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Navigating Rising Medicare Costs: A University of Chicago Employee’s Guide

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“In light of projected Medicare Part B premium increases, University of Chicago employees should proactively adjust their retirement income projections and consult with a financial advisor to address rising health care expenses.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

“In anticipation of significant Medicare Part B premium hikes, University of Chicago employees would benefit from integrating health care cost projections into their retirement plans and seeking guidance from professional advisors on potential relief strategies.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

  1. The upcoming Medicare Part B premium increase and its impact on retirement budgets.

  2. How Medicare Part B is funded and how COLA adjustments compare to premium hikes.

  3. Strategic planning tips to help University of Chicago retirees manage rising health care costs.

There will soon be a significant shift in Medicare expenses that could affect your retirement budget. According to the 2025 Medicare Trustees Report, the average Part B premium will jump by 11.6%—rising from $185 in 2025 to $206.50 in 2026 1 —outpacing most Social Security cost of living adjustments (COLA) over the last decade. University of Chicago employees should begin factoring this increase into their long-term financial plans.

Benefit Structure for Medicare Part B

Outpatient and preventative care are covered under Part B, including:

  • - Cancer screenings, diagnostic procedures, and doctor visits

  • - Durable medical equipment and mental health counseling

  • - Prescription medications for outpatients and ambulance transportation

  • - Skilled nursing services and home health care

In 2025, beneficiaries must pay a $185 monthly premium, a $257 annual deductible, and a 20% co-insurance on most services—important information for any University of Chicago retiree’s annual budget.

History of Premiums (2015–2025)

Year Standard Premium Dollar Change Percentage Change
2015
2016 $121.80 +$16.90 16.1%
2017 $134.00 +$12.20 10.0%
2018 $134.00 +$0.00 0.0%
2019 $135.50 +$1.50 1.1%
2020 $144.60 +$9.10 6.7%
2021 $148.50 +$3.90 2.7%
2022 $170.10 +$21.60 14.5%
2023 $164.90 –$5.20 –3.1%
2024 $174.70 +$9.80 5.9%
2025 $185.00 +$10.30 5.9%

The 2022 increase—a 14.5% rise driven by higher drug costs and pandemic-related utilization—served as a warning sign that’s echoed in the projected 2026 jump.

Estimated Premiums (2026–2034)

Year Estimated Premium Dollar Growth Percentage Growth
2026 $206.50 +$21.50 11.6%
2027 $218.60 +$12.10 5.9%
2028 $231.30 +$12.70 5.9%
2029 $247.40 +$16.10 5.8%
2030 $264.70 +$17.30 7.0%
2031 $281.60 +$16.90 6.4%
2032 $300.80 +$19.20 6.8%
2033 $325.90 +$25.10 7.0%
2034 $347.50 +$21.60 6.6%

Part B premiums alone could approach $350 per month by 2034—a 231% increase since 2015—underscoring why University of Chicago retirees should plan now to mitigate long-term budget shocks.

The Funding Mechanisms

There are two primary sources of funding for Medicare Part B:

1. 75% from general U.S. Treasury revenues

2. 25% from premiums paid by beneficiaries

Premium income reached $139.8 billion in 2024, 2  with additional support from brand name drug fees and trust fund interest—details that University of Chicago retirees may find crucial when reviewing their future health care funding.

Cost of Living Adjustments vs. Premium Increases

In 2026, the “hold harmless” provision that protects most Social Security benefits from Part B hikes may not apply. The anticipated 2.5% Social Security COLA—roughly $50 per month—still falls short of the $21.50 premium increase. Only recipients with monthly benefits under $800 will see any net gain, so University of Chicago employees relying on Social Security should plan for most of their increase to be offset.

Strategic Planning Tips

To manage rising health care costs, University of Chicago employees should consider the following proactive steps:

  • Forecast Health Care Inflation:  Incorporate rising out-of-pocket costs and premiums into your annual budgeting.

  • Compare Plans Online:  Use the official Medicare Plan Finder to evaluate alternatives beyond agent recommendations.

  • Manage IRMAA Exposures:  Employ tax-sensitive strategies—such as income smoothing withdrawals—to help limit future surcharges.

  • Explore Local Tax Relief:  Research state and municipal programs offering property tax exemptions or rebates for seniors.

  • Stress-Test Your Retirement Portfolio:  Model health care inflation scenarios over multiple decades and adjust allocations to safeguard purchasing power.

Extended Consequences

By 2034, annual Part B costs alone could top $3,000–$4,000 if current trends persist—one of the fastest rising expense categories for retirement households. University of Chicago retirees who plan early can navigate budgetary shocks to help maintain their lifestyle goals.

According to Wealth Enhancement’s Patrick Ray, this premium surge ranks among the steepest retirement cost increases, and prudent investors must factor health care inflation into their retirement forecasts to mitigate unwelcome surprises.

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Sources:

1. USA Today. ' Social Security 2026 COLA estimated at 2.7%, but much of it will go to Medicare Part B ,' by Medora Lee. 17 July 2025.

2. Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds. ' 2025 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds ,' U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, 18 June 2025. 

Other Resources:

1. Kaiser Family Foundation. “ FAQs on Medicare Financing and Trust Fund Solvency .” Kaiser Family Foundation, 15 June 2024.

3. Urban Institute. “ Applying a Premium Cap in Medicare Part B and Part D .” Urban Institute, Mar. 2023.

4. “ Social Security’s 2026 COLA: Recipients Could Get More Money Next Year .” LiveNOW from FOX, 15 June 2025.

5. Kiplinger Staff. “ Medicare Premiums 2026: Projected IRMAA Brackets and Surcharges for Parts B and D .” Kiplinger, 26 June 2025.

What are the eligibility criteria for participation in the SEPP plan for employees of The University of Chicago, and how can factors like years of service and age impact an employee's benefits under this plan? Discuss how these criteria might have changed for new employees post-2016 and what implications this has for retirement planning.

Eligibility Criteria for SEPP: Employees at The University of Chicago become eligible to participate in the SEPP upon meeting age and service requirements: being at least 21 years old and completing one year of service. For employees hired after the plan freeze on October 31, 2016, these criteria have been crucial in determining eligibility for newer employees, impacting their retirement planning as they do not accrue benefits under SEPP beyond this freeze date.

In what ways does the SEPP (Staff Employees Pension Plan) benefit calculation at The University of Chicago reflect an employee's years of service and final average pay? Examine the formulas involved in the benefits determination process, including how outside factors such as Social Security compensation can affect the total pension benefits an employee receives at retirement.

Benefit Calculation Reflecting Service and Pay: The SEPP benefits are calculated based on the final average pay and years of participation, factoring in Social Security covered compensation. Changes post-2016 have frozen benefits accrual, meaning that current employees’ benefits are calculated only up to this freeze date, affecting long-term benefits despite continued employment.

How can employees at The University of Chicago expect their SEPP benefits to be paid out upon their retirement, especially in terms of the options between lump sum distributions and annuities? Analyze the advantages and disadvantages of each payment option, and how these choices can impact an employee's financial situation in retirement.

Payout Options (Lump Sum vs. Annuities): Upon retirement, employees can opt for a lump sum payment or annuities. Each option presents financial implications; lump sums provide immediate access to funds but annuities offer sustained income. This choice is significant for financial stability in retirement, particularly under the constraints post the 2016 plan changes.

Can you elaborate on the spousal rights associated with the pension benefits under the SEPP plan at The University of Chicago? Discuss how marital status influences annuity payments and the required spousal consent when considering changes to beneficiary designations.

Spousal Rights in SEPP Benefits: Spouses have rights to pension benefits, requiring spousal consent for altering beneficiary arrangements under the SEPP. Changes post-2016 do not impact these rights, but understanding these is vital for making informed decisions about pension benefits and beneficiary designations.

As an employee nearing retirement at The University of Chicago, what considerations should one keep in mind regarding taxes on pension benefits received from the SEPP? Explore the tax implications of different types of distributions and how they align with current IRS regulations for the 2024 tax year.

Tax Considerations for SEPP Benefits: SEPP distributions are taxable income. Employees must consider the tax implications of their chosen payout method—lump sum or annuities—and plan for potential tax liabilities. This understanding is crucial, especially with the plan’s benefit accrual freeze affecting the retirement timeline.

What resources are available for employees of The University of Chicago wishing to understand more about their retirement benefits under SEPP? Discuss the types of information that can be requested from the Benefits Office and highlight the contact methods for obtaining more detailed assistance.

Resources for Understanding SEPP Benefits: The University provides resources for employees to understand their SEPP benefits, including access to the Benefits Office for personalized queries. Utilizing these resources is essential for employees, especially newer ones post-2016, to fully understand their retirement benefits under the current plan structure.

How does The University of Chicago address benefits for employees upon their death, and what provisions exist for both spouses and non-spouse beneficiaries under the SEPP plan? Analyze the specific benefits and payment structures available to beneficiaries and the conditions under which these benefits are distributed.

Posthumous Benefits: The SEPP includes provisions for spouses and non-spouse beneficiaries, detailing the continuation or lump sum payments upon the death of the employee. Understanding these provisions is crucial for estate planning and ensuring financial security for beneficiaries.

What factors ensure an employee remains fully vested in their pension benefits with The University of Chicago, and how does the vesting schedule affect retirement planning strategies? Consider the implications of not fulfilling the vesting criteria and how this might influence decisions around employment tenure and retirement timing.

Vesting and Retirement Planning: Vesting in SEPP requires three years of service, with full benefits contingent on meeting this criterion. For employees navigating post-2016 changes, understanding vesting is crucial for retirement planning, particularly as no additional benefits accrue beyond the freeze date.

Discuss the impact of a Qualified Domestic Relations Order (QDRO) on the SEPP benefits for employees at The University of Chicago. How do divorce or separation proceedings influence pension benefits, and what steps should employees take to ensure compliance with a QDRO?

Impact of QDROs on SEPP Benefits: SEPP complies with Qualified Domestic Relations Orders, which can allocate pension benefits to alternate payees. Understanding how QDROs affect one’s benefits is crucial for financial planning, especially in the context of marital dissolution.

How can employees at The University of Chicago, who have questions about their benefits under the SEPP plan, effectively communicate with the Benefits Office for clarity and assistance? Specify the various communication methods available for employees and what kind of information or support they can expect to receive.

Communicating with the Benefits Office: Employees can reach out to the Benefits Office via email or phone for detailed assistance on their SEPP benefits. Effective communication with this office is vital for employees to clarify their benefits status, particularly in light of the post-2016 changes to the plan.

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