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University of California Employees: Is Timing the Market Worth the Risk?

University of California employees navigating volatile markets should remember that staying disciplined with a long-term financial plan can often lead to more favorable outcomes than reacting emotionally to short-term headlines. – Kevin Landis, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

University of California employees should remember that emotional decisions and market timing can derail years of disciplined planning—staying the course with a tailored strategy is often the most effective path to long-term success. – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Why market timing can carry significant risk—even when headlines seem clear.
How emotional decisions may influence long-term investment outcomes.
The value of sticking to a customized financial plan.

Unforeseen events can significantly influence investor outcomes, as recent market activity has demonstrated. Amid ongoing volatility, the markets have been experiencing unpredictable ups and downs. University of California employees who exited the market before recent spikes may have missed out on potential returns. Similarly, selling into a down market may crystalize losses, impacting the long-term performance of a portfolio.

Tyson Mavar, a wealth manager and financial advisor at Wealth Enhancement, states, “This is precisely why we advise clients not to attempt to time the market.” Trying to forecast what happens next can often lead to subpar results, especially for University of California employees focused on retirement goals.

Mavar highlighted that reacting to fear during market turbulence can throw long-term planning off track. Investors who follow a disciplined, strategic framework often experience more favorable results over time—particularly important for University of California professionals preparing for retirement with significant pensions and savings.

At Wealth Enhancement, the emphasis is on consistent planning rather than reacting to daily headlines. Their methodology is designed to adapt through fluctuations, anchored in long-term objectives. “We help clients focus on what’s within their control—such as investment planning, portfolio structure, and saving behaviors,” Mavar noted—guidance that University of California employees may find helpful when facing market ups and downs.

Historical data shows that maintaining investment positions during market disruptions tends to result in better outcomes. Trying to exit and reenter markets at precisely the right time rarely works—and can often lead to missed opportunities during major rebounds. For University of California employees nearing retirement, staying consistent may yield better outcomes than trying to chase timing strategies.

The central message for anyone at University of California rethinking their portfolio or hesitant about reentering the market: have a thoughtful financial plan in place before markets fluctuate. Results often stem from consistency and preparation, not from spur-of-the-moment decisions.

A recent DALBAR study (2023) found that the average equity fund investor earned just 6.81% annually over a 30-year period—substantially lower than the S&P 500’s 10.12% annualized return. This gap was largely attributed to emotional investment behavior, such as exiting during downturns and reentering too late. For University of California employees, this data emphasizes the potential value of consistent investment strategies during job transitions and retirement planning.

Want to know how missing the right moment can impact your financial future? This article highlights the risks of reactive investing, offers time-tested strategies, and illustrates how aligning with a structured retirement-focused plan can help navigate unpredictable markets—particularly for University of California employees in transition.

Trying to time the market is like attempting to hop onto a moving train in the dark. It might work occasionally, but more often, it leads to missteps. Markets can change course quickly based on unexpected developments. Long-term investors—like University of California retirees with a structured approach—often benefit from staying the course, much like a traveler who follows a steady itinerary rather than chasing every departing train. According to DALBAR (2023), those who remain consistent tend to outperform those making frequent timing decisions.

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Sources:

1. DALBAR, Inc. 30th Annual Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior (QAIB) Report . 2024, pp. 1–3.

2. Benz, Christine. A Down-Market Survival Guide for Retirees. Morningstar , Sept. 2022.

3. Financial Strategies Group . Emotional Investing Part 2: The Costs of Investing Emotionally. 2024.

4. The Wall Street Journal Staff. How to Make Major Money Decisions Right Now: A WSJ Guide. The Wall Street Journal , Apr. 2025.

5. Morningstar Research Team . Does Tolerance for Risk Change in Retirement? Morningstar , Nov. 2024.

How does the University of California Retirement Plan (UCRP) define service credit for members, and how does it impact retirement benefits? In what ways can University of California employees potentially enhance their service credit, thereby influencing their retirement income upon leaving the University of California?

Service Credit in UCRP: Service credit is essential in determining retirement eligibility and the amount of retirement benefits for University of California employees. It is based on the period of employment in an eligible position and covered compensation during that time. Employees earn service credit proportionate to their work time, and unused sick leave can convert to additional service credit upon retirement. Employees can enhance their service credit through methods like purchasing service credit for unpaid leaves or sabbatical periods(University of Californi…).

Regarding the contribution limits for the University of Californiaâ€™s defined contribution plans, how do these limits for 2024 compare to previous years, and what implications do they have for current employees of the University of California in their retirement planning strategies? How can understanding these limits lead University of California employees to make more informed decisions about their retirement savings?

Contribution Limits for UC Defined Contribution Plans in 2024: Contribution limits for defined contribution plans, such as the University of California's DC Plan, often adjust yearly due to IRS regulations. Increases in these limits allow employees to maximize their retirement savings. For 2024, employees can compare the current limits with previous years to understand how much they can contribute tax-deferred, potentially increasing their long-term savings and tax advantages(University of Californi…).

What are the eligibility criteria for the various death benefits associated with the University of California Retirement Plan? Specifically, how does being married or in a domestic partnership influence the eligibility of beneficiaries for University of California employees' retirement and survivor benefits?

Eligibility for UCRP Death Benefits: Death benefits under UCRP depend on factors like length of service, eligibility to retire, and marital or domestic partnership status. Being married or in a registered domestic partnership allows a spouse or partner to receive survivor benefits, which might include lifetime income. In some cases, other beneficiaries like children or dependent parents may be eligible(University of Californi…).

In the context of retirement planning for University of California employees, what are the tax implications associated with rolling over benefits from their defined benefit plan to an individual retirement account (IRA)? How do these rules differ depending on whether the employee chooses a direct rollover or receives a distribution first before rolling it over into an IRA?

Tax Implications of Rolling Over UCRP Benefits: Rolling over benefits from UCRP to an IRA can offer tax advantages. A direct rollover avoids immediate taxes, while receiving a distribution first and rolling it into an IRA later may result in withholding and potential penalties. UC employees should consult tax professionals to ensure they follow the IRS rules that suit their financial goals(University of Californi…).

What are the different payment options available to University of California retirees when selecting their retirement income, and how does choosing a contingent annuitant affect their monthly benefit amount? What factors should University of California employees consider when deciding on the best payment option for their individual financial situations?

Retirement Payment Options: UC retirees can choose from various payment options, including a single life annuity or joint life annuity with a contingent annuitant. Selecting a contingent annuitant reduces the retiree's monthly income but provides benefits for another person after their death. Factors like age, life expectancy, and financial needs should guide this decision(University of Californi…).

What steps must University of California employees take to prepare for retirement regarding their defined contribution accounts, and how can they efficiently consolidate their benefits? In what ways does the process of managing multiple accounts influence the overall financial health of employees during their retirement?

Preparation for Retirement: UC employees nearing retirement must evaluate their defined contribution accounts and consider consolidating their benefits for easier management. Properly managing multiple accounts ensures they can maximize their income and minimize fees, thus contributing to their financial health during retirement(University of Californi…).

How do the rules around capital accumulation payments (CAP) impact University of California employees, and what choices do they have regarding their payment structures upon retirement? What considerations might encourage a University of California employee to opt for a lump-sum cashout versus a traditional monthly pension distribution?

Capital Accumulation Payments (CAP): CAP is a supplemental benefit that certain UCRP members receive upon leaving the University. UC employees can choose between a lump sum cashout or a traditional monthly pension. Those considering a lump sum might prefer immediate access to funds, but the traditional option offers ongoing, stable income(University of Californi…)(University of Californi…).

As a University of California employee planning for retirement, what resources are available for understanding and navigating the complexities of the retirement benefits offered? How can University of California employees make use of online platforms or contact university representatives for personalized assistance regarding their retirement plans?

Resources for UC Employees' Retirement Planning: UC offers extensive online resources, such as UCnet and UCRAYS, where employees can manage their retirement plans. Personalized assistance is also available through local benefits offices and the UC Retirement Administration Service Center(University of Californi…).

What unique challenges do University of California employees face with regard to healthcare and retirement planning, particularly in terms of post-retirement health benefits? How do these benefits compare to other state retirement systems, and what should employees of the University of California be aware of when planning for their medical expenses after retirement?

Healthcare and Retirement Planning Challenges: Post-retirement healthcare benefits are crucial for UC employees, especially as healthcare costs rise. UC’s retirement health benefits offer significant support, often more comprehensive than other state systems. However, employees should still prepare for potential gaps and rising costs in their post-retirement planning(University of Californi…).

How can University of California employees initiate contact to learn more about their retirement benefits, and what specific information should they request when reaching out? What methods of communication are recommended for efficient resolution of inquiries related to their retirement plans within the University of California system?

Contacting UC for Retirement Information: UC employees can contact the UC Retirement Administration Service Center for assistance with retirement benefits. It is recommended to request information on service credits, pension benefits, and health benefits. Communication via the UCRAYS platform ensures secure and efficient resolution of inquiries(University of Californi…).

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for University of California at 9500 gilman dr La Jolla, CA 92093; or by calling them at 858-534-2230.