New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Why an Aging Workforce and Demographic Shifts Could Impact Stock Markets—and Huntington Ingalls Industries Employees' Retirement

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Huntington Ingalls Industries The healthcare provider for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) primarily focuses on providing employee health benefits through a mix of employer-sponsored insurance plans, as well as partnerships with other insurance carriers for comprehensive coverage options. HII is known for offering valuable benefits, helping ensure that their employees have access to necessary medical care. Specific healthcare providers might include major insurers that operate in the regions where HII has a presence, but details on the exact provider may vary based on the location and employee choices. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 for Huntington Ingalls Industries As 2026 approaches, Huntington Ingalls Industries employees should prepare for significant healthcare cost increases, with some states projected to see premium hikes exceeding 60%. Factors contributing to these spikes include the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies from the Affordable Care Act (ACA), escalating medical costs, and heightened demand for healthcare services. Consequently, employees may find themselves shouldering a larger portion of healthcare expenses as companies like HII adapt their benefit structures to counterbalance rising costs, potentially resulting in out-of-pocket expenses increasing sharply next year. It is crucial for employees to familiarize themselves with upcoming benefit changes and strategically assess their healthcare plan options to mitigate the financial impact. Click here to learn more

'Understanding demographic trends, like the Middle-Old ratio, can offer invaluable insight for Huntington Ingalls Industries employees planning for retirement, as it highlights the potential for slower stock market growth in the future and suggests strategic adjustments to portfolios to align with shifting global economic conditions.' – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'By recognizing the impact of demographic shifts, such as the Middle-Old ratio, Huntington Ingalls Industries employees can better position their retirement portfolios to navigate upcoming market changes and demographic-driven economic shifts, helping their retirement planning to remain resilient in the face of long-term trends.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article, we will discuss:

The impact of demographic shifts, particularly the Middle-Old ratio, on stock market trends and retirement planning.
How population changes influence market cycles and economic growth, with a focus on Huntington Ingalls Industries employees.
Strategies for adjusting retirement portfolios based on demographic forecasts, including exposure to emerging markets.

The long-term outlook for stock markets and retirement planning is being affected by the demographic changes happening in the United States and other industrialized nations. The 'Middle-Old ratio' (M/O ratio), which analyzes the ratio of middle-aged to elderly individuals, is a key factor that investors, particularly Huntington Ingalls Industries employees, should consider when planning for the future. For those preparing their retirement plans over the next decade or more, this ratio offers a unique approach to forecasting long-term stock market trends.

The Effect of the M/O Ratio on Stock Markets

The M/O ratio is determined by dividing the number of individuals aged 40 to 49 by the number of people aged 60 to 69. This metric has shown a strong correlation with long-term stock market cycles, especially in the S&P 500. Research conducted by Alejandra Grindal, chief economist at Ned Davis Research, has revealed that shifts in the M/O ratio often coincide with significant highs and lows in the stock market. ¹

For example, in 2000, when the internet bubble burst and the 1990s bull market reached its peak, the M/O ratio reached its highest point. This marked the end of an era of rapid economic growth and stock market gains. Following this peak, the ratio began to decline, mirroring the 2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent bear market. Since the middle of the 2010s, the M/O ratio has been rising, indicating that a shift may be on the horizon within the next decade.

It is essential to note that while the M/O ratio may act as an indicator for long-term market trends, it is not useful for forecasting short-term market movements. For instance, it did not signal the steep market declines in 2022. Nevertheless, it remains a valuable tool for understanding the cyclical nature of the stock market.

The Influence of Demographics on Stock Market Cycles

John Geanakoplos, a professor at Yale University, has made significant contributions to understanding the relationship between financial markets and demographics. His 2002 study highlighted that many of the boom-and-bust cycles in the stock market since World War II can be attributed to shifts in population composition, particularly the proportion of middle-aged versus elderly individuals. ² Geanakoplos explained that stock markets tend to rise when a significant portion of the population is in their prime working years and decline when a larger share of the population is elderly and no longer contributing to the economy.

This demographic shift is driven by the relative sizes of different age groups, not just the overall population. While some may focus on population growth when forecasting economic outcomes, it is the relative sizes of the middle-aged and senior cohorts that most significantly impact stock market performance.

It is expected that the M/O ratio will continue to rise into the 2030s. However, it will begin to decline again around the mid-2030s, which may signal a slowdown in stock market growth. This long-term pattern suggests that investors, particularly those at Huntington Ingalls Industries preparing for retirement, should be ready for potentially weaker equity returns starting in the early 2030s.

Taking Demographic Trends into Account When Managing Your Retirement Portfolio

Anyone preparing for retirement, especially Huntington Ingalls Industries employees with a long investment horizon, should understand how demographic shifts influence stock markets. This information can help you adjust your portfolio to align with anticipated market conditions, particularly if you are more than ten years away from retirement. As the M/O ratio seems to be peaking, it may be time to consider reducing exposure to U.S. stocks and reallocating to other regions, such as emerging markets.

For those nearing retirement, traditional strategies like those in target-date funds often recommend gradually decreasing equity exposure. For example, Vanguard’s target-date funds suggest a 30% allocation to U.S. stocks by the time an investor turns 65. However, due to demographic trends, a more cautious approach may be needed, especially for those in their 60s who wish to limit exposure to U.S. stocks.

Investors should also reevaluate the international component of their portfolios. While Vanguard's glide path recommends a 20% allocation to non-U.S. stocks, this may need to be adjusted based on the demographic outlook of specific countries. Over the next 25 years, developed nations outside the U.S. will also experience a decline in their M/O ratios, but not as sharply as in the U.S.

In the coming decades, emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Africa, are expected to see higher M/O ratios. As a greater portion of their populations enters middle age, these regions could experience economic expansion and market growth. To capitalize on these trends, it might make sense to increase your exposure to emerging markets, especially if you are nearing or already in retirement.

Conclusion: Preparing for Population Shifts and Stock Market Changes

Demographic trends, as illustrated by the M/O ratio, may influence stock markets and retirement planning. These trends indicate that starting in the early 2030s, investors, particularly those at Huntington Ingalls Industries with long-term horizons, may want to prepare for a period of potentially slower equity growth. As the middle-aged population reaches its peak, the stock market dynamics may shift, potentially leading to reduced returns in developed nations, including the United States.

To account for these anticipated demographic changes, it may be helpful to consider lowering your exposure to U.S. stocks and increasing your investment in emerging markets, where demographic trends appear more favorable. By adjusting your portfolio to reflect these long-term patterns, you can potentially position for a future with slower market growth and shifting global economic conditions. For a more sustainable retirement, begin planning now.

As the elderly population grows, the global workforce is shrinking, which could slow economic growth. A 2023 World Economic Forum report states that aging populations are contributing to a decline in the global workforce, potentially dampening economic productivity. This trend may lead to slower stock market returns and increased inflation, especially in developed countries where the aging population is advancing more rapidly.

Retirement planning must evolve as demographic changes and stock market patterns change. Understanding the M/O ratio and its implications could help you adjust your retirement portfolio, especially when considering opportunities in emerging markets. By aligning your investments with these demographic shifts, you can better prepare for a future where market growth may slow, supporting a more sustainable retirement.

Think of the stock market as a vehicle traveling along a winding road. For years, the car has been running smoothly, driven by a powerful engine (the large working-age population). But now, the engine is aging, and the fuel (economic growth and productivity) is running low. The aging population is like the car approaching a steep incline. Investors must adjust their speed, refuel with more strategic investments, and be ready for a slower journey into retirement.

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Sources:

1. Grindal, Alejandra. 'Why America's Aging Population Will Be a Problem for Stocks and Your Retirement.' Morningstar , 2 June 2025.

2. Geanakoplos, John, Michael Magill, and Martine Quinzii. 'Demography and the Long-Run Predictability of the Stock Market.' Brookings Institution , Jan. 2004, pp. 245–311.

3. Roberts, Stan. 'Why America's Aging Population Will Be a Problem for Stocks and Your Retirement.' MarketWatch , 2 June 2025.

4. VanEck Research Team. 'Emerging Markets: Policy Uncertainty Tempers a Strong Start to 2025.' VanEck , May 2025.

5. BlackRock. 'Five Forces Shaping Retirement.' BlackRock , Feb. 2025.

How does the Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) pension plan integrate with Social Security benefits for maximizing an employee's retirement income, and what specific strategies can HII employees use to understand this integration better?

HII pension plan integration with Social Security: The HII pension plan works alongside Social Security benefits, with no reduction in pension payments due to Social Security benefits at age 65 or later. However, if an employee receives workers' compensation benefits, the pension may be reduced. To better understand this integration, employees should review their Social Security benefits statement and consult with the HIBC (Huntington Ingalls Benefits Center) for detailed guidance(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

In relation to the Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) pension plan, what are the eligibility requirements for normal and early retirement, and how do these requirements affect long-term financial planning for HII employees approaching retirement age?

Eligibility for normal and early retirement: Employees are eligible for normal retirement at age 65 or after five years of service, whichever comes first. Early retirement is available from age 55 with at least 10 years of service. Early retirement benefits are reduced to reflect the longer payout period, which can impact financial planning. Employees should consider whether to defer retirement to receive full benefits or take a reduced early retirement benefit(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

How do changes in employment status, such as promotion or changing between hourly and salaried positions, affect pension benefits for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employees, and what should employees consider when anticipating these changes?

Effect of employment status changes: Changes in employment status, such as a promotion or transitioning between hourly and salaried positions, can affect pension eligibility and accrual. For instance, transferring from an hourly to a salaried role might mean cessation of accrual under one plan and ineligibility to return to the previous plan unless specific conditions are met. Employees should check the plan rules and consult with HIBC before making such changes(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

For employees of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), what steps must be taken to ensure that pension benefits are properly claimed and administered upon retirement, and what role does documentation play in this process?

Claiming pension benefits: Employees should notify the HIBC at least two months before their intended retirement date to begin the process of claiming pension benefits. Proper documentation, including a birth certificate, Social Security information, and marriage certificates (if applicable), is essential. Delays in providing this information can result in delays or even forfeiture of benefits(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

How do the rules surrounding spousal consent impact retirement benefit elections for employees at Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), and what specific options are available for employees considering different forms of retirement income?

Spousal consent and retirement elections: HII requires spousal consent for retirement elections other than the standard 50%, 75%, or 100% joint and survivor annuity options. This ensures that spouses are aware of and agree to any reduction in survivor benefits. Employees should discuss these options with their spouse and obtain written, notarized consent when necessary(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

What are the implications of the pension plan provisions related to disability retirement for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employees, including the eligibility criteria and the impact on social security benefits that employees should be aware of?

Disability retirement provisions: Disability retirement is available to employees with at least 15 years of service who qualify for Social Security disability benefits. Disability retirement benefits are not reduced for early commencement, making it a beneficial option for qualifying employees. It’s crucial for employees to apply to both HII and the Social Security Administration to claim these benefits(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

In what ways does the pension plan of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) accommodate employees who have service credits from other employers or previously merged plans, and what actions should employees take to clarify their benefits?

Service credits from other employers: The HII pension plan may accommodate employees who have service credits from previously merged plans. If an employee has transferred assets from another employer’s plan, they should contact the HIBC to clarify how these credits affect their pension calculation(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

How do the changes in IRS limits for retirement accounts in 2024 impact the retirement planning for employees of Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), and what resources does HII provide to assist employees in navigating these changes?

IRS limit changes for 2024: Changes in IRS contribution limits affect retirement planning by capping how much can be saved in tax-advantaged accounts. HII provides access to tools and financial advisors through the HIBC, allowing employees to review how these changes impact their pension and 401(k) contributions(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

What are the consequences for employees at Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) if they fail to notify the benefits center of their address changes or retirement intentions, particularly concerning the accrual and distribution of their pension benefits?

Consequences of failing to notify benefits center: If an employee fails to update their address or retirement intentions with the HIBC, it may result in delayed pension payments or the loss of benefits. It is crucial to maintain up-to-date contact information to ensure smooth benefit distribution(Huntington Ingalls Indu…)(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

If an Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) employee wants to learn more about their specific pension benefits or has questions regarding the pension plan, what methods can they use to contact HII for assistance, and what information should they have ready during this communication?

Contacting HII for pension information: Employees can contact the HIBC via phone or the online portal (http://hiibenefits.com) to inquire about their pension benefits. They should have personal identification details such as Social Security numbers, marital status, and anticipated retirement dates ready for efficient assistance(Huntington Ingalls Indu…).

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) offers a comprehensive benefits package that includes both a 401(k) savings plan and pension options, catering to its large workforce of over 44,000 employees. The Huntington Ingalls Industries Savings Plan, also known as the HII Savings Plan, allows employees to contribute up to 75% of their compensation to a pre-tax 401(k) account. This plan is available to all eligible employees, providing a variety of investment options and tax advantages. Employees over the age of 50 can make catch-up contributions, further boosting their retirement savings (HAContent) (HII - Build Your Career). The pension plans at Huntington Ingalls Industries vary depending on the employee’s division and contract. For example, the Newport News Operations Pension Plan is available to employees covered by collective bargaining agreements, such as those represented by the United Steelworkers. The plan, previously known as the Northrop Grumman Shipbuilding Pension Plan, transitioned to Huntington Ingalls Industries after the companies split. This pension plan's benefits are based on a defined benefit formula that considers years of service and age (HII - Build Your Career). For 401(k) plan eligibility, employees must be at least 21 years old and have completed one year of service, qualifying them for the HII Savings Plan. The name of the 401(k) plan is the "HII Savings Plan," while the defined benefit plan for employees at Newport News is named the "Newport News Operations Pension Plan."

Restructuring and Layoffs: In 2023, Huntington Ingalls Industries announced a restructuring plan aimed at optimizing its operations. This plan included significant layoffs, particularly in administrative and support functions, to streamline its organizational structure. The company stated that these measures were necessary to improve efficiency and align its workforce with strategic goals. The current economic and political environment makes it crucial for employees and stakeholders to stay informed about such changes as they can impact job security and operational stability. Company Benefits and Pension Changes: In early 2024, Huntington Ingalls Industries also modified its employee benefit programs, including adjustments to its pension plan. The company revised its pension plan to reflect changes in investment strategies and market conditions, affecting the benefits structure for both current and retired employees. Given the fluctuating investment climate and evolving tax regulations, it's essential for employees to review these changes to understand how they might impact their retirement planning and financial security.

Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) offered stock options and RSUs to its employees as part of their compensation packages. These typically include performance-based RSUs and time-vested RSUs. Specific eligibility and grant details are outlined in their 2022 annual report.

Company’s Official Website: Visit the Huntington Ingalls Industries official website. Look for sections like "Careers," "Employee Benefits," or "Our People." This section often has the most current and detailed information about health benefits. Annual Reports: Check the company's most recent annual reports or Form 10-K filings. These documents, usually available in the "Investor Relations" section of their website, provide detailed information on employee benefits, including healthcare. Employee Reviews and Forums: Websites like Glassdoor or Indeed offer insights from current and former employees regarding their experiences with health benefits. Look for reviews from 2022, 2023, and 2024. News Articles: Search for news articles related to Huntington Ingalls Industries and employee benefits. Use news aggregation sites like Google News, Bloomberg, or Reuters. Industry Reports: Look for industry-specific reports on defense and shipbuilding sectors, as they often discuss trends in employee benefits and health care in context.

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Huntington Ingalls Industries at , ; or by calling them at .

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1501585/000095012311003504/a57513a4exv10w20.htm https://cache.hacontent.com/ybr/R516/15757_ybr_ybrfndt/downloads/FSSPSPD.pdf https://cache.hacontent.com/ybr/R516/15757_ybr_ybrfndt/downloads/HISPSPD.pdf https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1501585/000150158524000026/hiifssp202311-k.htm https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huntington_Ingalls_Industries https://craft.co/huntington-ingalls-industries https://careers.huntingtoningalls.com/content/Benefits/?locale=en_US https://hii.com/