In view of the expected property price growth, Merck employees should consider their real estate as an important part of their wealth and determine their readiness to sell, recommends Tyson Mavar, a representative of The Retirement Group at Wealth Enhancement Group. 'Knowledge of the market trends and timings can make a huge difference to your financial returns.'
'Wesley Boudreaux of The Retirement Group at Wealth Enhancement Group recommends that Merck employees determine how the anticipated rise in home values will affect their personal financial plans. It is possible that delaying the decisions on the housing market, especially in the current economic environment, may improve their long-term financial position.'
In this article, we will discuss:
1. 'Forecasted Trends in Housing Prices: An analysis of the predicted rise in house prices by Bank of America and the possible positive implications for homeowners, particularly those from the Merck company in light of the pandemic and current mortgage rates.'
2. 'Economic Factors Influencing the Housing Market: Examining how changes caused by the pandemic, including increased remote working and preference for suburban areas, along with fluctuating mortgage rates, are influencing the present and future of real estate.'
3. 'Strategic Considerations for Home Selling: Examining the advantages and disadvantages of not selling a home until the prices rise and how population changes influence the housing market trends.'
Learn why it is beneficial to hold off on selling your real estate property in today’s market and how these tips can help you maximize your return on investment.
According to Michael Gapen, the Chief US Economist at Bank of America, the prices are still going to rise quickly. According to the bank, house prices will grow by 5% in 2025 and 4.5% in 2024. For the Merck employees who plan on selling their homes, it may be worth considering the post-pandemic world and the present mortgage rates. It might be better to wait for a few more years.
The property market has been on the rise post-pandemic and the values of homes have increased by 6% on average every year. This has created a very good market for those who own the properties. Bank of America has pointed out that this trend is likely to persist.
In their most recent analysis of the housing market, Gapen and his team expect prices to keep rising by 4.5% this year and 5% in 2025. They predict that there will be no cooling down of the market until the year 2026, which means that current homeowners, including those from Merck, might stand to benefit from waiting since higher sale prices may be possible in the near future.
The Virtue of Patience
There are several good reasons why it could be advantageous for homeowners to prevent selling. Gapen points out that the economic effects of the pandemic are still ongoing and may not reach their fullest in late 2025. This has also increased long-term housing trends such as working from home and preferring suburban areas which still keep the prices high. Another important factor for homeowners is the changing mortgage rates. Many got rates as low as 3% during the pandemic. With rates now sitting at 7%, it may actually be more advantageous to remain in one’s home. The Federal Reserve may cut rates later this year, but Bank of America believes it may take years for the difference between current and historical mortgage rates to disappear, which makes a strong case for staying in one’s home.
Possibility of Price Increases After 2026
Homeowners can expect price increases for the next two years at the minimum. If the impacts of the pandemic decrease to the point of almost being unnoticeable by the end of 2025, the market may level off and even experience a slight rise of 0.5% in 2026. The macroeconomic conditions are expected to improve, the housing supply is expected to increase, and the monetary policy is expected to loosen, which should bring down the prices. However, there is a possibility of prices rising even after 2026.
Historically, real personal discretionary income has been highly correlated with housing prices. As Bank of America notes, the current momentum in home prices may lead to sustainably higher prices than the fundamental values. This inertia provides homeowners, including those at Merck, with more opportunities for appreciation. If the effects of the pandemic are worse than expected, and the housing market remains strong, prices can rise another 5% by 2026. Furthermore, the population dynamics in the subsequent years will continue to stimulate housing demand. Millennials have now become the largest home buying segment and are likely to influence the market in a big way.
Therefore, it is recommended that a homeowner only considers selling their property when they are certain that they can sell at a higher price due to market trends. A recent Harvard University study pointed out that the percentage of older individuals with mortgage debts has doubled over the last three decades, which is good news for many retirees to wait out potential increases in property value.
This information is not intended as a recommendation. The opinions are subject to change at any time and no forecasts can be guaranteed. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor's specific circumstances. Investing has its risks, including the possibility of losing principal.
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Sources:
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Santarelli, Marco. 'Housing Market: Sell Now or Wait? What Does Bank of America Say?' Norada Real Estate Investing July 8, 2024, www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-sell-now-or-wait/ . Accessed February 4, 2025.
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Dahl, Roxanne. 'According to Bank of America Economist, Housing Market is 'Stuck' Until at Least 2026.' Weekly Real Estate News, July 7, 2024, wrenews.com/bank-of-america-economist-housing-market-stuck-2026. Accessed February 4, 2025.
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Amelia. 'Bank of America: Housing Market Challenges Expected to Persist Until 2026.' Realty Biz Blog, 2024, realtybizblog.com/us-housing-market-stuck-until-2026. Accessed February 4, 2025.
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'BoA Michael Gapen - Macro Economic Trends and Risks.' Motley Fool Community, September 11, 2022, discussion.fool.com/boa-michael-gapen-74773. Accessed February 4, 2025.
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'Household Spending Remains Strong.' Bloomberg, undated, bloomberg.com/article/household-spending-gapen/. Accessed February 4, 2025.
How does Merck's new retirement benefits program support long-term financial security for employees, particularly regarding the changes to the pension and savings plans introduced in 2013? Can you elaborate on how Merck's commitment to these plans is designed to help employees plan for retirement effectively?
Merck's New Retirement Benefits Program: Starting in 2013, Merck introduced a comprehensive retirement benefits program aimed at providing all eligible employees, irrespective of their legacy company, uniform benefits. This initiative supports Merck's commitment to financial security by integrating pension plans, savings plans, and retiree medical coverage. This approach not only aims to help employees plan effectively for retirement but also aligns with Merck’s post-merger goal of standardizing benefits across the board.
What are the key differences between the legacy pension benefits offered by Merck before 2013 and the new cash balance formula implemented in the current retirement program? In what ways do these changes reflect Merck's broader goal of harmonizing benefits across various employee groups?
Differences in Pension Formulas: Before 2013, Merck calculated pensions using a final average pay formula which typically favored longer-term, older employees. The new scheme introduced a cash balance formula, reflecting a shift towards a more uniform accumulation of retirement benefits throughout an employee's career. This change was part of Merck's broader strategy to harmonize benefits across various employee groups, making it easier for employees to understand and track their pension growth.
In terms of eligibility, how have Merck's pension and savings plans adjusted for years of service and age of retirement since the introduction of the new program? Can you explain how these adjustments might affect employees nearing retirement age compared to newer employees at Merck?
Adjustments in Eligibility: The new retirement program revised eligibility criteria for pension and savings plans to accommodate a wider range of employees. Notably, the pension benefits under the new program are designed to be at least equal to the prior benefits for services rendered until the end of 2019, provided employees contribute a minimum of 6% to the savings plan. This adjustment aids both long-term employees and those newer to the company by offering equitable benefits.
Can you describe the transition provisions that apply to legacy Merck employees hired before January 1, 2013? How does Merck plan to ensure that these provisions protect employees from potential reductions in retirement benefits during the transition period?
Transition Provisions for Legacy Employees: For employees who were part of legacy Merck plans before January 1, 2013, Merck established transition provisions that allow them to earn retirement income benefits at least equal to their current pension and savings plan benefits through December 31, 2019. This ensures that these employees do not suffer a reduction in benefits during the transition period, offering a sense of security as they adapt to the new program.
How does employee contribution to the retirement savings plan affect the overall retirement benefits that Merck provides? Can you discuss the implications of Merck's matching contributions for employees who maximize their savings under the new retirement benefits structure?
Impact of Employee Contribution to Retirement Savings: In the new program, Merck encourages personal contributions to the retirement savings plan by matching up to 6% of employee contributions. This mutual contribution strategy enhances the overall retirement benefits, incentivizing employees to maximize their savings for a more robust financial future post-retirement.
What role does Merck's Financial Planning Benefit, offered through Ernst & Young, play in assisting employees with their retirement planning? Can you highlight how engaging with this benefit changes the financial landscapes for employees approaching retirement?
Role of Merck’s Financial Planning Benefit: Offered through Ernst & Young, this benefit plays a critical role in assisting Merck employees with retirement planning. It provides personalized financial planning services, helping employees understand and optimize their benefits under the new retirement framework. Engaging with this service can significantly alter an employee’s financial landscape by providing expert guidance tailored to individual retirement goals.
How should employees evaluate their options for retiree medical coverage under the new program compared to previous offerings? What considerations should be taken into account regarding the potential costs and benefits of the retiree medical plan provided by Merck?
Options for Retiree Medical Coverage: With the new program, employees must evaluate both subsidized and unsubsidized retiree medical coverage options based on their age, service length, and retirement needs. The program offers different levels of company support depending on these factors, making it crucial for employees to understand the potential costs and benefits to choose the best option for their circumstances.
In what ways does the introduction of voluntary, unsubsidized dental coverage through MetLife modify the previous dental benefits structure for Merck retirees? Can you detail how these changes promote cost efficiency while still providing valuable options for employees?
Introduction of Voluntary Dental Coverage: Starting January 2013, Merck shifted from sponsored to voluntary, unsubsidized dental coverage through MetLife for retirees. This change aligns with Merck’s strategy to promote cost efficiency while still providing valuable dental care options, allowing retirees to choose plans that best meet their needs without company subsidy.
How can employees actively engage with Merck's resources to maximize their retirement benefits? What specific tools or platforms are recommended for employees to track their savings and retirement progress effectively within the new benefits framework?
Engaging with Merck’s Retirement Resources: Merck provides various tools and platforms for employees to effectively manage and track their retirement savings and benefits. Employees are encouraged to utilize resources like the Merck Financial Planning Benefit and online benefit portals to make informed decisions and maximize their retirement outcomes.
For employees seeking additional information about the retirement benefits program, what are the best ways to contact Merck? Can you provide details on whom to reach out to, including any relevant phone numbers or online resources offered by Merck for inquiries related to the retirement plans?
Contacting Merck for Retirement Plan Information: Employees seeking more information about their retirement benefits can contact Merck through dedicated phone lines provided in the benefits documentation or by accessing detailed plan information online through Merck's official benefits portal. This ensures employees have ready access to assistance and comprehensive details regarding their retirement planning options.