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For Oneok Employees: Understanding the Impact of a Strong Dollar on Your Retirement Planning

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If you are employed at Oneok, it is imperative to consider exchange rates as an opportunity to capitalize and better plan your finances. In late September 2022, the U.S. dollar hit a 20-year high in an index that measures its value against six major currencies: the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swedish krona, and the Swiss franc. At the same time, a broader inflation-adjusted index that captures a basket of 26 foreign currencies reached its highest level since 1985. Both indexes eased slightly but remained near their highs in October. ^1–2

Intuitively, it might seem that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy, but the effects are mixed in the context of other domestic and global pressures.

World Standard
Those employed by Oneok should be aware that the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. About 40% of global financial transactions are executed in dollars, with or without U.S. involvement. ³ As such, foreign governments, global financial institutions, and multinational companies all hold dollars, providing a level of demand regardless of other forces.

Demand for the dollar tends to increase during difficult times as investors seek stability and security. Despite high inflation and recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains the strongest in the world. ⁴ Other countries are battling inflation, too, and the strong dollar is making their battles more difficult. The United States recovered more quickly from the pandemic recession, putting it in a better position to weather inflationary pressures. This information may be useful for those working for Oneok as it may help you make decisions that better protect your assets.

Employees of Oneok should keep in mind how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy to combat inflation by raising interest rates has driven demand for the dollar even higher because of the appealing rates on dollar-denominated assets such as U.S. Treasury securities. Some other central banks have begun to raise rates as well — to fight inflation and offer better yields on their own securities. But the strength of the U.S. economy allows the Fed to push rates higher and faster, which is likely to maintain the dollar's advantage for some time.

Exports and Imports
The strong dollar makes imported goods cheaper and exported goods more expensive. For those working for Oneok, cheaper imports are generally good for consumers and for companies that use foreign-manufactured supplies, but they can undercut domestic sales by U.S. producers.

At the same time, the strong dollar effectively raises prices for goods that U.S. companies sell in foreign markets, making it more difficult to compete, and reducing the value of foreign purchases. Employees at Oneok can take a U.S. company that sells 10,000 euros worth of goods as an example. The foreign buyer would receive less revenue when a euro buys fewer dollars. Some experts are concerned that the strong dollar will dampen the post-pandemic rebound in U.S. manufacturing. ⁵ More broadly, the ballooning trade deficit cuts into U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), which includes imports as a negative input and exports as a positive input.

Overseas Exposure
Generally, large multinational companies have the most exposure to risk from currency imbalances, and the stock market has shown signs of a shift from large companies — which have dominated the market since before the pandemic — to smaller companies that may be more nimble and less dependent on overseas sales. The S&P SmallCap 600 index has outperformed the S&P 500 index through late October; if the trend continues through the end of the year, it would be the first time since 2016 that small caps have eclipsed large caps. ⁶ The S&P MidCap 400 index has done even better. Despite that, those working for Oneok must also account for how in the current bear market, better performance means lower losses; all three indexes have had double-digit losses through October 2022. ⁷

Global Pain
A weak currency can be a boon for a country by making its exports more competitive. But with the world economy weakening, other countries are not reaping those benefits, while paying more on debt and imported essentials such as food and fuel that are traded in dollars. Those working for Oneok should consider how the Fed is focused on domestic concerns, but it is effectively exporting inflation while trying to control it at home, and global economic pain could ultimately spread to the U.S. economy. ⁸

Slowing the Dollar
In the near term, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may reduce domestic demand for foreign goods, reducing the trade deficit and weakening the dollar. The advance Q3 2022 GDP estimate showed the trade gap closing, but it's unclear if the trend will last. ⁹

In the longer term, as inflation eases in the United States, the Fed will likely take its foot off the gas pedal and ultimately bring rates down. Oneok employees should understand how this would allow other central banks to catch up if they choose to do so, and would make foreign currencies and securities more appealing. Lower oil prices (denominated in dollars) and/or any reduction in world tensions — such as a slowdown in the Russia-Ukraine war — might also help reduce demand for dollars.

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The dynamics of these factors are complex, and it may take time for any of them to unfold. In the meantime, the strong dollar is a sign of U.S. economic strength, and it would not be wise to place too much emphasis on it for long-term investment decisions. However, this could be a great time for an overseas vacation.

U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid.

Oneok employees should be aware of how all investments are subject to market volatility and loss of principal. Investing internationally carries additional risks such as differences in financial reporting, currency exchange risk, and economic and political risk unique to the specific country. This may result in greater share price volatility. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The value of a foreign investment, measured in U.S. dollars, could decrease because of unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities that is considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1) MarketWatch, October 19, 2022 (U.S. Dollar index)
2) Federal Reserve, 2022 (Real Broad Dollar index)
3, 8) The New York Times, September 26, 2022
4, 6) The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2022
5) The Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2022
7) S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2022
9) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022

What specific factors does ONEOK, Inc. consider when determining an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits, and how do these factors align with commonly understood retirement planning principles in the context of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan?

Eligibility Factors: ONEOK, Inc. considers several factors when determining eligibility for its retirement plan, such as date of hire, age, and participation in certain programs like the Profit Sharing Plan. Employees must have been hired before January 1, 2005, and must meet the minimum age of 21 to be eligible(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). These factors align with common retirement planning principles, such as ensuring long-term employment and participation in benefit programs.

How does the structure of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan impact the financial planning strategies of employees who are nearing retirement age, particularly in relation to their final average earnings and years of credited service?

Plan Structure and Financial Planning: The ONEOK Retirement Plan uses a formula based on Final Average Earnings and Years of Credited Service. This structure impacts employees' financial planning, as it encourages maximizing years of service and optimizing earnings in the final years before retirement(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees nearing retirement should focus on maximizing both variables for a stronger financial outcome.

In what ways can changes to the IRS limits in 2024 affect the retirement planning of employees participating in the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan, and how can they adapt their strategies to accommodate these changes?

IRS Limits and Impact on Planning: Changes to IRS limits, such as increases in contribution caps or income thresholds, could affect employees’ ability to defer taxes and maximize savings(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees can adapt by adjusting their contributions to their 401(k) or other retirement accounts in line with new limits, ensuring they stay within allowable tax advantages.

For employees considering early retirement, what are the implications of selecting this option under the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan compared to waiting for normal retirement benefits, and what should they consider regarding potential reductions in benefits?

Early Retirement vs. Normal Retirement: Opting for early retirement under the ONEOK Plan can lead to a reduction in benefits, as payments are reduced based on the Early Retirement Benefit Reduction Schedule(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees should consider their financial needs and health before making this decision, as waiting until normal retirement age results in higher monthly benefits.

How does the process for applying for retirement benefits at ONEOK, Inc. work, and what specific documentation and timelines should employees be prepared to navigate in order to ensure a smooth transition into retirement?

Retirement Application Process: Employees must request a retirement estimate online or through HR, and submit retirement forms and documentation to initiate benefits(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Timely submission is key to ensure a smooth transition, and benefits usually begin the first of the month after retirement.

What options are available to employees of ONEOK, Inc. if they wish to change their designated beneficiaries in the retirement plan, and how can they ensure that these changes are executed properly?

Changing Beneficiaries: Employees can change their designated beneficiaries by submitting a pre-retirement death beneficiary form(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Spousal consent is required for changes that involve someone other than the spouse, and notarization is needed to ensure proper execution.

How does ONEOK, Inc. manage the investment of its retirement plan assets, and what guidelines are in place to ensure that participants' funds are invested prudently and in alignment with their retirement goals?

Investment Management: ONEOK manages its retirement plan assets in a trust, with investments overseen by plan fiduciaries following an investment policy(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). This policy ensures that funds are invested prudently, balancing risk and returns in alignment with participants' retirement goals.

In terms of employee rights under ERISA, what recourse do employees of ONEOK, Inc. have if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged or if they encounter issues when filing claims related to their retirement benefits?

ERISA Rights and Recourse: Employees have rights under ERISA, including the ability to file claims and appeals if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). If claims are denied, they can appeal and ultimately take legal action under Section 502(a) of ERISA if necessary.

What procedures does ONEOK, Inc. have in place for communicating changes to the retirement plan, and how can employees stay informed about updates that may affect their benefits or retirement planning?

Plan Updates and Communication: ONEOK communicates changes to its retirement plan through electronic and physical notices(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees are encouraged to stay updated by regularly reviewing these communications and contacting HR if they need clarification.

How can employees of ONEOK, Inc. reach out for additional information regarding the retirement plan, and what are the best practices for utilizing the resources available for retirement planning assistance?

Accessing Retirement Information: Employees can contact ONEOK HR Solutions or access the Employee Self-Service platform for detailed information about their retirement plan(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Best practices include regular consultations with HR to stay informed and plan effectively for retirement.