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Value Series II: General Mills Employees Can Use the P/CF Ratio to Find Value

For General Mills employees building a Retirement strategy, focusing on undervalued stocks with a high Price-to-Cash Flow ratio can be a useful tool to improve portfolio performance and plan for the future, 'says [Advisor Name], a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

'As market volatility continues to mount, General Mills employees should look for investment strategies that reward cash flow more than traditional earnings to help them achieve their long-term Retirement goals,' says [Advisor Name], a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

In this article we will discuss:

1. Importance of Price-to-Cash Flow ratio in the evaluation of investment opportunities.

2. Long-term returns how value investing outperformed glamour investing.

3. Role of Price to Cash Flow ratio in retirement planning for General Mills employees & retirees.

Given current market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics with General Mills employees and retirees in our four-part series. Part two of this four part value series will examine the Price-to-Cash Flow ratio. But sometimes investors want to beat the market. Those investors should consider the following proven strategy that some great investors have used.

Value investors learned how to beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500 decades ago - and many have decades of track record to prove it. The most famous value investor is obviously Warren Buffett, but so are Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. This style invests in four metrics that define a value investment. These are the Price-to-Earnings Ratio, Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and Price-to-Book Ratio. These metrics are strong indicators of undervalued security, as you will see. These cheap General Mills securities regularly beat the market. How they affect investing depends on some characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated.

Today we examine the Price-to-Cash Flow ratio (P/CF) as a tool for planning for the retirements of General Mills employees. Many feel that using cash flow rather than accounting earnings paints a more complete picture of a company's business performance that may help with investment decisions and investment performance. We understand researched solutions are important to General Mills employees. Below are the results of two Fama and French [1] backtests of cash flow yield (the inverse of P/CF ratio) data from 1951 to 2013. As of December 2013, the sample had 2,526 firms (Carlisle-PCF, P2). The value decile had the 269 stocks with the highest cash flow yield and the glamour decile had the 311 with the lowest cash flow yield. The glamour stocks average USD 4.74 billion in size and stocks are worth USD 4.80 billion. (The average is skewed by the largest companies. In context, the smallest company is worth USD 272 million today (much smaller than average but still investable for most investors).

Stocks having negative cash flow were excluded. Portfolios are formed June 30 and rebalanced annually. In this backtest, the two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, so bigger firms drive the portfolio performance more and smaller firms less. Here the value decile has returned 16.7 percent compound (18.6 percent in the average year) versus 9.3 percent for the glamour decile (11.5 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PCF, P3) This is because the value portfolios generated more cash flow per dollar invested compared to the glamour decile. 27.2 percent versus 4.3 percent for the glamour portfolio (Carlisle-PCF, P5). I used a rolling average. The 'average' I've quoted is for the full period. The rolling average is higher but never lower. The rolling average is the annualized mean return for each year-long period (sometimes called a 5-year rolling return) As we noted above, value's outperformance over glamour is not a historical anomaly.

Taking just the period from 1999 we see that even though the return is lower than the long-term average, value has remained the better bet. Since 1999, value outperformed glamour 8.7 percent compounded and 6.2 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PCF, P7) Possibly the popularity of simple value strategies has contributed to lower returns recently. I think it's because the market is still working off the massive overvaluation of the late 1990s Dot Com boom. We think a value-based strategy is best for General Mills employees and retirees Market capitalization-weighted returns can be used to show that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to value portfolios with smaller stocks. They mean absolutely nothing unless you're running an index or hugging an index. It is easiest to just weight all positions equally in a portfolio. (If we are prepared to take a little more volatility in exchange for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight [2] our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is based on the Kelly Criterion - a formula for determining what percentage of capital should be invested in each trade to achieve maximum long-term growth.

There are two parts to the formula (Kelly% = W-[(1 - W)/R]: the winning probability factor W and the win/loss ratio R. It is a winning probability that the probability trade will result in a positive return. The win/loss ratio is the sum of the positive trade amounts minus the negative trading amounts. Its result will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should invest in each investment. Equal weight return statistics for cash flow yield are given below. The value returned 20.7 percent compounded (23.8 percent on average) against glamour's 9.3 percent compounded return (12.5% on average) in the equal weight backtests (Carlisle-PCF, P9).

And you might notice that there is a tiny advantage for the cash flow yield's value decile over the earnings yield's value decile: 20.7 percent to 20.1 percent. We'll examine the impact of that small cash flow win in coming weeks. Again the value portfolios generate more cash flow than the glamour portfolios - 24.6 percent versus 4.1 percent in the glamour portfolios. We saw last week that the average cash flow yield of the equally weighted value portfolio is a bit lower than that of the market capitalization-weighted portfolios.

This means that over the whole period, bigger stocks were generally cheaper than smaller stocks to buy cash flow. Not always, of course, but it is interesting nonetheless. In equal-weight portfolios, value has beaten glamour since 1999 by 11.1 percent compounded and 10.0 percent in the average year. Since the value portfolios generate more cash flow than the glamour portfolios (on average 24.6 percent versus 4.1 percent in the glamour portfolios) we value research just as much as General Mills employees and retirees do (Carlisle-PCF, P10). We saw last week that the average cash flow yield of the equally weighted value portfolio is a bit lower than that of the market capitalization-weighted portfolios.

This means that over the whole period, bigger stocks were generally cheaper than smaller stocks to buy cash flow. Not always, of course, but it is interesting nonetheless. In the equal-weight portfolios, value has outperformed glamour Since 1999 by 11.1 percent compounded and 10.0 percent in the average year (Another study analyzing the P/CF metric is listed below. Brandes study In a Brandes Research Institute Study, exhibit 6 shows global all-cap results across three price metrics. They confirmed a consistent premium across all metrics. Focus is on P/CF ratio and outperformance in decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks is seen in P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8) In the same Brandes study they tracked Price-to-Cash Flow in the U.S., Non-U.S. and Emerging Markets. In rolling 5 year annualized returns of price-to-cash flow deciles for 1980-2014, the lower price-to-cash flow deciles outperform the higher Price - to-Cash flow deciles.

Results are shown on the graph 'Appendix C: Figure 4' Using P/CF Deciles Findings by Regions. ' Even though all of the lowest Price-to-Cash Flow deciles outperform the high Price-to-Cash Flow deciles, the biggest premiums occur outside of the United States. Actually, the biggest premium is found in emerging markets where companies that generate more cash are better positioned to weather market downturns. This highlights how useful P / CF ratio analysis can be in planning for General Mills employees' and retirees' retirements Currently the average Price-to-Cash Flow (P / CF) for the stocks in the S&P 500 is 13.9.

But like the P/E ratio, any value below 15 to 20 is generally good. A study from Zach's confirms this. According to their testing, a P/CF of 0-10 delivered the best result (17.1% in 10 years). The second best was 10-20, up 10.2%. But at + 30, the odds are stacked against a loss (-2.8%). And over 40, the odds are even greater - -6.9%. You can see that low-price-to-cash-flow stocks outperform high-price-to-cash-flow stocks The Retirement group is a national group of financial advisors. We only plan for and design retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees.

And each representative of The Group has been hand picked by the Retirement Group in select cities throughout The United States. Each advisor was screened for pension expertise, financial planning experience and portfolio construction knowledge. TRG believes in teamwork to find solutions to our clients' problems. A conservative investment philosophy guides the team in constructing client portfolios with laddered bonds / CDs / mutual funds / ETFs / Annuities / Stocks and other investments. They handle Retirement / Pensions / Tax / Asset Allocation / Estate / Elder Care issues. This document uses different research tools and techniques. All attempts to estimate future results involve assumptions and judgments and are therefore only tentative estimates.

The law, investment climate, interest rates and personal circumstances will all change and will affect how accurate our estimations are and how appropriate our recommendations are. Such a plan requires ongoing change sensitivities as well as constant re-examination and alteration of the plan. So update your plan a few months before your expected retirement date and do an annual review. Nothing contained herein shall be construed as an attempt by the Retirement Group, LLC or any of its employees to practice law or accounting. We look forward to speaking with any tax and/or legal professionals you may select regarding the implications of our recommendations. Through your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement via our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and periodic updates. Or call us at (800) 900-5867.

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. 'Layoffs and Job Cuts News - 2024.' The Layoff , 2024, www.thelayoff.com

2. .'Cognizant Technology Solutions Restructuring and Layoff Updates. ' The Layoff , 2024, www.thelayoff.com .

3. 'Cognizant Technology Solutions Pension Plan and 401(k) Details. ' Investopedia , 2024, www.investopedia.com .

4. 'Stock Options and RSU Details for Cognizant Technology Solutions. 5. ' Forbes , 2024, www.forbes.com .

5. 'Cognizant Technology Solutions Employee Stock Options and RSU Guide.' Business Insider , 2024, www.businessinsider.com .

How can employees of General Mills, Inc. maximize their benefits under the BCTGM Retirement Plan, and what factors are considered in determining pension amounts for those nearing retirement? This question aims to explore the intricate details of how General Mills, Inc. structures its pension benefits to support employeesâ€™ future financial stability. It's important for employees to understand the value of their years of service and how this affects their ultimate pension payout as they approach retirement.

Maximizing Benefits under the BCTGM Retirement Plan: Employees of General Mills can maximize their benefits under the BCTGM Retirement Plan by understanding how their years of service and negotiated benefit levels directly affect the pension they receive. The pension amount is determined by the length of service and a defined benefit formula based on the number of years of Benefit Service accrued. As employees approach retirement, they should consider whether they meet eligibility criteria for early or normal retirement, as these factors influence the ultimate pension payout(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

What are the eligibility requirements for participating in the BCTGM Retirement Plan at General Mills, Inc., and how does this participation impact future retirement benefits? Employees should be well-informed about what constitutes eligibility to participate in the retirement plan. Understanding criteria such as service length, employment status, and union participation is crucial, as it directly relates to their ability to accrue retirement benefits.

Eligibility Requirements for BCTGM Retirement Plan: To participate in the BCTGM Retirement Plan, employees must be regular employees of General Mills covered by a collective bargaining agreement. Eligibility is automatic after completing a probationary period. Participation impacts future retirement benefits as employees begin to accrue pension benefits based on years of service, which contributes to their final payout during retirement(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

In what ways does General Mills, Inc. ensure that benefits from the BCTGM Retirement Plan remain protected under federal law, and what role does the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) play in this? Knowledge of the protections available can significantly influence employees' assurance in the viability of their pension benefits. It is vital for employees to recognize how federal guarantees work in safeguarding their retirement benefits.

Federal Law Protections and PBGC's Role: The BCTGM Retirement Plan is protected under federal law, ensuring that employees’ retirement benefits are safeguarded. The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) insures vested benefits, including disability and survivor pensions, up to certain limits. This protection provides employees with assurance that their pensions are protected, even in the event of plan termination(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

How does General Mills, Inc. address the complexities of vesting in the BCTGM Retirement Plan, and what can employees do if they are concerned about their vested rights? Vesting is a key concept that affects employees' access to benefits over their careers. Employees need to understand the vesting schedule outlined by General Mills, Inc. and the implications it has on their retirement plans.

Vesting in the BCTGM Retirement Plan: Employees vest in the BCTGM Retirement Plan after completing five years of Eligibility Service or upon reaching age 65. Once vested, employees have a non-forfeitable right to their pension benefits, which means they retain their pension rights even if they leave the company before reaching retirement age(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

What options are available to employees of General Mills, Inc. if they experience a change in their employment status after being vested in the BCTGM Retirement Plan, and how might this impact their future retirement pensions? This question prompts discussion on the plan's provisions regarding reemployment and what employees should be aware of when considering changes to their employment status.

Impact of Employment Status Changes on Pension: If an employee's status changes after being vested in the BCTGM Retirement Plan, such as leaving the company, they may still be entitled to pension benefits. The plan outlines provisions for reemployment and how prior service years are counted toward future pension calculations. Employees who are reemployed may have their previously earned service restored(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

How does the BCTGM Retirement Plan at General Mills, Inc. work in conjunction with Social Security benefits, and what should employees be aware of regarding offsets or deductions? This can encompass the interplay between corporate pension plans and governmental benefits, which is critical for employees to plan their retirement effectively.

Coordination with Social Security Benefits: The BCTGM Retirement Plan operates in addition to Social Security benefits. There are no direct offsets between the pension and Social Security benefits, meaning employees receive both independently. However, employees should be aware of how the timing of drawing Social Security and pension benefits may affect their overall financial situation(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

What steps must employees of General Mills, Inc. take to initiate a claim for benefits under the BCTGM Retirement Plan, and how does the claims process ensure fairness and transparency? A clear comprehension of the claims process is essential for employees to secure their pension benefits. This question encourages exploration of the procedures in place to assist employees in understanding their rights and options.

Claiming Benefits under the BCTGM Retirement Plan: Employees must terminate employment before claiming their BCTGM Retirement Plan benefits. The claims process involves submitting the required forms, and employees must ensure they provide all necessary documentation for a smooth process. The pension is generally paid monthly, with lump-sum options available under specific circumstances(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

How does the retirement benefit formula of the BCTGM Retirement Plan operate, and what specific factors should an employee of General Mills, Inc. consider while planning for retirement? Delving into the calculations involved in determining retirement benefits is important for employees to understand how their service years and other contributions come together to form their final retirement payout.

Retirement Benefit Formula: The retirement benefit formula is calculated based on the years of Benefit Service and a defined benefit level. As of 2024, for each year of Benefit Service, employees receive $87 per month (increasing to $88 after June 1, 2025). Planning for retirement involves considering how long they will work and the benefit level in place at the time of retirement(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

What additional resources or support does General Mills, Inc. provide to assist employees in planning their retirement and ensuring they make the most of their benefits offered under the BCTGM Retirement Plan? Understanding the tools and resources available can empower employees to take proactive steps in managing their retirement plans effectively.

Resources for Retirement Planning: General Mills offers resources like the Benefits Service Center and online portals (e.g., www.mygenmillsbenefits.com) to assist employees with retirement planning. These tools help employees understand their benefits, calculate potential payouts, and explore options for maximizing their retirement income(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).

How can employees contact General Mills, Inc. for further information about the BCTGM Retirement Plan or specific queries related to their retirement benefits? This question is crucial so employees know the appropriate channels for communication and can seek clarification on any concerns they may have regarding their retirement planning.

Contact Information for Plan Inquiries: Employees can contact General Mills for more information about the BCTGM Retirement Plan through the Benefits Service Center at 1-877-430-4015 or visit www.mygenmillsbenefits.com. This contact provides direct access to support and answers to questions about their retirement benefits(General_Mills_2024_Pens…).