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Understanding Market Trends During Election Seasons: Key Insights for Moderna Employees

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Investment decisions during election seasons often raise questions about their impact on the stock market and the broader implications for long-term dividends. Despite the political fervor that usually accompanies electoral cycles, historical analysis suggests that elections have minimal impact on market performance, offering valuable insights for investors at Moderna navigating these times.

  1. Long-term Investment Strategies

An extensive analysis of economic data over a 90-year period reveals an interesting trend: the stock market has consistently improved, regardless of which political party is in power. Since 1933, both Democratic and Republican administrations have seen the market generally fare well. This continuity highlights the importance for Moderna employees of maintaining a long-term focus rather than reacting to short-term electoral outcomes.

  1. Market Outcomes Under Various Political Scenarios

Investors at Moderna are often concerned about scenarios where one party controls both the presidency and Congress, fearing that such 'sweeps' might bring about unfavorable political changes that impact the markets. However, historical data since 1933 shows that stocks have performed robustly, regardless of the political landscape. During years of unified government, stocks have averaged a 14.4% return, only slightly higher than during years of a divided Congress.

  1. The Predictive Power of the Stock Market

The stock market has demonstrated a remarkable ability to predict the outcome of presidential elections. Since 1936, the S&P 500 Index has accurately indicated the winning party in 20 of the last 24 elections. This connection suggests that market dynamics, which reflect broader economic conditions, can influence electoral outcomes, providing Moderna investors with crucial information.

  1. Investing During Election Years

Election years often lead to increased conservatism among investors, including those at Moderna, who may shift their assets to lower-risk investments such as money market funds. This trend is evident in the significant inflows into these funds during election years, contrasted with greater inflows into equity funds in subsequent years. This behavior highlights the influence of electoral uncertainty on investment decisions while underscoring the dangers of trying to time the market based on political events.

  1. The Cost of Cashing Out During Elections

The tendency to invest in cash during election years can have long-term repercussions on investment returns, especially for Moderna employees planning for retirement. Comparing different investment strategies over the past 23 election cycles has shown that maintaining full investment or continuing regular investments has yielded better long-term results compared to staying in cash. This trend holds across several four-year electoral cycles, emphasizing the benefits of a consistent investment strategy over attempts to navigate political fluctuations.

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In Conclusion

While the immediate approach of elections can introduce volatility to the stock market, historical data strongly supports the idea that long-term investment strategies are generally more resilient than those influenced by political cycles. Investors, including those from Moderna, are advised to distance themselves from electoral rumors and focus on their long-term financial goals, consulting with financial professionals to ensure adequate diversification of their portfolios and alignment with their investment objectives. As another election year approaches, the lessons from history could not be clearer: staying the course remains the prudent strategy amidst political uncertainty.

For Moderna investors nearing retirement, it is crucial to understand how electoral outcomes can influence sectors like healthcare and energy. Research shows that policy proposals during election cycles can lead to increased volatility in these sectors. For instance, a study published in the  Journal of Financial Economics  in June 2021 found that healthcare stocks are particularly vulnerable to political changes brought about by regulatory and policy shifts discussed during campaigns. Those nearing retirement should consider this when assessing specific risks and opportunities in their portfolio during election years.

What is the 401(k) plan offered by Moderna?

Moderna offers a 401(k) plan that allows employees to save for retirement by contributing a portion of their salary on a pre-tax or Roth after-tax basis.

How can I enroll in Moderna's 401(k) plan?

Employees can enroll in Moderna's 401(k) plan through the company’s benefits portal during the open enrollment period or within 30 days of their hire date.

Does Moderna offer a company match for the 401(k) contributions?

Yes, Moderna provides a company match for employee contributions to the 401(k) plan, which helps boost retirement savings.

What is the maximum contribution limit for Moderna's 401(k) plan?

For 2023, the maximum contribution limit for Moderna's 401(k) plan is $22,500, with an additional catch-up contribution of $7,500 for employees aged 50 and older.

Can I change my contribution percentage to Moderna's 401(k) plan?

Yes, employees can change their contribution percentage to Moderna's 401(k) plan at any time through the benefits portal.

What investment options are available in Moderna's 401(k) plan?

Moderna's 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, target-date funds, and company stock.

How often can I change my investment choices in Moderna's 401(k) plan?

Employees can change their investment choices in Moderna's 401(k) plan at any time, allowing for flexibility in managing their retirement savings.

Is there a vesting schedule for the company match in Moderna's 401(k) plan?

Yes, Moderna has a vesting schedule for the company match, which typically requires employees to work for a certain number of years before they fully own the matched contributions.

Can I take a loan against my 401(k) with Moderna?

Yes, Moderna allows employees to take loans against their 401(k) balance, subject to specific terms and conditions outlined in the plan document.

What happens to my 401(k) plan if I leave Moderna?

If you leave Moderna, you have several options for your 401(k) plan, including rolling it over to an IRA or a new employer's plan, cashing it out, or leaving it with Moderna.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.
Moderna offers a comprehensive retirement benefits package, which includes a defined contribution 401(k) plan. The company's 401(k) plan allows employees to make contributions through payroll deductions, with Moderna matching contributions based on employee elections. As of 2023, the contribution limit for Moderna employees participating in the 401(k) plan is $22,500, with an additional catch-up contribution of $7,500 for employees aged 50 and older​ (Mondaq)​ (KPMG). These limits reflect increases compared to the prior year, consistent with IRS guidelines. The plan offers both traditional 401(k) and Roth 401(k) options, allowing for tax-deferred or post-tax contributions, depending on the employee's financial strategy. Moderna also offers employer matching contributions, enhancing retirement savings for participating employees. Moderna’s plan provides various investment options, allowing employees to customize their retirement portfolios based on risk tolerance and retirement goals​ (Mondaq). Moderna uses its own specific acronyms, such as "RSP" (Retirement Savings Plan) for the 401(k) plan and "ModMatch" for its matching contribution feature. Employees become eligible for the 401(k) plan upon hire, and those who work at least 500 hours over three consecutive 12-month periods qualify to make contributions starting January 2024, as part of the SECURE Act amendments​
Moderna announced layoffs in 2024, primarily affecting its manufacturing unit, as part of a resizing strategy linked to its COVID production footprint. The company decided to cut jobs due to reduced demand for its COVID-related products and to optimize manufacturing costs. CEO Stéphane Bancel emphasized the importance of ongoing cost improvements in manufacturing as the company pivots away from focusing solely on COVID vaccines toward a broader pharmaceutical portfolio. Moderna expanded its headcount by 44% in 2023, but these layoffs reflect a necessary adjustment to its business strategy moving forward​ (FiercePharma).
Moderna provides its employees with stock options and Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) as part of their long-term incentive compensation. These programs are designed to align employee interests with shareholder value by granting ownership stakes in Moderna. Employees may receive Non-Qualified Stock Options (NSOs) and RSUs, which vest over time. NSOs give employees the right to buy Moderna stock at a pre-determined price, while RSUs grant shares upon vesting without the need for an initial purchase​ (SEC.gov)​ (Moderna). In 2022, Moderna reported that its stock option grants focused on driving financial and operational goals, including stock price appreciation. The company ensures that the majority of executive compensation is tied to at-risk components like stock options and RSUs. These awards are typically available to executives and employees in key roles​ (SEC.gov)​ (Moderna). The RSU program at Moderna also emphasizes long-term retention and performance, rewarding employees based on their contributions to the company's success. Moderna's stock options and RSU plans in 2023 and 2024 remained focused on aligning long-term incentives with business objectives, including the expansion of its pipeline and manufacturing capacity​ (SEC.gov). Executives and high-performing employees across various departments are eligible for these equity awards, ensuring their incentives are linked to Moderna’s overall performance​ (Moderna).
Health Insurance Options: Moderna provides multiple insurance plans, including health, dental, and vision coverage, ensuring that employees have access to preventive and medical care. These plans also include options for telemedicine and wellness care, reflecting industry trends. Lifestyle Spending Account: This program offers employees an annual allowance they can use towards fitness, nutrition, and other wellness activities, helping them maintain a healthy lifestyle. Personal Enrichment Benefit: This unique benefit provides an annual stipend for personal growth, such as attending language classes or certification programs like yoga instruction. Mental Health Support: Moderna prioritizes mental health with programs that offer support through Employee Assistance Programs (EAP), which include confidential counseling services. Family and Parental Benefits: The company has generous parental leave programs and fertility benefits, which have become standard in their competitive benefits package.
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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Moderna at , ; or by calling them at .

https://rodgers-associates.com/blog/5-steps-successful-nua-transaction/ https://www.retirementwatch.com/the-net-unrealized-appreciation-nua-tax-strategy https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/personal-finance/retirement/company-stock https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/employee-benefits-compensation/1377676/2023-retirement-plan-year-end-amendments-and-operational-compliancehttps://kpmg.com/us/en/home/insights/2023/11/tnf-notice-2023-75-pension-plans-cost-of-living-adjustments-2024.html https://tax.thomsonreuters.com/blog/irs-announces-2023-retirement-plan-dollar-limits-and-thresholds/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moderna_COVID-19_vaccine https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/pension-plan-funding-segment-rates https://www.foxrothschild.com/publications/interest-rate-hikes-present-challenge-for-fully-funded-pension-plans https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/retirement-superannuation-pensions/1275478/secure-20-new-laws-expand-retirement-plan-eligibility-for-long-term-part-time-employees https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1682852/000130817923000184/lmrna2023_def14a.htm https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/moderna-lays-parts-manufacturing-team-after-rightsizing-covid-footprint https://investors.modernatx.com/news/news-details/2023/Moderna-to-Acquire-OriCiro-Genomics/default.aspx https://www.pharmanewsintel.com/news/moderna-to-buy-japanese-firm-oriciro-in-its-first-ever-acquisition https://www.thelayoff.com/t/1rlFrVQz https://www.nerdwallet.com/article/investing/retirement-statistics https://www.fidelity.com/calculators-tools/retirement-calculator/overview https://www.kiplinger.com/ https://www.daypitney.com/ https://www.milliman.com/en/

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