New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

University of California Employees and the Changing Future of Social Security

“Given the potential for Social Security reforms to reshape retirement income, University of California employees should regularly revisit their savings strategies and consider a broader range of planning tools to adapt to evolving benefits trends.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

“University of California employees can strengthen their retirement outlook by staying updated on Social Security developments and by integrating flexible planning strategies that account for possible changes to future benefits.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

The possible insolvency of the Social Security Trust Fund and its potential impact on future retirement benefits
Proposed legislative reforms, including raising the full retirement age and alternative funding strategies
Retirement planning actions University of California employees can consider to prepare for potentially reduced Social Security support

The financial situation facing Social Security continues to worsen. Without major reforms—such as raising the full retirement age (FRA), adjusting taxes, or implementing corrective policies—the program is expected to become insolvent within the next decade. ¹ The following five data-driven insights highlight the urgency for University of California employees and others to reconsider their retirement outlook:

Trust Fund Insolvency by 2034

According to the Social Security Administration’s 2024 Trustees Report, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund is anticipated to be depleted by 2034. ² At that point, only about 77% of scheduled benefits would be available using existing payroll tax revenue. ³ This development means those at University of California nearing retirement should review income expectations and long-term planning.

Shrinking Workforce-to-Retiree Ratio

In 1960, 5.1 workers supported each retiree. ⁴ By 2025, the ratio is expected to drop to 2.7 and further decrease to 2.1 by 2035. ⁴ This demographic trend places additional pressure on the system, meaning current employees at University of California may experience increased unpredictability in their retirement timelines.

Persistent Annual Deficits Since 2021

Since 2021, Social Security has paid out more in benefits than it has received in tax revenue, ⁵ causing the ongoing depletion of Trust Fund reserves. University of California professionals should be aware that without reforms, these annual shortfalls are likely to increase.

Life Expectancy Outpaces Retirement Age

When the program started in 1940, average life expectancy at age 65 was 13 years. As of 2025, it is over 18 years. ² However, adjustments to the FRA have not kept pace, adding long-term financial pressures. University of California retirees should consider this trend when reviewing how their pension and Social Security benefits may work together.

Automatic 23% Benefit Cuts in 2034 Without Reform

If no legislative action occurs, federal law requires that all Social Security benefits be reduced by 23% beginning in 2034. ² These changes would affect millions—including many University of California employees—making it necessary to plan for potential reductions in retirement income.

Reform Proposals from Policymakers

Multiple proposals to address Social Security are being discussed, with the most debated change involving adjustments to the FRA. The House Republican Study Committee recommends gradually increasing the FRA from 67 to 69 by 2033. ⁶ For a typical University of California worker, this could translate to $3,500 less in annual benefits over a 30-year retirement—approximately a 13% overall reduction.

Senator Rand Paul has proposed a more aggressive plan, calling for an FRA of 70 or 71, arguing that this aligns with longer life expectancies and addresses long-term fiscal demands.

Impact on Physically Demanding Jobs

If these proposals move forward, up to 257 million Americans could be affected. ⁷ University of California team members in operational or field-based roles may find it difficult to work into their late 60s or 70s due to health limitations. In such cases, some may turn to Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI), which could further strain the system.

Even though increasing the FRA to 69 would reduce benefits, it would only delay insolvency by one year—from 2034 to 2035—according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Arguments Supporting an FRA Increase

Proponents point to:

- Demographic strain: With fewer workers supporting more retirees, the program timeline needs to be reviewed.
- Extended longevity: Aligning FRA with life expectancy could help maintain balance in the program.
- Fiscal restraint: A higher FRA may lower overall outflows and reduce future tax increases or benefit reductions.

Critics Raise Equity and Health Concerns

Opponents note the regressive impact of these reforms:

- Occupational health disparities: Many physical laborers or lower-income workers—including some at University of California—face health challenges that make extended work lives difficult.
- Income-based longevity gaps: Delaying the FRA disproportionately affects those with shorter life expectancies and poorer health.
- Alternative funding ideas: Proposals include increasing payroll taxes for high earners or removing the wage cap on Social Security taxes.

Implications for Retirement Planning

University of California employees may benefit from adopting a cautious retirement approach:

- Increase contributions: Build additional savings in IRAs or University of California 401k plans to help decrease reliance on Social Security.
- Diversify accounts: Roth IRAs and HSAs may provide added flexibility if Social Security payments are reduced.
- Plan conservatively: Expecting lower future benefits can help form a more robust retirement plan.

Key Takeaways for University of California Employees

Fact or Proposal	Principal Implication
OASI Trust Fund depletion by 2034	Only 77% of benefits may be paid through payroll tax revenue.
Worker-to-retiree ratio falling to 2.1	Higher financial pressure on active workers to support retirees.
Annual deficits since 2021	Trust Fund reserves are being used to cover shortfalls.
Lifespan at 65 now about 18 years	Benefit duration is 50% longer than when the program began.
23% benefit cuts by 2034 without reform	Legally required reductions unless funding changes are made.
Raising FRA to 69–70	May reduce benefits by ~13%, only delays insolvency by one year.
Additional ideas	Raising wage cap, increasing payroll taxes, revising formulas.

Final Thoughts

Social Security’s future is uncertain, and workers at University of California should remain attentive as reforms progress. Raising the full retirement age remains a point of debate; while it may help stabilize the system, those most impacted may be the least prepared for change. A broader solution will likely include some combination of tax adjustments, changes to the FRA, and new benefit structures.

On January 5, 2025, the Social Security Fairness Act repealed the Windfall Elimination Provision and Government Pension Offset, raising benefits for nearly 3 million public employees—including teachers, firefighters, and police officers—by $360 to $1,190 per month. While this provided meaningful relief, it also increased demands on the Social Security Administration’s processing capacity.

For University of California employees, staying informed about these proposed changes is as important as monitoring industry developments. Taking proactive steps—such as diversifying savings, setting realistic expectations, and engaging in thoughtful retirement planning—can help individuals better navigate the uncertain horizon.

Featured Video

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. CBS News. ' Social Security's insolvency date is now a year earlier ,' by Aimee Picchi. June 19, 2025.

2. Social Security Board of Trustees. “The 2024 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” Social Security Administration, May 2024, pp. 7–21, 28–32, https://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2024/tr2024.pdf .

3. Social Security. ' Status of the Social Security and Medicare Programs .' 2025.

4. Huntington. ' What Does the Future Hold for Social Security and Medicare? ' 2024.

5. Pew Research Center. ' What the data says about Social Security ,' by Drew Desilver. May 20, 2025.

6. MSN. ' New Social Security rule proposal would raise retirement age to 69 for millions of Americans ,' by Andrea Arlett Nabor Herrera. 2025.

7. House Committee on the Budget. ' House Republican Budget Plans Would Cut Social Security Benefits .' 2025.

Other Resources:

1. Van de Water, Paul N. “What the 2024 Trustees’ Report Shows About Social Security.” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 7 May 2024, https://www.cbpp.org/research/social-security/what-the-2024-trustees-report-shows-about-social-security .

2. Anderson, Julia. “How Would Raising the Social Security Retirement Age to 69 Affect Your Benefits?” Kiplinger, 8 Apr. 2024, https://www.kiplinger.com/retirement/raising-the-social-security-retirement-age .

3. Congressional Budget Office. “Raising the Full Retirement Age for Social Security.” Congressional Budget Office, Nov. 2024, pp. 1–5, https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58905 .

4. Noguchi, Yuki. “If Social Security Not Fixed, Retirees Face Automatic Cut in 2033.” NPR, 6 May 2024, https://www.npr.org/2024/05/06/1249406440/social-security-medicare-congress-fix-boomers-benefits .

How does the University of California Retirement Plan (UCRP) define service credit for members, and how does it impact retirement benefits? In what ways can University of California employees potentially enhance their service credit, thereby influencing their retirement income upon leaving the University of California?

Service Credit in UCRP: Service credit is essential in determining retirement eligibility and the amount of retirement benefits for University of California employees. It is based on the period of employment in an eligible position and covered compensation during that time. Employees earn service credit proportionate to their work time, and unused sick leave can convert to additional service credit upon retirement. Employees can enhance their service credit through methods like purchasing service credit for unpaid leaves or sabbatical periods(University of Californi…).

Regarding the contribution limits for the University of Californiaâ€™s defined contribution plans, how do these limits for 2024 compare to previous years, and what implications do they have for current employees of the University of California in their retirement planning strategies? How can understanding these limits lead University of California employees to make more informed decisions about their retirement savings?

Contribution Limits for UC Defined Contribution Plans in 2024: Contribution limits for defined contribution plans, such as the University of California's DC Plan, often adjust yearly due to IRS regulations. Increases in these limits allow employees to maximize their retirement savings. For 2024, employees can compare the current limits with previous years to understand how much they can contribute tax-deferred, potentially increasing their long-term savings and tax advantages(University of Californi…).

What are the eligibility criteria for the various death benefits associated with the University of California Retirement Plan? Specifically, how does being married or in a domestic partnership influence the eligibility of beneficiaries for University of California employees' retirement and survivor benefits?

Eligibility for UCRP Death Benefits: Death benefits under UCRP depend on factors like length of service, eligibility to retire, and marital or domestic partnership status. Being married or in a registered domestic partnership allows a spouse or partner to receive survivor benefits, which might include lifetime income. In some cases, other beneficiaries like children or dependent parents may be eligible(University of Californi…).

In the context of retirement planning for University of California employees, what are the tax implications associated with rolling over benefits from their defined benefit plan to an individual retirement account (IRA)? How do these rules differ depending on whether the employee chooses a direct rollover or receives a distribution first before rolling it over into an IRA?

Tax Implications of Rolling Over UCRP Benefits: Rolling over benefits from UCRP to an IRA can offer tax advantages. A direct rollover avoids immediate taxes, while receiving a distribution first and rolling it into an IRA later may result in withholding and potential penalties. UC employees should consult tax professionals to ensure they follow the IRS rules that suit their financial goals(University of Californi…).

What are the different payment options available to University of California retirees when selecting their retirement income, and how does choosing a contingent annuitant affect their monthly benefit amount? What factors should University of California employees consider when deciding on the best payment option for their individual financial situations?

Retirement Payment Options: UC retirees can choose from various payment options, including a single life annuity or joint life annuity with a contingent annuitant. Selecting a contingent annuitant reduces the retiree's monthly income but provides benefits for another person after their death. Factors like age, life expectancy, and financial needs should guide this decision(University of Californi…).

What steps must University of California employees take to prepare for retirement regarding their defined contribution accounts, and how can they efficiently consolidate their benefits? In what ways does the process of managing multiple accounts influence the overall financial health of employees during their retirement?

Preparation for Retirement: UC employees nearing retirement must evaluate their defined contribution accounts and consider consolidating their benefits for easier management. Properly managing multiple accounts ensures they can maximize their income and minimize fees, thus contributing to their financial health during retirement(University of Californi…).

How do the rules around capital accumulation payments (CAP) impact University of California employees, and what choices do they have regarding their payment structures upon retirement? What considerations might encourage a University of California employee to opt for a lump-sum cashout versus a traditional monthly pension distribution?

Capital Accumulation Payments (CAP): CAP is a supplemental benefit that certain UCRP members receive upon leaving the University. UC employees can choose between a lump sum cashout or a traditional monthly pension. Those considering a lump sum might prefer immediate access to funds, but the traditional option offers ongoing, stable income(University of Californi…)(University of Californi…).

As a University of California employee planning for retirement, what resources are available for understanding and navigating the complexities of the retirement benefits offered? How can University of California employees make use of online platforms or contact university representatives for personalized assistance regarding their retirement plans?

Resources for UC Employees' Retirement Planning: UC offers extensive online resources, such as UCnet and UCRAYS, where employees can manage their retirement plans. Personalized assistance is also available through local benefits offices and the UC Retirement Administration Service Center(University of Californi…).

What unique challenges do University of California employees face with regard to healthcare and retirement planning, particularly in terms of post-retirement health benefits? How do these benefits compare to other state retirement systems, and what should employees of the University of California be aware of when planning for their medical expenses after retirement?

Healthcare and Retirement Planning Challenges: Post-retirement healthcare benefits are crucial for UC employees, especially as healthcare costs rise. UC’s retirement health benefits offer significant support, often more comprehensive than other state systems. However, employees should still prepare for potential gaps and rising costs in their post-retirement planning(University of Californi…).

How can University of California employees initiate contact to learn more about their retirement benefits, and what specific information should they request when reaching out? What methods of communication are recommended for efficient resolution of inquiries related to their retirement plans within the University of California system?

Contacting UC for Retirement Information: UC employees can contact the UC Retirement Administration Service Center for assistance with retirement benefits. It is recommended to request information on service credits, pension benefits, and health benefits. Communication via the UCRAYS platform ensures secure and efficient resolution of inquiries(University of Californi…).

Additional Articles

Check Out Articles for University of California employees

For more information you can reach the plan administrator for University of California at 9500 gilman dr La Jolla, CA 92093; or by calling them at 858-534-2230.