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For Vistra Employees: Understanding the Impact of a Strong Dollar on Your Retirement Planning

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If you are employed at Vistra, it is imperative to consider exchange rates as an opportunity to capitalize and better plan your finances. In late September 2022, the U.S. dollar hit a 20-year high in an index that measures its value against six major currencies: the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swedish krona, and the Swiss franc. At the same time, a broader inflation-adjusted index that captures a basket of 26 foreign currencies reached its highest level since 1985. Both indexes eased slightly but remained near their highs in October. ^1–2

Intuitively, it might seem that a strong dollar is good for the U.S. economy, but the effects are mixed in the context of other domestic and global pressures.

World Standard
Those employed by Vistra should be aware that the U.S. dollar is the world's reserve currency. About 40% of global financial transactions are executed in dollars, with or without U.S. involvement. ³ As such, foreign governments, global financial institutions, and multinational companies all hold dollars, providing a level of demand regardless of other forces.

Demand for the dollar tends to increase during difficult times as investors seek stability and security. Despite high inflation and recession predictions, the U.S. economy remains the strongest in the world. ⁴ Other countries are battling inflation, too, and the strong dollar is making their battles more difficult. The United States recovered more quickly from the pandemic recession, putting it in a better position to weather inflationary pressures. This information may be useful for those working for Vistra as it may help you make decisions that better protect your assets.

Employees of Vistra should keep in mind how the Federal Reserve's aggressive policy to combat inflation by raising interest rates has driven demand for the dollar even higher because of the appealing rates on dollar-denominated assets such as U.S. Treasury securities. Some other central banks have begun to raise rates as well — to fight inflation and offer better yields on their own securities. But the strength of the U.S. economy allows the Fed to push rates higher and faster, which is likely to maintain the dollar's advantage for some time.

Exports and Imports
The strong dollar makes imported goods cheaper and exported goods more expensive. For those working for Vistra, cheaper imports are generally good for consumers and for companies that use foreign-manufactured supplies, but they can undercut domestic sales by U.S. producers.

At the same time, the strong dollar effectively raises prices for goods that U.S. companies sell in foreign markets, making it more difficult to compete, and reducing the value of foreign purchases. Employees at Vistra can take a U.S. company that sells 10,000 euros worth of goods as an example. The foreign buyer would receive less revenue when a euro buys fewer dollars. Some experts are concerned that the strong dollar will dampen the post-pandemic rebound in U.S. manufacturing. ⁵ More broadly, the ballooning trade deficit cuts into U.S. gross domestic product (GDP), which includes imports as a negative input and exports as a positive input.

Overseas Exposure
Generally, large multinational companies have the most exposure to risk from currency imbalances, and the stock market has shown signs of a shift from large companies — which have dominated the market since before the pandemic — to smaller companies that may be more nimble and less dependent on overseas sales. The S&P SmallCap 600 index has outperformed the S&P 500 index through late October; if the trend continues through the end of the year, it would be the first time since 2016 that small caps have eclipsed large caps. ⁶ The S&P MidCap 400 index has done even better. Despite that, those working for Vistra must also account for how in the current bear market, better performance means lower losses; all three indexes have had double-digit losses through October 2022. ⁷

Global Pain
A weak currency can be a boon for a country by making its exports more competitive. But with the world economy weakening, other countries are not reaping those benefits, while paying more on debt and imported essentials such as food and fuel that are traded in dollars. Those working for Vistra should consider how the Fed is focused on domestic concerns, but it is effectively exporting inflation while trying to control it at home, and global economic pain could ultimately spread to the U.S. economy. ⁸

Slowing the Dollar
In the near term, the Fed's aggressive rate hikes may reduce domestic demand for foreign goods, reducing the trade deficit and weakening the dollar. The advance Q3 2022 GDP estimate showed the trade gap closing, but it's unclear if the trend will last. ⁹

In the longer term, as inflation eases in the United States, the Fed will likely take its foot off the gas pedal and ultimately bring rates down. Vistra employees should understand how this would allow other central banks to catch up if they choose to do so, and would make foreign currencies and securities more appealing. Lower oil prices (denominated in dollars) and/or any reduction in world tensions — such as a slowdown in the Russia-Ukraine war — might also help reduce demand for dollars.

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The dynamics of these factors are complex, and it may take time for any of them to unfold. In the meantime, the strong dollar is a sign of U.S. economic strength, and it would not be wise to place too much emphasis on it for long-term investment decisions. However, this could be a great time for an overseas vacation.

U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid.

Vistra employees should be aware of how all investments are subject to market volatility and loss of principal. Investing internationally carries additional risks such as differences in financial reporting, currency exchange risk, and economic and political risk unique to the specific country. This may result in greater share price volatility. Shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The value of a foreign investment, measured in U.S. dollars, could decrease because of unfavorable changes in currency exchange rates.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities that is considered to be representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1) MarketWatch, October 19, 2022 (U.S. Dollar index)
2) Federal Reserve, 2022 (Real Broad Dollar index)
3, 8) The New York Times, September 26, 2022
4, 6) The Wall Street Journal, October 17, 2022
5) The Wall Street Journal, October 9, 2022
7) S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2022
9) U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2022

How does the eligibility criteria for participation in the Vistra Operations Company pension plan differ for represented and non-represented employees? Specifically, what factors should an employee of Vistra Operations Company consider in understanding whether they qualify for the PRB Structure of the Plan based on their employment agreements and status?

Eligibility Criteria for Represented and Non-Represented Employees: The Vistra Operations Company pension plan has distinct eligibility criteria for represented and non-represented employees. Non-represented employees hired or rehired on or after January 1, 2019, are not eligible to participate in the plan, as their benefits were frozen effective December 31, 2018. Represented employees are subject to their collective bargaining agreements, and their participation may vary depending on the terms of those agreements(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

What steps should an employee at Vistra Operations Company take if they wish to contest a denial of benefits they believe they are entitled to under the plan? Please outline the procedures outlined in the document that the employees must follow to ensure their rights under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act are upheld.

Contesting a Denial of Benefits: Employees must file a written claim for benefits if they believe they were denied benefits under the plan. The plan administrator reviews the claim, and if it is denied, the employee has the right to request a review of the denial within 60 days. Employees can provide additional documentation and will receive a final decision within 60 to 120 days depending on circumstances. If the claim is denied after review, the employee has the right to file a civil action under ERISA(Vistra_Operations_Compa…)(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

For employees of Vistra Operations Company who are nearing retirement age, what options do they have concerning their pension benefits, and how can they make the most informed decision regarding the form of payment they choose? What factors specific to their circumstances and relation to the plan should they consider, such as marital status or previous employment benefits?

Options for Employees Nearing Retirement: Employees nearing retirement have several options for receiving their pension benefits, including single life annuity or joint and survivor annuity payments. Factors such as marital status, existing benefits, and personal financial circumstances will affect their decision. For instance, married employees may elect a joint and survivor annuity, which provides reduced monthly payments during their lifetime and continues to pay a portion to their spouse after their death(Vistra_Operations_Compa…)(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

In what ways does the Vistra Operations Company pension plan accommodate employees transitioning from another employer's retirement plan, particularly with frozen benefits under an acquired plan? Employees should consider how these changes could impact their retirement outcomes and what steps are needed to integrate these benefits.

Transitioning from Another Employer’s Retirement Plan: Employees who transition from another employer’s retirement plan, especially those whose benefits have been frozen under an acquired plan, may still be eligible for interest credits on their account balances. The plan allows these employees to continue receiving interest credits while their account remains in the plan, preserving the value of their retirement savings(Vistra_Operations_Compa…)(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

How can employees of Vistra Operations Company name a beneficiary in relation to their retirement benefits, and what specific requirements must be met to ensure that the designation is legally valid? Discuss the implications for both the employees and their chosen beneficiaries, including any necessary consents or notarizations.

Naming a Beneficiary: Employees can designate a beneficiary for their pension benefits, and if they are married, their spouse must provide notarized consent if they choose someone else as their beneficiary. It is important to update this information following life changes, such as marriage or divorce, to ensure benefits are distributed according to their wishes(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

What provisions are in place within the Vistra Operations Company pension plan for employees who become disabled before reaching retirement age? Employees should understand how disability benefits interact with their retirement benefits and what criteria they must meet to access these provisions.

Provisions for Disabled Employees: Employees who become disabled before reaching retirement age may still be eligible for 100% vesting in their pension benefits. The plan recognizes disability as a qualifying event for full vesting if the employee receives Social Security disability benefits(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

How does the annual interest crediting rate for defined benefit plans apply to employees of Vistra Operations Company, and what recent adjustments have been implemented that might affect their retirement savings? Review the specifics in relation to current economic indicators affecting these plans.

Annual Interest Crediting Rate: For defined benefit plans, the interest crediting rate is based on the 30-year Treasury securities rate, which can affect employees’ retirement savings. Represented employees may be subject to minimum interest credit rates depending on their collective bargaining agreements, while non-represented employees' interest credits continue even after benefits were frozen(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

What are the implications of being classified as a non-represented employee under the Viesta Operations Company pension plan, especially considering the plan was frozen for them starting January 1, 2019? Employees should evaluate how this classification impacts their retirement planning and options moving forward.

Impact of Being a Non-Represented Employee: Non-represented employees had their benefits frozen as of December 31, 2018. This freeze means they no longer accrue new benefits, but they may still receive interest credits on their existing frozen benefit. Employees in this classification should evaluate alternative retirement savings options moving forward(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

Could you explain the importance of the â€œnormal retirement ageâ€ and how it affects the pension benefits for participants in the Vistra Operations Company pension plan? Illustrate how this age plays a significant role in defining eligibility and benefit calculations.

Importance of "Normal Retirement Age": The normal retirement age under the plan is 65. This age is critical because it affects when employees become eligible for their full pension benefits without reduction, which plays a significant role in the calculation and payment of benefits(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).

What are the best ways for employees of Vistra Operations Company to contact the Plan Administrator to obtain additional information about their pension benefits and claims? Provide details on the resources available and the recommended channels for reaching out effectively, particularly regarding any changes in address or personal details affecting their benefits. These questions are designed to guide employees through the retirement process and help them navigate the specifics of their pension plan under Vistra Operations Company.

Contacting the Plan Administrator: Employees can contact the Vistra Pension Center for information regarding their pension benefits. They can reach the center at 1-855-568-4146 or online at http://ypr.aon.com/Vistra for assistance with questions or changes to their personal details(Vistra_Operations_Compa…)(Vistra_Operations_Compa…).