the world. ⁴ Other countries are battling inflation, too, and the strong dollar is making their battles more difficult. The United States recovered more quickly from the pandemic recession, putting it in a better position to weather inflationary pressures. This information may be useful for those working for Nationwide as it may help you make decisions that better protect your assets.

Employees of Nationwide should keep in mind how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy to combat inflation by raising interest rates has driven demand for the dollar even higher because of the appealing rates on dollar-denominated assets such as U.S. Treasury securities. Some other central banks have begun to raise rates as well — to fight inflation and offer better yields on their own securities. But the strength of the U.S. economy allows the Fed to push rates higher and faster, which is likely to maintain the dollar's advantage for some time.

Exports and Imports
The strong dollar makes imported goods cheaper and exported goods more expensive. For those working for Nationwide, cheaper imports are generally good for consumers and for companies that use foreign-manufactured supplies, but they can undercut domestic sales by U.S. producers.

At the same time, the strong dollar effectively raises prices for goods that U.S. companies sell in foreign markets, making it more difficult to compete, and reducing the value of foreign purchases. Employees at Nationwide can take a U.S. company that sells 10,000 euros worth of goods as an example. The foreign buyer would receive less revenue when a euro buys fewer dollars. Some experts are concerned that the strong dollar will dampen the post-pandemic rebound in U.S. manufacturing. ⁵ More broadly, the ballooning trade deficit cuts into U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), which includes imports as a negative input and exports as a positive input.

Overseas Exposure
Generally, large multinational companies have the most exposure to risk from currency imbalances, and the stock market has shown signs of a shift from large companies — which have dominated the market since before the pandemic — to smaller companies that may be more nimble and less dependent on overseas sales. The S&P SmallCap 600 index has outperformed the S&P 500 index through late October; if the trend continues through the end of the year, it would be the first time since 2016 that small caps have eclipsed large caps. ⁶ The S&P MidCap 400 index has done even better. Despite that, those working for Nationwide must also account for how in the current bear market, better performance means lower losses; all three indexes have had double-digit losses through October 2022. ⁷

Global Pain
A weak currency can be a boon for a country by making its exports more competitive. But with the world economy weakening, other countries are not reaping those benefits, while paying more on debt and imported essentials such as food and fuel that are traded in dollars. Those working for Nationwide should consider how the Fed is focused on domestic concerns, but it is effectively exporting inflation while trying to control it at home, and global economic pain could ultimately spread to the U.S. economy. ⁸

Slowing the Dollar
In the near term, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may reduce domestic demand for foreign goods, reducing the trade deficit and weakening the dollar. The advance Q3 2022 GDP estimate showed the trade gap closing, but it's unclear if the trend will last. ⁹

In the longer term, as inflation eases in the United States, the Fed will likely take its foot off the gas pedal and ultimately bring rates down. Nationwide employees should understand how this would allow other central banks to catch up if they choose to do so, and would make foreign currencies and securities more appealing. Lower oil prices (denominated in dollars) and/or any reduction in world tensions — such as a slowdown in the Russia-Ukraine war — might also help reduce demand for dollars.

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The dynamics of these factors are complex, and it may take time for any of them to unfold. In the meantime, the strong dollar is a sign of U.S. economic strength, and it would not be wise to place too much emphasis on it for long-term investment decisions. However, this could be a great time for an overseas vacation.

U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid.

Nationwide employees should be aware of how all investments are subject to market volatility and loss of principal. Investing internationally carries additional risks such as differences in financial reporting, currency exchange risk, and economic and political risk unique to the specific country. This may result in greater share price volatility. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The value of a foreign investment, measured in U.S. dollars, could decrease because of unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities that is considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1) MarketWatch, October 19, 2022 (U.S. Dollar index)
2) Federal Reserve, 2022 (Real Broad Dollar index)
3, 8) The New York Times, September 26, 2022
4, 6) The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2022
5) The Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2022
7) S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2022
9) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022

What are the unique benefits provided by the Nationwide Retirement Plan that differentiate it from other retirement plans? How does Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company ensure the plan meets the regulatory requirements while still addressing the needs of its employees?

Unique Benefits of Nationwide Retirement Plan: Nationwide’s Retirement Plan provides both a Final Average Pay (FAP) Benefit and an Account Balance Benefit, which allows flexibility for employees hired at different times. The plan is qualified under Section 401(a) of the Internal Revenue Code, ensuring compliance with federal tax laws. Nationwide ensures regulatory compliance while addressing employee needs through ongoing contributions, actuarial evaluations, and options like lifetime income for retirees and survivors.

How can employee participation in the Nationwide Retirement Plan impact their overall retirement savings strategy? What role does the defined benefit pension plan play in conjunction with Social Security and personal savings for employees of Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company?

Employee Participation Impact: Participation in the Nationwide Retirement Plan enhances employees' overall retirement savings strategy by integrating Social Security, personal savings, and the defined benefit plan. The FAP benefit, based on final average compensation, works alongside Social Security to offer a stable income, while the Account Balance Benefit adds flexibility in retirement income options.

What options do employees of Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company have when they retire before the age of 55, and how do these options compare to those available for employees who retire after reaching that age? What factors influence the choices employees make regarding timing and type of benefit commencement?

Retirement Options Before and After Age 55: Employees retiring before age 55 can start receiving their benefits immediately, but they face early retirement reductions. Those retiring after age 55 may choose from more benefit options like annuities and receive higher, less-reduced payments. The choice to retire before or after age 55 depends on factors like financial need and health, and affects the timing and size of the benefit commencement(Nationwide Mutual Insur…).

In what ways does the structure of the benefit formulasâ€”Final Average Pay (FAP) Benefit and Account Balance Benefitâ€”affect the retirement income of employees at Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company? What are the implications for employees considering different retirement timings?

Effect of Benefit Formulas on Income: The FAP Benefit is based on Final Average Pay and Social Security coordination, offering a larger benefit for those with higher incomes, while the Account Balance Benefit is based on accumulated contributions and interest. The timing of retirement plays a crucial role in determining income, as early retirement results in reduced benefits, while late retirement allows for continued service accrual and potentially higher payouts.

How does the Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company address spousal benefits under the retirement plan, particularly regarding the Qualified Preretirement Survivor Annuity (QPSA)? What are the actions that employees need to take to ensure their spouses receive these benefits?

Spousal Benefits and QPSA: Nationwide offers a Qualified Preretirement Survivor Annuity (QPSA) to ensure that a spouse receives benefits if the participant dies before retirement. Employees must name their spouse as a beneficiary or obtain notarized consent if they wish to designate someone else. To ensure the spouse receives the QPSA, employees must take the appropriate legal steps outlined in the plan.

What steps must employees of Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company take to successfully file a claim for retirement benefits, and what is the timeframe for processing these claims? How does the company ensure that employees understand their rights under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA)?

Steps to File a Claim for Retirement Benefits: To file a claim, employees must notify the Nationwide Retirement Center at Fidelity and submit the required paperwork. Claims are typically processed within 60 days, and Nationwide ensures that employees understand their rights under ERISA through detailed communications and support from Fidelity Investments.

What are the situations that might cause delays or loss of benefits for employees retiring from Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company? How can employees proactively manage these risks to ensure they receive their entitled benefits?

Situations Leading to Delays or Loss of Benefits: Delays can occur if employees fail to submit necessary paperwork, keep their contact information updated, or if they are not vested at the time of severance. Employees should proactively manage these risks by completing forms timely and maintaining communication with the Plan Administrator to avoid disruptions in benefits.

Can employees at Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company alter their distribution choices after commencing their retirement benefits? What regulatory frameworks influence their ability to change benefit elections, and under what circumstances might these changes be permitted?

Changing Distribution Choices After Retirement: Once retirement benefits commence, changes to distribution elections are limited. For example, lump-sum payments and annuity selections are typically irrevocable after commencement, and spousal consent is required for certain changes. Federal regulations, such as IRS rules, further restrict post-retirement changes in benefit elections(Nationwide Mutual Insur…).

How does the Nationwide Mutual Insurance Company plan for automatic post-retirement benefit increases, and what factors determine the percentage increase? How do these increases impact the long-term financial security of retirees?

Post-Retirement Benefit Increases: Nationwide offers automatic post-retirement benefit increases for participants with service before 1996, with annual increases between 0% and 3% based on fund performance. These increases help to protect retirees’ long-term financial security by adjusting their pension income for inflation.

How can employees contact NDPERS for more information regarding their retirement options, and what specific resources are available for personalized assistance? Clear communication channels and support services are essential for helping employees navigate their retirement planning effectively with NDPERS.

Contacting the Nationwide Retirement Center: Employees can reach the Nationwide Retirement Center at Fidelity by calling 1-800-238-4015 for inquiries about their retirement plan. Fidelity provides detailed support, including benefit estimates, plan information, and assistance with filing claims and selecting benefit distribution options(Nationwide Mutual Insur…).