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Value Series II: Verizon Employees Can Use the P/CF Ratio to Find Value

For Verizon employees building a Retirement strategy, focusing on undervalued stocks with a high Price-to-Cash Flow ratio can be a useful tool to improve portfolio performance and plan for the future, 'says [Advisor Name], a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

'As market volatility continues to mount, Verizon employees should look for investment strategies that reward cash flow more than traditional earnings to help them achieve their long-term Retirement goals,' says [Advisor Name], a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

In this article we will discuss:

1. Importance of Price-to-Cash Flow ratio in the evaluation of investment opportunities.

2. Long-term returns how value investing outperformed glamour investing.

3. Role of Price to Cash Flow ratio in retirement planning for Verizon employees & retirees.

Given current market volatility, we think now is a good time to revisit important value metrics with Verizon employees and retirees in our four-part series. Part two of this four part value series will examine the Price-to-Cash Flow ratio. But sometimes investors want to beat the market. Those investors should consider the following proven strategy that some great investors have used.

Value investors learned how to beat the average annualized returns of the S&P 500 decades ago - and many have decades of track record to prove it. The most famous value investor is obviously Warren Buffett, but so are Benjamin Graham, David Dodd, Charlie Munger, Christopher Browne and Seth Klarman. This style invests in four metrics that define a value investment. These are the Price-to-Earnings Ratio, Price-to-Cash Flow Ratio, High Dividend Yield and Price-to-Book Ratio. These metrics are strong indicators of undervalued security, as you will see. These cheap Verizon securities regularly beat the market. How they affect investing depends on some characteristics and how their investment returns are correlated.

Today we examine the Price-to-Cash Flow ratio (P/CF) as a tool for planning for the retirements of Verizon employees. Many feel that using cash flow rather than accounting earnings paints a more complete picture of a company's business performance that may help with investment decisions and investment performance. We understand researched solutions are important to Verizon employees. Below are the results of two Fama and French [1] backtests of cash flow yield (the inverse of P/CF ratio) data from 1951 to 2013. As of December 2013, the sample had 2,526 firms (Carlisle-PCF, P2). The value decile had the 269 stocks with the highest cash flow yield and the glamour decile had the 311 with the lowest cash flow yield. The glamour stocks average USD 4.74 billion in size and stocks are worth USD 4.80 billion. (The average is skewed by the largest companies. In context, the smallest company is worth USD 272 million today (much smaller than average but still investable for most investors).

Stocks having negative cash flow were excluded. Portfolios are formed June 30 and rebalanced annually. In this backtest, the two portfolios are weighted by market capitalization, so bigger firms drive the portfolio performance more and smaller firms less. Here the value decile has returned 16.7 percent compound (18.6 percent in the average year) versus 9.3 percent for the glamour decile (11.5 percent in the average year) (Carlisle-PCF, P3) This is because the value portfolios generated more cash flow per dollar invested compared to the glamour decile. 27.2 percent versus 4.3 percent for the glamour portfolio (Carlisle-PCF, P5). I used a rolling average. The 'average' I've quoted is for the full period. The rolling average is higher but never lower. The rolling average is the annualized mean return for each year-long period (sometimes called a 5-year rolling return) As we noted above, value's outperformance over glamour is not a historical anomaly.

Taking just the period from 1999 we see that even though the return is lower than the long-term average, value has remained the better bet. Since 1999, value outperformed glamour 8.7 percent compounded and 6.2 percent in the average year (Carlisle-PCF, P7) Possibly the popularity of simple value strategies has contributed to lower returns recently. I think it's because the market is still working off the massive overvaluation of the late 1990s Dot Com boom. We think a value-based strategy is best for Verizon employees and retirees Market capitalization-weighted returns can be used to show that the outperformance of value over glamour is not due to value portfolios with smaller stocks. They mean absolutely nothing unless you're running an index or hugging an index. It is easiest to just weight all positions equally in a portfolio. (If we are prepared to take a little more volatility in exchange for a little extra return, we can also Kelly weight [2] our best ideas). Kelly Weighting is based on the Kelly Criterion - a formula for determining what percentage of capital should be invested in each trade to achieve maximum long-term growth.

There are two parts to the formula (Kelly% = W-[(1 - W)/R]: the winning probability factor W and the win/loss ratio R. It is a winning probability that the probability trade will result in a positive return. The win/loss ratio is the sum of the positive trade amounts minus the negative trading amounts. Its result will tell investors what percentage of their total capital they should invest in each investment. Equal weight return statistics for cash flow yield are given below. The value returned 20.7 percent compounded (23.8 percent on average) against glamour's 9.3 percent compounded return (12.5% on average) in the equal weight backtests (Carlisle-PCF, P9).

And you might notice that there is a tiny advantage for the cash flow yield's value decile over the earnings yield's value decile: 20.7 percent to 20.1 percent. We'll examine the impact of that small cash flow win in coming weeks. Again the value portfolios generate more cash flow than the glamour portfolios - 24.6 percent versus 4.1 percent in the glamour portfolios. We saw last week that the average cash flow yield of the equally weighted value portfolio is a bit lower than that of the market capitalization-weighted portfolios.

This means that over the whole period, bigger stocks were generally cheaper than smaller stocks to buy cash flow. Not always, of course, but it is interesting nonetheless. In equal-weight portfolios, value has beaten glamour since 1999 by 11.1 percent compounded and 10.0 percent in the average year. Since the value portfolios generate more cash flow than the glamour portfolios (on average 24.6 percent versus 4.1 percent in the glamour portfolios) we value research just as much as Verizon employees and retirees do (Carlisle-PCF, P10). We saw last week that the average cash flow yield of the equally weighted value portfolio is a bit lower than that of the market capitalization-weighted portfolios.

This means that over the whole period, bigger stocks were generally cheaper than smaller stocks to buy cash flow. Not always, of course, but it is interesting nonetheless. In the equal-weight portfolios, value has outperformed glamour Since 1999 by 11.1 percent compounded and 10.0 percent in the average year (Another study analyzing the P/CF metric is listed below. Brandes study In a Brandes Research Institute Study, exhibit 6 shows global all-cap results across three price metrics. They confirmed a consistent premium across all metrics. Focus is on P/CF ratio and outperformance in decile 10 value stocks. The smallest outperformance between decile 1 glamour stocks and decile 10 value stocks is seen in P/B measurement, where the average outperformance was 7.1% (Brandes, p. 8) In the same Brandes study they tracked Price-to-Cash Flow in the U.S., Non-U.S. and Emerging Markets. In rolling 5 year annualized returns of price-to-cash flow deciles for 1980-2014, the lower price-to-cash flow deciles outperform the higher Price - to-Cash flow deciles.

Results are shown on the graph 'Appendix C: Figure 4' Using P/CF Deciles Findings by Regions. ' Even though all of the lowest Price-to-Cash Flow deciles outperform the high Price-to-Cash Flow deciles, the biggest premiums occur outside of the United States. Actually, the biggest premium is found in emerging markets where companies that generate more cash are better positioned to weather market downturns. This highlights how useful P / CF ratio analysis can be in planning for Verizon employees' and retirees' retirements Currently the average Price-to-Cash Flow (P / CF) for the stocks in the S&P 500 is 13.9.

But like the P/E ratio, any value below 15 to 20 is generally good. A study from Zach's confirms this. According to their testing, a P/CF of 0-10 delivered the best result (17.1% in 10 years). The second best was 10-20, up 10.2%. But at + 30, the odds are stacked against a loss (-2.8%). And over 40, the odds are even greater - -6.9%. You can see that low-price-to-cash-flow stocks outperform high-price-to-cash-flow stocks The Retirement group is a national group of financial advisors. We only plan for and design retirement portfolios for transitioning corporate employees.

And each representative of The Group has been hand picked by the Retirement Group in select cities throughout The United States. Each advisor was screened for pension expertise, financial planning experience and portfolio construction knowledge. TRG believes in teamwork to find solutions to our clients' problems. A conservative investment philosophy guides the team in constructing client portfolios with laddered bonds / CDs / mutual funds / ETFs / Annuities / Stocks and other investments. They handle Retirement / Pensions / Tax / Asset Allocation / Estate / Elder Care issues. This document uses different research tools and techniques. All attempts to estimate future results involve assumptions and judgments and are therefore only tentative estimates.

The law, investment climate, interest rates and personal circumstances will all change and will affect how accurate our estimations are and how appropriate our recommendations are. Such a plan requires ongoing change sensitivities as well as constant re-examination and alteration of the plan. So update your plan a few months before your expected retirement date and do an annual review. Nothing contained herein shall be construed as an attempt by the Retirement Group, LLC or any of its employees to practice law or accounting. We look forward to speaking with any tax and/or legal professionals you may select regarding the implications of our recommendations. Through your retirement years we will continue to update you on issues affecting your retirement via our complimentary and proprietary newsletters, workshops and periodic updates. Or call us at (800) 900-5867.

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. 'Layoffs and Job Cuts News - 2024.' The Layoff , 2024, www.thelayoff.com

2. .'Cognizant Technology Solutions Restructuring and Layoff Updates. ' The Layoff , 2024, www.thelayoff.com .

3. 'Cognizant Technology Solutions Pension Plan and 401(k) Details. ' Investopedia , 2024, www.investopedia.com .

4. 'Stock Options and RSU Details for Cognizant Technology Solutions. 5. ' Forbes , 2024, www.forbes.com .

5. 'Cognizant Technology Solutions Employee Stock Options and RSU Guide.' Business Insider , 2024, www.businessinsider.com .

How does the Verizon Pension Plan facilitate retirement income for long-term employees, and what specific benefits can employees expect when enrolling in the retirement program provided by Verizon? What unique features does the Verizon Pension Plan offer compared to other retirement plans an employee might have encountered, and how can employees maximize the benefits of these features throughout their career at Verizon?

Verizon Pension Plan Benefits: Verizon's Pension Plan offers substantial benefits aimed at facilitating a secure retirement for long-term employees. Upon enrolling in the retirement program, employees can expect defined benefits that are based on their salary and years of service, ensuring a predictable and stable income after retirement. Unique to Verizon, compared to some other plans, may include options for early retirement under certain conditions and a choice between annuity payments or a lump-sum distribution upon retirement. Employees can maximize these features by planning for long-term service and considering their retirement income needs early in their careers.

In what ways can employees at Verizon strategize their rollover decisions when transitioning from the Verizon Pension Plan to other retirement savings plans upon leaving the company? What factors should be considered by Verizon employees to ensure they are making informed choices regarding rolling over funds to a traditional IRA or another qualified employer plan?

Rollover Strategies: When transitioning from the Verizon Pension Plan to other retirement savings options upon leaving the company, employees should strategize their rollover decisions carefully. Factors to consider include the tax implications, the investment options available in the rollover destination, and the timing of the transfer to avoid penalties. Verizon employees should evaluate the benefits of rolling over to a traditional IRA or another employer's plan, considering their future financial needs and retirement goals.

What are the implications of the recent IRS limits for 2024 concerning contributions to retirement plans for Verizon employees, and how does Verizon align its offerings with these federal regulations? Additionally, how can Verizon employees best take advantage of these limits to enhance their retirement savings while adhering to tax regulations?

IRS Contribution Limits: The implications of IRS limits for 2024 are critical for Verizon employees as these limits dictate how much can be contributed tax-deferred into retirement plans. Verizon aligns its offerings with these federal regulations by adjusting contribution limits in their plans accordingly. Employees are encouraged to maximize their contributions to take full advantage of tax-deferred growth, especially when IRS limits increase, thereby enhancing their retirement savings while adhering to tax regulations.

How does the special tax treatment for lump sum distributions from the Verizon Pension Plan affect employees who receive their benefits early or have specific circumstances, such as being born before 1936? What options do these employees have to manage their tax burden effectively, and how can they best navigate these complicated rules while planning for their retirement?

Tax Treatment of Lump Sum Distributions: The special tax treatment for lump sum distributions from the Verizon Pension Plan can significantly affect employees who opt to receive their benefits early or under specific circumstances like being born before 1936. These employees have options to manage their tax burden effectively by opting for ten-year averaging or capital gain treatment on eligible distributions, allowing for a potentially lower tax rate on their pension benefits.

For surviving spouses and alternate payees of Verizon employees, what are the specific benefits available under the Verizon Pension Plan? How do these benefits compare to those available to employees, and what steps must surviving spouses or alternate payees take to ensure they receive their entitled benefits without delays or complications?

Benefits for Surviving Spouses and Alternate Payees: For surviving spouses and alternate payees, the Verizon Pension Plan offers benefits similar to those available to employees, such as annuity payments or lump-sum options. These beneficiaries must take certain steps to ensure they receive their benefits without delays, such as providing necessary documentation and adhering to plan rules. The plan details and processes for claiming benefits should be clearly understood to avoid complications.

How can Verizon employees utilize the resources available through the Verizon Benefits Center to better understand and manage their retirement benefits? What specific tools and services does the Benefits Center provide, and how can these resources assist employees in making informed decisions regarding their pension plan options?

Utilizing Resources at the Verizon Benefits Center: Verizon employees can utilize various tools and services provided by the Verizon Benefits Center to manage and understand their retirement benefits. The Benefits Center offers personalized consultations, detailed plan documentation, and tools for estimating pension benefits and planning retirement income, assisting employees in making informed decisions about their pension plan options.

What challenges might Verizon employees face regarding eligibility and tax withholding when receiving their pension payments, and how can they mitigate these issues? It's crucial for employees to understand the mechanics of eligibility regarding rollovers and payment processing; what key pieces of information should they be aware of to avoid unexpected taxes?

Challenges in Eligibility and Tax Withholding: Verizon employees might face challenges regarding eligibility and tax withholding when receiving pension payments. Understanding the plan's criteria for eligibility, the implications of rollovers, and the impact of mandatory withholding on distributions is crucial. Employees can mitigate these issues by consulting with the Verizon Benefits Center or a tax advisor to ensure compliance and avoid unexpected taxes.

What is the process for Verizon employees wishing to initiate a direct rollover from the Verizon Pension Plan, and what documentation will they need to prepare? Can employees receive assistance from the Verizon Benefits Center during this process, and how does using a direct rollover benefit them compared to other forms of payment?

Direct Rollover Process: The process for initiating a direct rollover involves deciding the destination of the rollover (traditional IRA or another employer plan), completing necessary documentation, and potentially seeking assistance from the Verizon Benefits Center. A direct rollover helps in avoiding immediate taxes and maintaining the tax-deferred status of retirement savings.

In terms of retirement preparedness, how does the pension plan at Verizon accommodate employeesâ€™ needs for financial security in their senior years? What additional education or resources does Verizon provide to assure that employees fully understand their retirement options and the importance of planning ahead?

Retirement Preparedness: Verizon's pension plan is designed to accommodate the financial security needs of employees in their senior years. In addition to the pension benefits, Verizon provides educational resources and planning tools to ensure employees understand their retirement options and the importance of early and consistent retirement planning.

How can employees reach out to the Verizon Benefits Center for further information about the pension plan and other retirement benefits? What specific contact methods are available to employees, and how can these interactions enhance their understanding and management of retirement benefits provided by Verizon?

Contacting the Verizon Benefits Center: Verizon employees seeking more information about their pension plan and other retirement benefits can reach out to the Verizon Benefits Center through various contact methods such as phone, email, or online portals. These interactions are crucial for enhancing understanding and effective management of retirement benefits, ensuring employees make the most of the benefits available to them.