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Understanding the Economic Shift: What Baby Boomers Mean for Ohio National Mutual Employees Approaching Retirement

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The United States' demographic composition is changing dramatically as the baby boomer generation—those born between 1946 and 1964—reaches retirement age. According to the US Census Bureau, this group has already started to have a considerable impact on a number of economic sectors, and over the next few decades, its full impact is expected to become apparent.


The United States is preparing for what has been referred to as the 'peak burden' years of the baby boomer generation, when their combined retirement will place significant strain on the nation's economy and the resources of future generations. This shift in the population's composition is not the product of personal preference or decision, but rather of historical population trends that have caused a sizable portion of the population to reach retirement age at the same time.

This change has wide-ranging and significant effects impacting Ohio National Mutual individuals and more. For example, senior economist Jonathan Millar at Barclays predicts that the economic drag resulting from an increasing number of retirees will continue for the next 20 years, hitting a tipping point around 2029 when almost all baby boomers will have retired. Economist Dean Baker, in a 1998 paper, compared this demographic phenomena to a 'population time bomb,' emphasizing the unavoidable economic strains, though not to the disastrous degree that some public discussions imply.

The housing market is one of the most obvious effects of the aging baby boomer generation. Due in large part to the fact that they make up a large amount of the housing supply, there are fewer properties available for other buyers, which has led to an increase in property prices. For millennials looking to buy larger homes fit for a family, this trend has proven especially difficult. The National Association of Realtors reports that 2023 was the worst year for home sales since 1995. This is partly because current homeowners are reluctant to downsize, frequently because of favorable mortgage rates or fully paid-off properties.


The baby boomer retirement wave is also having an impact on Ohio National Mutual and the rest of the labor market. With more unfilled positions than available workers, the US is now experiencing a labor shortage, which is predicted to worsen as more baby boomers leave the workforce. Potential effects of this scarcity on the economy include inflation and wage pressure. Furthermore, the economy is naturally prone to inflation due to the retired boomers' ongoing demand for goods and services as they are not producing labor.

The changes in demographics also affect the stock market. The market's stability is at stake because a significant part of stock market ownership is held by people 55 and older, who are more likely to sell their stocks during economic downturns. Selling driven by demographics may increase market volatility and have an effect on consumers spending and the overall economy.

Possibly the most urgent issue pertaining to Ohio National Mutual employees nearing retirement is how long Social Security will last. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund is expected to run out by 2033 due to boomers starting to get sizable Social Security benefits. This will force policymakers to make difficult choices about raising taxes, cutting expenditure, or increasing the national debt in order to pay for retiree benefits. The financial strain on present and future taxpayer generations is highlighted by this situation.

There is some hope that the United States won't experience a similar demographic crisis anytime soon, despite these obstacles. Despite their size, the millennial generation is followed by smaller generations, such as Gen Z and Alpha, which lessens the possibility of another 'time bomb' situation. Long-term demographic pressures on the economy may lessen, according to this prediction.

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In summary, the baby boomer generation's aging brings with it a wide range of opportunities and difficulties related to the economy. Although the short-term effects could put pressure on the housing, labor, stock, and social security systems, the long-term demographic patterns provide hope for stabilization. To ensure economic resilience in the face of major demographic shifts, addressing these issues will need for careful policy choices, creative solutions, and a team effort.

For baby boomers who are about to retire from Ohio National Mutual, it is important to take into account the changing retirement planning environment, especially with regard to the trend of longer lifespans that require more extensive financial planning. According to a Stanford Center on Longevity study, people are living longer, healthier lives, which implies that many Ohio National Mutual retirees will require retirement funds to last well into their 90s. The significance of strategic retirement planning, which takes into account factors like inflation, healthcare costs, and probable long-term care requirements, is highlighted by the longevity revolution. This is necessary to provide financial stability during these prolonged golden years (Stanford Center on Longevity, 2023).

It is like trying to guide a massive ocean liner through a small strait to navigate the economy as the baby boomer generation heads into retirement. Just as the captain must predict how the ship will affect the waterway, anticipating changes in the current and changing course accordingly, so too must individuals and policymakers predict the economic repercussions of a sizable portion of the population approaching retirement age. This demographic shift necessitates strategic planning and forethought since it affects housing availability, labor markets, stock stability, and Social Security sustainability. In order to assure easy sailing into the future for all generations, resolving the economic issues faced by the retiring baby boomers requires comprehensive preparation and inventive solutions, just like navigating perilous waters demands expertise, adaptability, and forward-thinking.

What retirement plan options does Ohio State offer its employees, and how do these plans compare in terms of contribution rates and employer matching? Understanding the distinctions between the ARP Defined Contribution and OPERS Traditional Pension Plan is important for making informed retirement choices.

Retirement Plan Options: Ohio State offers several retirement plan options, including the ARP Defined Contribution, OPERS Member-Directed, OPERS Traditional Pension (Defined Benefit), and OPERS Combined Plan (Defined Benefit and Defined Contribution). Employees contribute 10% of their eligible compensation to these plans, and Ohio State contributes 14%. In the ARP, employees manage their investments, while OPERS plans involve a mixture of defined benefit formulas and employee contributions​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

How does the vesting schedule work for contributions made to the various retirement plans at Ohio State? Employees should have a clear understanding of when they become fully vested in employer contributions and how this affects their retirement benefits.

Vesting Schedule: For the ARP plan, both employee and university contributions are immediately vested. In the OPERS Member-Directed plan, employee contributions are immediately vested, but university contributions are vested over five years. For the OPERS Traditional Pension and Combined plans, vesting occurs in stages: employees become 33% vested after 5 years and 67% vested after 10 years​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

In what ways can Ohio State employees manage their retirement accounts following termination or retirement, including options for lump-sum distributions or rolling funds into other retirement vehicles? Exploring these options can help employees better plan their financial future post-employment.

Account Management Post-Employment: Upon termination or retirement, employees can either leave their balance with the provider, roll it over into another qualified account, or withdraw funds as lump sums, fixed-period payments, or annuities. OPERS also offers joint or multiple life annuities​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

Can you elaborate on the investment choices available under the Ohio State ARP Defined Contribution plan, and how does the investment risk differ from that of the OPERS plans? It’s essential to assess how employees can maximize their retirement savings through sound investment strategies.

Investment Choices and Risk: In the ARP Defined Contribution and OPERS Member-Directed plans, employees choose from various investment options, bearing all the associated risks and fees. In contrast, OPERS manages the assets in the Traditional Pension and the DB portion of the Combined Plan, so employees assume no investment risk​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

What criteria must be met for employees at Ohio State to qualify for disability benefits under the pension plans, and how are these benefits structured? Understanding the nuances of these benefits can be crucial for staff planning for unforeseen events.

Disability Benefits: Employees can qualify for disability benefits under OPERS after five years of service. Benefits are calculated based on service credits in the Traditional Pension and Combined Plans. The ARP plan offers no additional disability benefits beyond the vested account balance​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

How does the interaction between Ohio State's retirement plans affect employees' eligibility for Social Security benefits, and what considerations should be taken into account? This is a significant aspect that can influence long-term retirement planning.

Interaction with Social Security: Participation in Ohio State's retirement plans may reduce Social Security benefits for eligible employees due to offset provisions. This can impact long-term retirement planning, so employees should consider this when making decisions​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

What are the tax implications of withdrawing funds from Ohio State's retirement plans, and how can employees effectively plan for these taxes? Insights into the tax-deferred nature of contributions can aid in financial decision-making.

Tax Implications: Contributions to Ohio State’s retirement plans are made on a pre-tax basis, meaning federal and state taxes are deferred until the time of withdrawal. Early withdrawals (before age 59½) may incur additional tax penalties​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

Are there any additional benefits or programs available to employees through Ohio State that can complement retirement savings, such as health care benefits after retirement? These additional offerings can significantly enhance overall retirement security.

Additional Benefits: Ohio State provides health care, disability, and survivor benefits to employees enrolled in the OPERS Traditional Pension and Combined Plans. Access to a Retiree Medical Account for healthcare expenses is available in some plans​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

How can Ohio State employees get in touch with the Human Resources department to learn more about retirement plan options, contribution limits, and other benefits? It's crucial for employees to know the right channels to obtain help regarding their retirement planning.

Human Resources Contact: Employees can contact the Office of Human Resources or their selected ARP provider for more information on retirement plan options, contribution limits, and other benefits. Ohio State also provides resources on its HR website​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

What changes, if any, are expected in Ohio State's retirement plans for the upcoming year, especially concerning contribution limits and other regulatory adjustments? Staying informed about potential changes can help employees proactively adjust their retirement savings strategies. These questions aim to provide a comprehensive understanding of retirement plans and associated benefits at Ohio State, facilitating employee engagement and informed decision-making.

Expected Plan Changes: Any changes to contribution limits or plan adjustments will likely be communicated through Ohio State’s HR department. It's essential for employees to stay updated through official HR channels to proactively adjust their retirement strategies​(Ohio State_Retirement P…).

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