The Hidden Costs of Layoffs at Guess: What Employees and Retirees Need to Know

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Guess Guess, the renowned apparel and accessories brand, typically partners with national health insurance providers like UnitedHealthcare for employee healthcare coverage. Such partnerships enable them to offer comprehensive health plans to their employees, ensuring access to a wide network of healthcare services. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 In 2026, healthcare costs are projected to rise sharply, presenting significant challenges for consumers and businesses alike. Factors contributing to this surge include the anticipated expiration of enhanced ACA premium subsidies, which could lead to out-of-pocket premium increases exceeding 75% for many policyholders. Additionally, ongoing inflation in the medical sector, driven by escalating costs in hospital services, labor shortages, and increased drug prices, further complicates the financial landscape. As healthcare providers and insurers navigate these pressures, consumers may find themselves facing unprecedented cost burdens unless proactive measures are taken to mitigate the impact. Click here to learn more

When a significant company like Guess faces the tough decision of layoffs, the immediate financial consequences can often be surprising. For example, when a tech giant announced cuts in November 2022 involving 11,000 employees, the separation expenses alone amounted to nearly $975 million, averaging over $88,000 per affected employee. While these costs are substantial, they were reported to be offset by reductions in current expenses such as salaries, bonuses, and other benefits.

The Real Price of Layoffs at Guess

Accounting for layoffs by simply calculating cost reductions and immediate savings can often overlook the deeper, more hidden costs. Research and expert analysis suggest that layoffs can disrupt productivity, morale, and overall company performance. Guess employees might experience fear and a decline in morale, resulting in decreased work quality and an increase in workplace accidents and product defects. Additionally, companies like Guess often face higher turnover rates, necessitating extra expenses to hire and train new employees. Other financial consequences include increased unemployment insurance tax rates and potential legal costs from discrimination lawsuits.

Indirect Costs and Long-term Impact for Guess

According to Wayne Cascio, a renowned professor at the University of Colorado-Denver Business School, companies that opt for temporary measures such as furloughs instead of direct layoffs tend to regenerate and perform better financially up to two years later. This finding could be relevant for Guess when considering different strategies to manage workforce reductions.

Separation Practices Across Industries and at Guess

The approach to separation varies significantly across industries and geographic regions, and Guess's practices might reflect this diversity. For instance, a quarter of U.S. companies ensure separation for all employees, while the global rate is slightly over 42%. In the healthcare sector, companies often offer more favorable terms, which can include extended medical benefits and compensation for increased leave time. As an example, Theseus Pharmaceuticals Inc. provided a severance package averaging $212,000 to each laid-off employee, one of the highest recorded by Bloomberg’s analysis. Understanding how Guess's approach compares can provide insights into industry best practices.

Productivity Decline Post-Layoff at Guess

Data from ActivTrak, which monitors employee efficiency through software, shows a tangible decrease in productivity following layoffs. For instance, among  seven companies  studied from January 2022 to April 2024, the average working time dropped by nearly an hour per day. This results in a loss of about 18 hours per month per employee, leading to significant financial losses over time. Guess might need to consider these productivity impacts when planning workforce reductions.

Long-term Costs of Increased Turnover at Guess

Implementing layoffs leads to an increase in voluntary turnover rates, which can be more costly than the layoffs themselves. According to a  hypothetical study  based on a company of 10,000 employees, if 10% of its workforce were laid off, voluntary quit rates could increase by 49%, leading to significant costs to replace these individuals, often amounting to 1.25 times their annual salary. Guess could face similar challenges, requiring careful planning to mitigate these long-term costs.

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Legal and Compliance Costs for Guess

The legal framework related to layoffs is complex and varies by state. Companies like Guess engage external experts to ensure compliance with employment laws and to minimize the risk of discrimination lawsuits. Labor economists like Mike DuMond from the Berkeley Research Group often conduct several rounds of demographic analysis to ensure layoffs do not unfairly target protected groups. Additionally, the costs related to legal compliance, including the requirement for WARN Act notifications for mass layoffs, add another layer of expense.

Conclusion for Guess Employees

The decision to proceed with layoffs, although often seen as a necessary step to cut expenses, involves many hidden and delayed costs. These encompass not only direct financial burdens such as separation and legal fees but also long-term consequences on employee productivity and Guess's reputation. Understanding these complex dynamics is crucial for Guess when contemplating workforce reductions as a strategy to cope with financial difficulties.