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Southern California Edison Insights: What’s Fueling the 2025 Gold Rally?

'For Southern California Edison employees navigating today’s volatile economic landscape, the surge in gold prices underscores the importance of reviewing long-term financial strategies through a lens of historical perspective and market resilience.' – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'The sharp rise in gold prices in 2025 reminds Southern California Edison employees to evaluate how global economic shifts and inflation trends could impact their broader retirement planning approach.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

The driving forces behind gold’s price increase in 2025, including central bank activity and global economic conditions.
Historical patterns of gold rallies and their relevance to current market dynamics.
Strategic implications for investors, including Southern California Edison employees, given gold's recent performance.

Gold is experiencing one of its strongest years on record, rising as much as 30% year-over-year. ¹ In April 2025, it rose as high as $3,500 per troy ounce ¹ —nearly double its price from the autumn of 2022. Multiple global factors are fueling this rise, including increased activity from central banks, shifts in investment strategies, and persistent economic uncertainty. These developments are influencing sentiment across financial markets, including for Southern California Edison investors with concentrated commodity exposures.

The Rally's Basis

A primary catalyst of this rally has been a notable increase in gold purchases by central banks, especially from non-OECD countries. From 2022 to 2024, central banks added approximately 1,000 metric tons of gold to their reserves each year. ² Poland was a standout in 2024, acquiring 90 metric tons. ³ Boris Shepov, co-manager of the Fidelity® Select Gold Portfolio (FSAGX), notes that this behavior reflects a move away from reliance on the U.S. dollar. ⁴ This trend may influence the strategic positioning of commodity-related businesses as dollar fluctuations impact both oil and gold pricing.

China’s ongoing demand for gold further reinforces global interest. In April 2025 alone, China imported 127.5 metric tons of gold—an 11-month high ⁵ —prompting the People’s Bank of China to ease bullion import controls. This surge in both consumer and institutional interest in gold reflects broader concerns about macroeconomic volatility, a factor that also affects pricing trends in global energy markets relevant to companies like Southern California Edison.

Economic Instability as a Catalyst

Ongoing global financial concerns are contributing to increased demand for gold. Since late 2022, rising fears of a potential recession have driven investors toward assets viewed as more resilient in uncertain environments. These dynamics helped gold surpass the $2,000 threshold. In Q1 2025, after the U.S. credit rating was downgraded by Moody’s from 'Aaa' to 'Aa1' due to negative GDP growth, the shift toward gold intensified. Similar volatility affects investment behavior in sectors tied to commodities.

Historic Context

Previous gold rallies offer a useful frame of reference. In the late 1970s, runaway inflation sparked a rapid rise in gold prices. During the 2007–08 financial crisis, investors shifted to gold amid widespread economic disruption. The 2010s saw gold gradually rise in tandem with expanding global liquidity, while the 2020 pandemic fueled another gold spike as central banks introduced stimulus. As with oil, gold often mirrors broader economic trends—a trend that should remain on the radar of any investor, including those at Southern California Edison.

Today’s Environment

The current rally gained momentum in late 2022 and accelerated significantly after gold broke through $2,000 in 2023. Now trading at record levels, gold’s rise reflects changing global capital allocation patterns and heightened economic uncertainty. For Southern California Edison employees, this shift parallels evolving investment approaches influenced by inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical developments.

The Road Ahead

Despite the current bullish environment, many market analysts urge caution. Although gold’s price may be exceeding some underlying real-rate fundamentals, interest rates and inflation will still play a role in determining future trends. Southern California Edison employees and retirees may find these macroeconomic signals relevant when reviewing oil-linked investments and corporate strategy outlooks.

Shepov remains positive on gold’s long-term trajectory, citing structural factors like fiscal deficits and expanded monetary supply. However, he also acknowledges the likelihood of short-term fluctuations, with corrections of 10% to 15% remaining a common feature during extended rallies.

Final Insights

The convergence of global instability, policy recalibration, and institutional demand has created a powerful backdrop for gold. While historical events help contextualize the present environment, each rally emerges from a unique combination of risk factors and potential opportunities. For Southern California Edison employees evaluating investment allocation strategies, gold stands as both a potential value-preserving asset and a market influenced by evolving global conditions.

One of the more prominent developments in 2025 has been the increase in gold-backed exchange traded fund (ETF) flows. Over 150 tonnes were added to global retirement portfolios in Q1, according to the World Gold Council. This activity suggests that many retirement-focused investors are adapting to changing market conditions by incorporating gold into their strategies.

Understanding the gold rally in 2025 requires an examination of central bank activity, inflation trends, U.S. dollar positioning, and ETF flows. For Southern California Edison employees and stakeholders, these elements echo shifts in the broader energy and commodity sectors and speak to the ongoing need to pay close attention to shifting geopolitical and market trends when structuring portfolios.

Analogy

The 2025 surge in gold resembles a cargo ship returning to harbor after navigating turbulent seas. For seasoned investors—much like experienced Southern California Edison employees monitoring ocean currents—the reappearance of familiar indicators such as elevated inflation and depreciating currencies suggests that gold’s ascent was a foreseeable response to prevailing conditions. This rally, like previous voyages, highlights the importance of maintaining a thoughtful approach during economic uncertainty.

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Sources:

1. J.P. Morgan. ' Will gold prices break $4,000/oz in 2026? ' June 10, 2025.

2. RBC Wealth Management. ' Gold's regime change? ' by Joseph Wu. June 26, 2025.

3. VettaFi Advisor Perspectives. ' Central Banks Continued Stockpiling Gold in Q1 ,' by Mike Maharrey. May 9, 2025.

4. Kitco News. ' Gold's long-term drivers remain, but investors should be cautious in the near term - Fidelity's Shepov and Oldham ,' by Ernest Hoffman. May 30, 2025.

5. Kitco News. ' China's gold imports via Hong Kong nearly tripled to 43.5 tonnes in April as premiums rose ,' by Ernest Hoffman. May 27, 2025.

Other Resources:

1. Stevens, Jessica. “Central Banks on Track for 4th Year of Massive Gold Purchases.” Reuters , 5 June 2025, https://www.reuters.com/world/india/central-banks-track-4th-year-massive-gold-purchases-metals-focus-says-2025-06-05/ .

2. World Gold Council. Gold Demand Trends Q1 2025 . World Gold Council, May 2025, www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q1-2025 .

3. Doshi, Aakash, and Diego Andrade. Gold 2025 Midyear Outlook . State Street Global Advisors, 4 June 2025, www.ssga.com/library-content/pdfs/global/gold-2025-midyear-outlook.pdf .

4. Szafron, Jeremy. “Gold Demand Surges in Q1 as Central Banks and Investors Buy Up Bullion.” Kitco News , 21 May 2025, https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-05-21/gold-demand-surges-q1-central-banks-and-investors-return-market-says-wgcs .

5. Mackenzie, Michael. “Gold Set to Rally Further This Year, Say Wall Street Banks.” Financial Times , 12 Jan. 2025, https://www.ft.com/content/9fa96c1d-03f2-4d25-9644-b29ae19407aa .

How does SoCalGas determine its pension contribution levels for 2024, and what factors influence the funding strategies to maintain financial stability? In preparing for the Test Year (TY) 2024, SoCalGas employs a detailed actuarial process to ascertain the necessary pension contributions. The actuarial valuation includes an assessment of the company's Projected Benefit Obligation (PBO) under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). These calculations incorporate variables such as current employee demographics, expected retirement ages, and market conditions. Additionally, SoCalGas must navigate external economic factors, including interest rates and economic forecasts, which can impact the funded status of its pension plans and the associated financial obligations.

SoCalGas determines its pension contribution levels using a detailed actuarial process that evaluates the Projected Benefit Obligation (PBO) under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). The contribution is influenced by variables such as employee demographics, retirement age expectations, market conditions, and external economic factors like interest rates and economic forecasts. SoCalGas maintains financial stability by adjusting funding strategies based on market returns and required amortization periods(Southern_California_Gas…).

What specific changes to SoCalGas's pension plan are being proposed for the upcoming fiscal year, and how will these changes impact existing employees and retirees? The proposals for the TY 2024 incorporate adjustments to the existing pension funding mechanisms, including the continuation of the two-way balancing account to account for fluctuations in pension costs. This measure is designed to stabilize funding while meeting both the service cost and the annual minimum contributions required under regulatory standards. Existing employees and retirees may see changes in their benefits as adjustments are made to align with these funding strategies, which may include modifications to expected payouts or contributions required from retirees depending on their service years and retirement age.

For the 2024 Test Year, SoCalGas is proposing to adjust its pension funding policy by shortening the amortization period for the PBO shortfall from fourteen to seven years. This change aims to fully fund the pension plan more quickly, improving long-term financial health while reducing intergenerational ratepayer burden. Existing employees and retirees may experience greater financial stability in the pension plan due to these proactive funding strategies(Southern_California_Gas…).

In what ways does SoCalGas's health care cost escalation projections for postretirement benefits compare with national trends, and what strategies are in place to manage these costs? The health care cost escalations required for the Postretirement Health and Welfare Benefits Other than Pension (PBOP) at SoCalGas have been developed in alignment with industry trends, which show consistent increases in health care expenses across the nation. Strategies implemented by SoCalGas involve negotiation with health care providers for favorable rates, introduction of health reimbursement accounts (HRAs), and ongoing assessments of utilization rates among retirees to identify potential savings. These measures aim to contain costs while ensuring that retirees maintain access to necessary healthcare services without a significant financial burden.

SoCalGas's healthcare cost projections for its Postretirement Benefits Other than Pensions (PBOP) align with national trends of increasing healthcare expenses. To manage these costs, SoCalGas employs strategies like negotiating favorable rates with providers, utilizing health reimbursement accounts (HRAs), and regularly assessing healthcare utilization. These efforts aim to control healthcare costs while ensuring that retirees receive necessary care(Southern_California_Gas…).

What resources are available to SoCalGas employees to help them understand their benefits and the changes that may occur in 2024? SoCalGas provides various resources to employees to clarify their benefits and upcoming changes, including dedicated HR representatives, comprehensive guides on benefits options, web-based portals, and informational seminars. Employees can access personalized accounts to view their specific benefits, contributions, and projections. Additionally, the company offers regular training sessions covering changes in benefits and how to navigate the retirement process effectively, empowering employees to make informed decisions regarding their retirement planning.

SoCalGas provides employees with various resources, including HR representatives, benefit guides, and web-based portals to help them understand their benefits. Employees also have access to personalized retirement accounts and training sessions that cover benefit changes and retirement planning, helping them make informed decisions regarding their future(Southern_California_Gas…).

How does the PBOP plan impact SoCalGasâ€™s overall compensation strategy for attracting talent? The PBOP plan is a critical component of SoCalGasâ€™s total compensation strategy, designed to attract and retain high-caliber talent in an increasingly competitive market. SoCalGas recognizes that comprehensive postretirement benefits enhance their appeal as an employer. The direct correlation between competitive benefits packages, including the PBOP plan's provisions for health care coverage and financial support during retirement, plays a significant role in talent acquisition and retention by providing peace of mind for employees about their long-term financial security.

SoCalGas's PBOP plan plays a crucial role in its overall compensation strategy by offering competitive postretirement health benefits that enhance the attractiveness of the company's total compensation package. This helps SoCalGas attract and retain a high-performing workforce, as comprehensive retirement and healthcare benefits are important factors for employees when choosing an employer(Southern_California_Gas…).

What are the anticipated trends in the pension and postretirement cost estimates for SoCalGas from 2024 through 2031, and what implications do these trends hold for financial planning? Anticipated trends in pension and postretirement cost estimates are projected to indicate gradual increases in these costs due to changing demographics, increasing life expectancies, and inflation impacting healthcare costs. Financial planning at SoCalGas thus necessitates a proactive approach to ensure adequate funding mechanisms are in place. This involves forecasting contributions that will remain in line with the projected obligations while also navigating regulatory requirements to avoid potential funding shortfalls or impacts on corporate finances.

SoCalGas anticipates gradual increases in pension and postretirement costs from 2024 to 2031 due to changing demographics, increased life expectancies, and rising healthcare costs. This trend implies that SoCalGas will need to implement robust financial planning strategies, including forecasting contributions and aligning funding mechanisms with regulatory requirements to avoid potential shortfalls(Southern_California_Gas…).

How do SoCalGas's pension plans compare with those offered by other utility companies in California in terms of competitiveness and sustainability? When evaluating SoCalGas's pension plans compared to other California utility companies, it becomes evident that SoCalGas's offerings emphasize not only competitive benefits but also a sustainable framework for its pension obligations. This comparative analysis includes studying funding ratios, benefit structures, and employee satisfaction levels. SoCalGas aims to maintain a robust pension plan that not only meets current employee needs but is also sustainable in the long term, adapting to changing economic conditions and workforce requirements while remaining compliant with state regulations.

SoCalGas's pension plans are competitive with those of other utility companies in California, with a focus on both benefit structure and long-term sustainability. SoCalGas emphasizes maintaining a robust pension plan that is adaptable to changing market conditions, regulatory requirements, and workforce needs. This allows the company to remain an attractive employer while ensuring the sustainability of its pension commitments(Southern_California_Gas…).

How can SoCalGas employees reach out for support regarding their pension and retirement benefits, and what types of inquiries can they make? Employees can contact SoCalGasâ€™s Human Resources Benefits Department through dedicated communication channels such as the companyâ€™s HR support line, email, or scheduled one-on-one consultations. The HR team is trained to address a variety of inquiries related to pension benefits, eligibility requirements, plan options, and retirement planning strategies. Moreover, employees can request personalized benefits statements and assistance with understanding their entitlements and the implications of any regulatory changes affecting their plans.

SoCalGas employees can reach out to the company's HR Benefits Department through a dedicated support line, email, or consultations. They can inquire about pension benefits, eligibility, plan options, and retirement strategies. Employees may also request personalized benefits statements and clarification on regulatory changes that may affect their plans(Southern_California_Gas…).

What role does market volatility and economic conditions play in shaping the funding strategy of SoCalGas's pension plans? Market volatility and economic conditions play a significant role in shaping SoCalGas's pension funding strategy, influencing both asset returns and liabilities. Fluctuations in interest rates, market performance of invested pension assets, and changes in demographic factors directly affect the PBO calculation, requiring SoCalGas to adjust its funding strategy responsively. This involved the use of sophisticated financial modeling and scenario analysis to ensure that the pension plans remain adequately funded and financially viable despite adverse economic conditions, thereby protecting the interests of current and future beneficiaries.

Market volatility and economic conditions significantly impact SoCalGas's pension funding strategy, affecting both asset returns and liabilities. Factors like interest rates, market performance of pension assets, and demographic shifts influence the PBO calculation, prompting SoCalGas to adjust its funding strategy to ensure adequate pension funding and long-term plan viability(Southern_California_Gas…).

What steps have SoCalGas and SDG&E proposed to recover costs related to pension and PBOP to alleviate financial pressure on ratepayers? SoCalGas and SDG&E proposed implementing a two-way balancing account mechanism designed to smoothly recover the costs associated with their pension and PBOP plans. This initiative aims to ensure that any variances between projected and actual contributions are adjusted in a timely manner, thereby reducing the financial burden on ratepayers. By utilizing this approach, the Companies seek to maintain stable rates while ensuring that all pension obligations can be met without compromising operational integrity or service delivery to their customers. These questions reflect complex issues relevant to SoCalGas employees preparing for retirement and navigating the nuances of their benefits.

SoCalGas and SDG&E have proposed utilizing a two-way balancing account mechanism to recover pension and PBOP-related costs. This mechanism helps adjust for variances between projected and actual contributions, ensuring that costs are managed effectively and do not overly burden ratepayers. This approach aims to maintain stable rates while fulfilling pension obligations(Southern_California_Gas…).

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for Southern California Edison at 2244 walnut grove ave Rosemead, CA 91770; or by calling them at 1-800-655-4555.