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Dow Incorporated Employees and the Question of a 3.9% Retirement Withdrawal Rate

“Dow Incorporated employees should view the 4% rule as a flexible planning reference rather than a guarantee, because sustainable retirement income depends on adapting withdrawals to changing markets, inflation, and personal income sources—an approach we emphasize when guiding clients.” — Wesley Boudreaux, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

“Dow Incorporated employees often benefit most when they treat the 4% rule as a starting framework rather than a fixed outcome, focusing instead on flexibility, multiple income sources, and ongoing adjustments as retirement realities evolve.” — Patrick Ray, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article, we will discuss:

How the 4% withdrawal rule originated and what it represents.
Why withdrawal strategies should remain flexible for Dow Incorporated retirees.
How additional income sources and personalized planning affect long-term retirement outcomes.

Understanding the 4% Withdrawal Rule

The 4% withdrawal rule has long been considered a general guideline for retirees, including many Dow Incorporated employees planning their transition from work to retirement. This approach is designed to help support income for roughly 30 years by withdrawing 4% of a retirement portfolio in the first year and then increasing that dollar amount annually to account for inflation.

In retirement planning conversations, this guideline is often referenced, but it is important for Dow Incorporated employees to understand both what it represents and what it does not. It is a starting point for discussion, not a promise about future results.

The Origin of the 4% Rule

The roots of the 4% rule come from historical back-testing of U.S. market returns, most notably research by William Bengen and later studies commonly referred to as the Trinity Study. These analyses examined how long retirement portfolios lasted over 30-year periods when retirees followed a consistent, inflation-adjusted withdrawal approach.

The findings showed that, depending on market conditions and asset allocation, a 4% initial withdrawal often lasted through many historical periods. ¹ For Dow Incorporated employees, it is important to remember that this research reflects historical market behavior and does not represent a promise about future market performance.

Retirement Planning Is Not Static

Longevity, interest rates, inflation, and market conditions all change over time. Because of this, withdrawal strategies should be viewed as planning tools rather than fixed rules that apply in every situation for every Dow Incorporated employee.

Inflation has been especially impactful in recent years. U.S. inflation reached levels not seen in nearly four decades during 2022, ² highlighting how rising prices can place added pressure on retirees who rely heavily on portfolio withdrawals and reinforcing the importance of adjusting withdrawal strategies over time.

Another major consideration is sequence-of-returns risk. Research shows that the order in which investment returns occur, especially in the early years of retirement, can significantly influence how long a portfolio lasts. ³ For Dow Incorporated employees, weaker market returns early in retirement combined with steady withdrawals can reduce a portfolio’s ability to rebound over time.

What a Withdrawal Rate Really Means

A withdrawal rate is simply an initial estimate. For example, a 3.9% withdrawal on a $1,000,000 portfolio equals $39,000 in the first year, while a 4.0% withdrawal equals $40,000. For Dow Incorporated employees, that difference is $1,000 per year for every $1 million saved.

In practice, withdrawals are often adjusted as circumstances evolve. Inflation, market performance, health care expenses, and the presence of other income sources all influence how much a retiree ultimately spends each year.

The Role of Other Income Sources

Portfolio withdrawals are only one component of retirement income. Many Dow Incorporated employees also rely on additional sources such as:

- Social Security benefits

- Annuities

- Passive income from rental properties or other investments

Social Security, in particular, plays a key role. Benefits increase through delayed retirement credits for each year benefits are postponed beyond full retirement age, up to age 70. ⁴ This higher lifetime benefit later in retirement may help reduce reliance on portfolio withdrawals over time.

Flexibility Matters in Retirement

A withdrawal strategy does not need to remain unchanged forever. If markets perform well early in retirement, spending may be increased. If markets struggle, discretionary spending can be reduced temporarily. Dow Incorporated employees who maintain flexibility are often better positioned to manage uncertainty without making permanent changes.

The purpose of retirement planning is not to anticipate markets with exact precision, but to develop an approach that can adjust to changing conditions while supporting long-term income needs.

Getting Personalized Guidance

While general guidelines can be helpful, retirement outcomes depend heavily on individual factors such as age, spending needs, asset allocation, tax considerations, and income sources. For Dow Incorporated employees, reviewing how different withdrawal approaches affect long-term sustainability often requires individualized analysis.

The Retirement Group works with individuals and families to review retirement income strategies, portfolio withdrawals, and long-term planning considerations. If you would like help reviewing your personal retirement plan or withdrawal approach, you can call The Retirement Group at (800) 900-5867 to speak with a specialist who can discuss your specific situation.

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Sources:

1. Bengen, William P. “Determining Withdrawal Rates Using Historical Data.” Journal of Financial Planning , Financial Planning Association, Mar. 2004,
www.financialplanningassociation.org/sites/default/files/2021-04/MAR04%20Determining%20Withdrawal%20Rates%20Using%20Historical%20Data.pdf .

2. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Consumer Price Index — June 2022 . U.S. Department of Labor, 13 July 2022,
www.dol.gov/newsroom/economicdata/cpi_07132022.pdf .

3. Securian Financial Group, Inc. Sequence of Returns Risk . Rev. Feb. 2025, Securian,
www.securian.com/content/dam/doc/ia/sound-strategies-sequence-of-returns-risk_57879-102.pdf .

4. Social Security Administration. Retirement Benefits . Publication no. EN-05-10035, U.S. Government Printing Office, n.d.,
www.ssa.gov/pubs/EN-05-10035.pdf .

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The Dow Chemical Company’s pension plan and retirement ages: The Dow Chemical Company’s pension plan structure impacts employees' retirement benefits based on their retirement age. Retiring earlier results in lower monthly payments due to reduced service time and potential early commencement penalties, while working longer allows for more service accrual and higher monthly benefits. Employees must evaluate how these factors align with personal retirement goals, as choosing to retire early might not provide as much financial security as delaying retirement(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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20% mandatory withholding tax on lump-sum distributions: Lump-sum distributions from The Dow Chemical Company’s pension plan are subject to a 20% mandatory withholding tax if not directly rolled over into another qualified retirement plan. This tax can significantly impact an employee's immediate finances. However, opting to roll over the lump sum to a qualified plan defers taxation until funds are withdrawn, allowing employees to manage their tax liabilities better while continuing to grow their retirement savings(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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Eligibility for retirement benefits: The Dow Chemical Company outlines eligibility for pension benefits based on a combination of service years and age. Typically, employees become vested after three years of service or upon reaching age 65 while still employed. The company ensures that employees are informed about these eligibility criteria through various resources, such as the Dow Benefits Service Center, enabling them to make informed retirement decisions(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

In what ways can employees of The Dow Chemical Company appeal decisions regarding their pension benefits, and what processes are in place to facilitate these appeals? The appeal process is critical for employees who might feel that their benefits have not been administered correctly. Understanding the correct procedures and having access to the right resources can empower employees to effectively advocate for themselves in the face of administrative decisions.

Appealing pension benefit decisions: If employees believe there has been an error in the administration of their pension benefits, The Dow Chemical Company provides a formal appeal process. Employees can file a claim, and if denied, they have the right to appeal the decision. The Retirement Board oversees these appeals, and employees must follow the outlined procedures for their appeal to be considered(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

What strategies can employees of The Dow Chemical Company employ to maximize their pension benefits while transitioning to retirement? Employees must navigate complexities such as contribution limits, benefit formulas, and personal retirement savings. A strategic approach, which includes understanding the timing of retirement and how it interacts with pension claims, can lead to more favorable financial outcomes in their retirement years.

Maximizing pension benefits: Employees at The Dow Chemical Company can maximize their pension benefits by carefully planning their retirement timing. Key strategies include working longer to accrue more service years, reviewing contribution limits, and understanding the benefit formula used. Aligning personal savings and pension claims with the optimal retirement age can result in more favorable financial outcomes(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

How can retirees from The Dow Chemical Company navigate survivor benefits, and what are the eligibility criteria for spouses or domestic partners? Survivor benefits are an essential aspect of retirement planning, especially for employees concerned about providing for their loved ones after death. Itâ€™s vital for employees to understand both eligibility and what benefits their partners might receive, fostering peace of mind during retirement planning endeavors.

Survivor benefits for retirees: Retirees from The Dow Chemical Company can opt for survivor benefits to provide financial security for their spouses or domestic partners. Eligibility for these benefits depends on the plan's structure, and employees should understand the options available to ensure their loved ones are covered after their death. These benefits include continued monthly payments or lump-sum options depending on the election made at retirement(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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Comparing defined benefit pension plan: The Dow Chemical Company offers a defined benefit pension plan, which differs from defined contribution plans like 401(k)s. In a defined benefit plan, the company guarantees a specific monthly benefit upon retirement, typically based on years of service and salary, whereas defined contribution plans depend on employee contributions and investment performance(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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Resources for retirement information: The Dow Chemical Company provides several resources for employees to access detailed information about their retirement options. The Dow Benefits Service Center and My HR Connection are key tools where employees can request pension estimates, understand payment options, and clarify eligibility criteria. These resources help employees make informed decisions regarding their retirement planning(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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Staying informed about IRS rules: Employees of The Dow Chemical Company must stay informed about IRS rules that may affect their retirement savings. Changes in tax laws, contribution limits, or distribution rules can significantly impact financial planning. The company provides updates and resources to ensure employees are aware of relevant regulatory changes that might affect their retirement strategies(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

How can employees of The Dow Chemical Company reach the benefits service center for additional inquiries regarding their pension plan, and what information should they prepare beforehand? Knowing how to contact the benefits service center is crucial for employees seeking clarity on their pension plan benefits. Preparing relevant information ahead of time can streamline the process, allowing for a more productive engagement with benefits specialists and ensuring that employees receive precise guidance tailored to their situations.

Contacting the benefits service center: Employees seeking clarification about their pension benefits can reach the Dow Benefits Service Center via phone or online through the Message Center. It is recommended to have personal identification and details of the pension plan ready to streamline the inquiry process. Proper preparation ensures a productive conversation with benefits specialists(The Dow Chemical Compan…).

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Dow Incorporated at 1919 torrance blvd Torrance, CA 90501; or by calling them at 900-999-1009.