New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Target Employees: Investing Beyond Politics

'History shows that investors typically benefit most from staying disciplined with long-term strategies rather than reacting to political shifts, as broader economic forces consistently outweigh election cycles.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Decades of market history remind Target employees that steady commitment to long-term strategies has consistently outperformed attempts to shift course based on election results.' – Tyson Mavar, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will cover:

How stock market performance has varied under different U.S. presidents.
Why election outcomes have historically mattered less than long‑term economic trends.
Insights for Fortune 500 employees on maintaining disciplined investing.

Since its inception in 1957, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 9.3% annually under Democratic presidents and 10.2% under Republican presidents. ¹ However, its median one-year returns averaged 12.9% under Democratic presidents and 9.9% under Republican presidents. ¹ Although certain extreme cases skew the figures, the prevailing narrative is that markets have steadily grown under nearly every administration. For Fortune 500 employees, the key point is that trying to time investments around elections has historically underperformed, as broader forces such as innovation, monetary policy, and global events play a much larger role. Over time, staying invested has delivered nearly 10% annual returns ² —far more impactful than wagering on red or blue.

Overview

Over almost a century, the U.S. stock market has experienced dramatic fluctuations. This analysis examines returns from one inauguration to the next, tracking S&P 500 performance by presidential term between 1926 and 2024. For Fortune 500 investors observing the market, the long‑term trend remains firmly upward, despite recessions, wars, or recoveries affecting short‑term results.

The Great Depression and the Roaring Twenties (Coolidge and Hoover)

The roaring 1920s ended under President Calvin Coolidge with substantial market growth, as the S&P 500 proxy rose about 26.1% annually from 1923 to 1929. ³ The boom ended abruptly with the 1929 crash, leading into the Great Depression. Herbert Hoover’s tenure saw a 77% market collapse ³ —one of the worst in history.

The 1950s Postwar Boom (Dwight D. Eisenhower)

The 1950s marked a period of steady economic expansion, driven by infrastructure investment and an expanding middle class under Dwight D. Eisenhower. By 1961, the market had nearly doubled. ³

The Tech Boom of the 1990s (Bill Clinton)

From 1993 to 2001, under President Clinton, the S&P 500 returned approximately 15% annually and climbed nearly 210% overall. ³ This coincided with a surge in innovation and technology. The broader market rally positioned companies like Fortune 500 as significant players as the economy surged.

George W. Bush, Boom, Bust, and Crisis in the 2000s

George W. Bush assumed office during the dot‑com collapse. From 2000 to 2002, the S&P 500 fell roughly 50%. ³ Though a mid‑decade recovery took place, the 2008 financial crisis erased years of gains, resulting in negative returns for Bush’s presidency. For Fortune 500 employees, this period is remembered for energy price shocks and sharp volatility, highlighting the impact of global market forces.

Following 2008, a Bull Market and Recovery (Barack Obama)

Assuming office in January 2009 amidst the Great Recession, President Obama presided over a market rebound spurred by stimulus measures. The S&P 500 rebounded strongly, making Obama one of the most effective market performers of the contemporary era. Investors learned that long‑term positioning matters deeply—even in downturns.

Volatility and Tax Cuts in the Late 2010s (Donald Trump)

Between 2017 and 2021, during Trump’s presidency, the S&P 500 advanced about 68% overall, or roughly 13.6% annually. ³ Despite political unpredictability, markets continued upward, demonstrating again that investors benefit most from disciplined consistency rather than speculation.

Joe Biden’s “Pandemic Crash and Rebound”

Biden took office in 2021 as markets were recovering from pandemic‐related declines. The S&P 500 rose 28.5% in 2021, declined 18% in 2022 amid inflation, then gained 26% in 2023 and 25% in 2024. ⁴ With an annualized return of 11.9% during his tenure, Biden's term marked near-record stock market returns. ³ For Fortune 500 employees, this underscores how market resilience reflects wider economic cycles.

Party-wise Market Performance: Democrats vs. Republicans

Since its inception in 1957, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 9.3% annually under Democratic presidents and 10.2% under Republican presidents. ¹ Historically, shifting investment based on election outcomes has underperformed. For Fortune 500 investors, this suggests that long‑term commitment outweighs election‑driven tactics.

In Conclusion

History demonstrates that market outcomes depend far more on innovation, economic cycles, and global dynamics than on who’s in the White House. While Democrats have overseen some of the strongest rallies, Republican administrations have also seen major gains. For Fortune 500 employees, the message is clear: disciplined investing and staying the course have historically produced the best results, irrespective of political turnover.

Featured Video

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. The Motley Fool. ' Here's the Average Stock Market Return Under Democratic and Republican Presidents ,' by Trevor Jennewine. July 5, 2024.

2. nerdwallet. ' What Is the Average Stock Market Return? ' by James Royal. July 25, 2025.

3. Kiplinger. ' The Best and Worst Presidents (According to the Stock Market) ,' by C.L. Sizemore. July 3, 2025.

4. Stern NYU. ' Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills: 1928-2024 .' January 2025.

What are the key benefits provided by Target Corporation's Personal Pension Account and Traditional Plan for employees approaching retirement, and how do these plans ensure financial security during retirement years? Understanding the synergy between these two plans is essential for retirees, as they work together alongside Social Security and personal savings to replace a portion of an employee's paycheck after retirement.

Key Benefits of the Personal Pension Account and Traditional Plan: Target Corporation's pension plan includes two components: the Personal Pension Account and the Traditional Plan. These plans work in tandem to replace a portion of an employee's paycheck during retirement. The Personal Pension Account provides pay credits and interest that accumulate over time, while the Traditional Plan uses a final average pay formula. Together with Social Security and personal savings, these plans help ensure financial security in retirement(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees elect different payment options, such as the Single Life Annuity or the Joint and Survivor Annuities, within Target Corporation's pension plans? It is crucial for employees to grasp not only the financial implications of these choices but also the necessary spousal consent required when designating a joint annuitant, particularly if the chosen joint annuitant is not the employee's spouse.

Payment Options and Spousal Consent: Employees can elect different payment options, including the Single Life Annuity, which provides the highest monthly benefit and ceases at the retiree’s death, or the Joint and Survivor Annuity, which continues payments to a surviving spouse. To elect a non-spouse as a joint annuitant, spousal consent is required, and this must be notarized to ensure compliance with plan rules(Target Corporation_Dece…).

In what circumstances might benefits not be paid under the Traditional Plan, and what steps can employees take to ensure they remain eligible for their pension benefits upon termination of employment? Target Corporation's policy outlines several scenarios where benefits could be denied, making it necessary for employees to be proactive in understanding their rights and responsibilities concerning plan participation.

Circumstances for Denial of Benefits under the Traditional Plan: Benefits under the Traditional Plan may not be paid if an employee leaves before becoming vested (less than three years of service). Employees should ensure they meet the vesting requirements and maintain eligibility by avoiding termination before they reach the minimum service period(Target Corporation_Dece…).

What procedures should employees follow to report changes in marital status, address, or beneficiaries to ensure compliance with the requirements of Target Corporation's pension plan? Employees must understand the importance of timely reporting these changes to avoid potential issues with their retirement benefits and ensure that their pension plan information remains up-to-date.

Reporting Changes in Marital Status or Beneficiaries: Employees must promptly report changes in marital status, address, or beneficiaries to Target's Benefits Center to ensure their pension records remain up-to-date. Failing to do so can lead to delays or issues in processing pension benefits(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How does Target Corporation determine the final average pay used to calculate retirement benefits under its pension plans, and what factors may affect this calculation? Employees nearing retirement should be fully informed about how their compensation is considered in determining their pension benefits, including aspects such as bonuses and overtime that may influence their final average pay calculation.

Final Average Pay Calculation: Target Corporation calculates final average pay based on the five highest years of earnings out of the last 10 years of service. This includes regular pay, overtime, bonuses, and commissions but excludes items like workers' compensation or long-term disability payments(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees begin the process of rolling over their Target 401(k) accounts into the Pension Plan, and what advantages does this Pension Purchase Program offer? Understanding this rollover option is vital for maximizing retirement benefits, as it can provide employees with a stable income stream while avoiding unnecessary fees typically associated with purchasing annuities outside the plan.

Rolling Over 401(k) into the Pension Plan: Employees can roll over their 401(k) accounts into the Pension Plan using the Pension Purchase Program. This option offers several advantages, including avoiding fees associated with purchasing annuities outside the plan and receiving a stable income stream during retirement(Target Corporation_Dece…).

What are the implications of a participant's age and joint annuitant's age on the payment amounts under the various Joint and Survivor Annuity options at Target Corporation? Employees should be aware of how age differences can impact their pension payouts, as the specific percentages payable under these options may vary based on the ages of both the participant and their designated joint annuitant.

Effect of Participant and Joint Annuitant’s Age on Payments: The Joint and Survivor Annuity options are influenced by the ages of both the participant and the joint annuitant. The younger the joint annuitant, the lower the monthly payout due to actuarial adjustments. Employees should consider these factors when selecting an annuity option(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How are retirement benefits managed during potential plan terminations or amendments at Target Corporation, and what protections are in place for employees in these scenarios? Employees should be well-informed regarding their rights in the event of changes to the pension plan, including how benefits would be distributed and under what circumstances they may remain fully vested.

Plan Terminations or Amendments: In case of plan terminations or amendments, vested benefits are protected, and employees will receive their earned pension. If the plan is amended or terminated, Target ensures that vested benefits are distributed according to the plan's terms(Target Corporation_Dece…).

For employees retiring or leaving Target Corporation, what options are available with respect to unused vacation time and how might this be factored into pension calculations? Understanding how accrued time off translates into benefits could have a significant impact on an employee's financial positioning upon retirement.

Unused Vacation Time and Pension Calculations: Unused vacation time does not directly affect pension benefits but can be included in eligible earnings calculations that determine final average pay. Employees nearing retirement should consult with Target’s Benefits Center to understand how unused time may impact their overall benefits(Target Corporation_Dece…).

How can employees contact Target Corporation for assistance with their retirement benefits to address any questions or concerns they may have about their pension plans? Accessing the right resources and support is essential for employees to navigate their retirement benefits effectively. They can reach out to the Target Benefits Center at 800-828-5850 for more specific inquiries related to their personal circumstances. These questions aim to enhance employees' understanding of their retirement benefits, ensuring they are well-prepared for their transition into retirement.

Contacting Target for Pension Assistance: Employees can contact the Target Benefits Center at 800-828-5850 for assistance with their retirement and pension plans. This center provides support with any questions related to pension options, payments, and administrative requirements(Target Corporation_Dece…).

Additional Articles

Check Out Articles for Target employees

For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Target at 10 South Dearborn Street 48th Floor Chicago, IL 60603; or by calling them at 1-800-440-0680.