How Tariffs May Impact CHS Employees and Retirees

'CHS employees should recognize that while U.S. tariffs may cause short-term market fluctuations, maintaining a diversified investment portfolio remains essential to managing long-term risks and ensuring financial stability amidst economic uncertainty.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

'CHS employees should consider that while tariffs may influence market volatility, strategic diversification across various industries and geographies can provide resilience and help protect retirement savings from potential disruptions.' – Tyson Mavar, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

In this article, we will discuss:

The impact of U.S. tariffs on international trade and economic policy—how tariffs affect trade relations with China, Mexico, and Canada and their implications for border policies and industry regulation.
Market volatility and investment strategies—the influence of tariffs on financial markets, economic growth, and strategies investors can use to manage risk.
Historical and future implications of tariffs—a look at past tariff policies, their effectiveness, and the potential long-term consequences for businesses and retirement planning.

Imports from China have been subject to tariffs imposed by the United States and they are considering extending those measures to imports from Mexico and Canada as well. This move targets trade, border policies, and drug trafficking policy conflicts. Essentially taxes on imported goods and services, these tariffs are designed to force other countries to change their policies. China responded with tariffs on some American imports and a 30-day moratorium on duties for Mexico and Canada, which was announced on February 3 as talks continue.

The maze of international trade laws and tariffs might affect economic growth, the stock market, and industries such as energy. Whether exemptions will be granted or how long the tariffs will remain is unclear. Also, fluctuations in currency exchange rates might affect import prices in the United States.

Market Volatility & Economic Considerations

Financial markets have historically been more sensitive to business profitability and the health of the U.S. economy than to short-term government policies. Uncertainties about tariffs temporarily affect the markets but fundamental economic factors remain critical. A diversified investment portfolio is prudent during such periods, institutional portfolio manager Naveen Malwal said. A balanced strategy should contain investments across geographies and industries and exposure to global equities and bonds.

Historical Perspective & Tariff Implications

Governments have historically used tariffs to advance national interests, adjust foreign government policies, and support domestic industries. Following World War II, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) cut world tariffs dramatically to promote international commerce. But in the past decade, some governments have rethought the benefits of free trade, raising tariffs to help domestic industries. The International Monetary Fund says that since 2012, there have been 2,845 additional tariffs placed on the world.

Tariffs do a number of strategic things, such as drive consumers to domestic alternatives if they pay more for imported goods. Anti-dumping tariffs create fair competition by addressing foreign trade practices that disadvantage domestic industries.

The US Tariff Policy & Its Impact

US tariffs have often influenced trade - beginning with duties on imported sugar in 1789, and growing over time. In 2018, the U.S. placed tariffs on USD 360 billion of Chinese imports over trade policy and intellectual property concerns. Many of those tariffs remain and additional levies on another USD 18 billion in Chinese imports are expected in subsequent years.

Economic Effects of Tariffs

Though importing companies pay tariffs directly to government agencies, the financial burden often is passed on to consumers in higher prices. But in the past decade, rising inflation has not been a consistent result of U.S. tariffs. For instance, when Trump imposed tariffs on China in January 2018, U.S. inflation hit 2.9% before settling at about 2.5% prior to the pandemic.

Future Challenges and Considerations

The efficacy of tariffs is still debated. Tariff supporters point to jobs and growth of domestic industries. Criticism is that tariffs would eventually lead to higher production costs and consumer prices - and possibly lower employment levels.

Economic projections show proposed and existing tariffs could trim U.S. GDP by 1%. In addition, economists still weigh whether tariffs drive inflation.

Investment Strategies Amid Uncertainty

Traders are urged to look long term even as tariff uncertainty persists. Fidelity Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, Denise Chisholm, says historical trends indicate that tariffs cause market volatility, but conditions settle down eventually. Currently, large valuation spreads indicate market uncertainty and may present growth opportunities as the market adjusts.

When constructing portfolios, investors should consider their time horizon, risk tolerance, and financial objectives. An investment portfolio of equities, bonds, and short-term investments geared toward individual financial goals may help you remain resilient in times of economic uncertainty.

Tariffs on Retirement Planning

For CHS employees approaching retirement, tariffs could affect investment portfolios - especially those with foreign assets - significantly. Tariffs could affect foreign investment return through impacting profitability and adding to market fluctuation. A March 2021 Brookings Institution report advises retirees to assess their retirement portfolio exposure to foreign markets and consider how to hedge against trade disputes risks. Diversifying investments across asset classes and geographic regions with differing trade policy exposure may hedge against risks of tariff-driven economic shifts.

How U.S. tariffs impact trade with Canada, Mexico, and China is important for evaluating their effect on investment portfolios, economic stability, and stock market performance. The history of tariffs, their use strategically to aid domestic industries, and their potential effects on world pricing and commerce are examined. For CHS employees seeking financial consistency amid tariff-related economic shifts, diversified investment strategies remain a good strategy.

Articles you may find interesting:

Source:

1. Gertz, Geoffrey. 'Trump's 25% Tariffs on Canada and Mexico Will Be a Blow to All 3 Economies.' Brookings Institution , 4 Feb. 2025, brookings.edu.

2. Vanguard. 'Considering the Potential Impact of Tariffs.' Vanguard , 7 Feb. 2025, corporate.vanguard.com.

3. J.P. Morgan Global Research Team. 'Trump's Tariff Policy Leaves Markets Uncertain. Investors Should Focus Their Strategy on the Long Term.' J.P. Morgan , 6 Feb. 2025, jpmorgan.com.

4. Invesco. 'Tariffs Rattle Stock Markets, but What's the Long-Term Impact?' Invesco , 7 Feb. 2025, invesco.com.

5. Peterson Institute for International Economics. 'Trump's Tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China Would Cost the Typical US Household Over $1,200 a Year.' Peterson Institute for International Economics , 3 Feb. 2025, piie.com.

What are the specific criteria that determine eligibility for the various contributions within the CHS 401(k) plan, and how do these contributions affect an employeeâ€™s retirement savings over time at CHS? Understanding these criteria can help employees maximize their contributions to ensure they are making the most of the benefits offered by CHS.

Eligibility for 401(k) Contributions: CHS employees can contribute up to 75% of their eligible compensation to their 401(k), with an IRS limit of $18,000 (in 2017) plus an additional $6,000 for those aged 50 and older. CHS also provides a basic contribution of 2% and a performance-based contribution, which increases based on years of service(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Understanding these contributions can help maximize retirement savings.

How does the CHS Pension Plan work, particularly regarding the differences between the traditional account and the cash balance account? Employees might want to delve into how their choices and years of service will impact their retirement payout from either account.

CHS Pension Plan Structure: CHS offers a pension plan with both traditional and cash balance accounts. The traditional account is based on average pay and years of service, while the cash balance account accrues pay credits based on service. After December 31, 2017, pay credits ceased, but interest credits continue(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Employees should understand how these accounts affect their retirement benefits.

In what ways does the vesting schedule of CHS employer contributions influence an employee's retirement strategy? Employees at CHS need to understand how vesting affects their overall benefits and what steps they must take to ensure they are fully vested in time for retirement.

Vesting Schedule Impact: CHS has a three-year vesting schedule for its basic 401(k) contributions, while match and performance-based contributions are immediately vested(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Knowing the vesting rules is crucial for employees planning their retirement strategy, ensuring full benefits are realized.

Can you explain what "frozen" benefits mean for employees nearing retirement at CHS, and how this affects the calculations of future pension benefits? It's critical for employees to grasp the implications of a frozen pension account on their retirement plans.

Frozen Benefits: CHS employees with frozen benefits in the pension plan will not receive further pay credits after December 31, 2017, but interest credits will continue(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Understanding this freeze is essential for planning retirement payouts.

How can employees at CHS plan for their retirement withdrawals post-employment, particularly focusing on the pension distribution options that are available to them? Employees may find it beneficial to understand the long-term effects of these options on their financial health during retirement.

Retirement Withdrawals: CHS employees have the option to withdraw retirement savings via lump-sum payments or monthly annuities(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Choosing the right distribution option can significantly impact long-term financial health in retirement.

What actions should employees take if they want to change their contribution elections or investment strategies within CHS retirement plans? Knowledge of the processes for making changes can empower employees to take proactive steps in managing their retirement savings.

Changing Contribution Elections: Employees can change their contribution and investment elections online via the Empower Retirement portal or by calling Empower Retirement(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). This flexibility allows for proactive management of retirement savings.

How does the ability to access and review pension benefits online through the Empower Retirement website enhance the retirement planning process for employees at CHS? This question can lead to discussions about the importance of staying informed about one's financial future.

Access to Pension Benefits Online: Employees can access their pension benefits through Empower Retirement’s website(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Regularly reviewing these accounts is crucial for staying informed about retirement planning.

What are the implications for CHS employees who are not 100% vested in the Pension Plan before the freeze date, and what alternative options do they have for their retirement savings? Understanding this will help employees make informed choices regarding their benefits.

Not Fully Vested Before Freeze: If employees were not fully vested in the pension plan before the freeze date, they are still eligible to receive vested benefits(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Exploring alternative retirement savings options is important for those affected.

How do fluctuations in national interest rates impact the retirement plans of employees at CHS, particularly in the context of cash balance accounts? Employees should consider how external economic factors can affect their financial future.

Interest Rate Impact: The interest rate used to calculate cash balance account credits is the 10-year Treasury constant maturity rate plus 2%. These rates fluctuate annually(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Employees should be aware of how changes in interest rates affect their pension growth.

How should employees contact CHS for more information regarding their retirement benefits, and what resources are particularly useful for navigating the complexities of the pension and 401(k) plans? Contacting the right departments or utilizing specific resources can be crucial for maximizing retirement benefits at CHS. These questions are designed to provide depth and complexity, enabling employees to better understand their retirement benefits and the policies at CHS.

Contacting CHS for Retirement Information: Employees can contact Empower Retirement for pension and 401(k) inquiries via the Empower Retirement website or by phone(CHS_12_31_2017_Retireme…). Utilizing these resources can help navigate complex retirement options.

For more information you can reach the plan administrator for CHS at 5500 Cenex Dr Inver Grove Heights, MN 55077; or by calling them at (651) 355-6000.