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University of California Employees: Should You Delay Your RMD When the S&P 500 Is Down?

University of California employees should carefully time their Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) to avoid selling assets at reduced prices during market downturns, as strategic withdrawal planning can help preserve future portfolio growth and minimize unnecessary tax burdens. – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

University of California employees should consider the impact of market volatility on their RMD strategies, as delaying withdrawals during market downturns can allow for potential recovery, helping to protect long-term retirement assets and minimize tax exposure. – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement Group.

In this article, we will discuss:

Impact of market fluctuations on RMD timing strategies
Differences between RMDs and Roth IRA conversions
Portfolio composition and tax-efficient approaches for University of California retirees

Navigating RMDs Amid Market Volatility

Market fluctuations can complicate income planning for retirees relying on distributions from retirement accounts. As of 2025, the IRS requires individuals aged 73 and older to take annual RMDs from tax-deferred accounts like 401(k)s and traditional IRAs. The RMD amount is calculated based on the account balance as of December 31 of the previous year, divided by a life expectancy factor provided by the IRS. Younger University of California retirees, while not subject to RMDs, may still need to make withdrawals to cover living expenses.

Historically, many have delayed their RMDs until year-end to better assess their annual income and potentially minimize tax implications. Others opt for monthly or quarterly distributions. However, with current market volatility affecting major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq, and S&P 500, the timing of these withdrawals has become more consequential.

Challenges of Fixed RMD Calculations During Market Downturns

A key issue is that RMD calculations are based on the account value at the end of the previous year and do not adjust for market declines that may occur afterward. For instance, if a retiree's IRA was valued at $850,000 on December 31, 2024, their 2025 RMD would be approximately $33,000. If the market value drops to $790,000 by April 2025, the retiree is still obligated to withdraw the full $33,000, potentially requiring the sale of more shares at reduced prices.

Pam Krueger, founder of Wealthramp, highlights this predicament: Selling assets at reduced prices to meet a withdrawal requirement based on a higher previous value can be a double-edged sword.

Distinguishing Between RMDs and Roth IRA Conversions

A common misconception is treating RMDs and Roth IRA conversions similarly. While converting funds from a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA during market lows can be advantageous due to tax-free growth potential, RMDs involve mandatory withdrawals that are taxed and, if reinvested, may be subject to capital gains taxes.

George Gagliardi, a certified financial adviser in Massachusetts, advises handling RMDs and Roth conversions as separate strategies. He suggests using more stable assets, like short-term bonds, for RMDs to minimize the impact of market volatility, while reserving assets with higher growth potential for Roth conversions.

Importance of Portfolio Composition

The structure of a retirement portfolio significantly influences RMD strategies. Diversified portfolios typically include a mix of cash, bonds, stocks, and short-term securities. Rob Williams, managing director of financial planning at Schwab, emphasizes viewing the portfolio as a collection of distinct assets rather than a single entity.

Portfolios with low-volatility assets, such as Treasury bonds or short-term CDs, can provide liquidity for RMDs without necessitating the sale of equities during downturns. Implementing bond ladders with staggered maturity dates can help align asset availability with RMD schedules.

Considerations for Inherited IRAs

Inherited IRAs present additional complexities. Non-spouse beneficiaries are required to deplete the account within ten years, with RMDs enforced throughout this period. All distributions are taxed as ordinary income. B Capital

Scott Bishop, a Texas-based money manager, encountered a client contemplating early withdrawals from an inherited IRA due to market declines. He suggests a hybrid approach: withdrawing funds (after taxes) and reinvesting them in a taxable brokerage account. This strategy may result in future gains being taxed at lower capital gains rates, potentially reducing the overall tax burden.

Timing RMDs Strategically

While market volatility adds complexity to RMD timing, thoughtful planning remains essential. Since the RMD amount is fixed based on the previous year's account value, retirees have the opportunity to choose when to take distributions. Delaying withdrawals can allow for potential market recovery and defer associated taxes.

Pam Krueger advises against hastily selling assets during market lows, suggesting that waiting can provide both tax deferral and the chance for account value recovery.

Final Thoughts

In uncertain markets, it's important to resist impulsive decisions. The approach to accessing retirement funds—whether through RMDs, inherited IRA withdrawals, or broader income strategies—should focus on minimizing losses and maintaining portfolio value. For University of California retirees, this means adopting a methodical approach to withdrawals, utilizing diversified portfolios with components like cash reserves, short-term bonds, and strategically structured ladders to meet distribution needs without compromising future growth.

A Vanguard report from December 2023 indicates that taking RMDs later in the year has historically correlated with higher average portfolio values, as markets often recover from mid-year volatility. In years with presidential elections, the S&P 500 has averaged gains of 7.3% in the second half, suggesting that postponing RMDs may provide more favorable conditions for asset sales.

Analogy

Withdrawing your RMD during a market downturn is akin to selling your home during a housing slump because you must relocate; you may receive less than if you had waited for the market to rebound. By carefully timing withdrawals, retirees can retain more of their investment assets, similar to homeowners waiting for a seller's market. This is especially pertinent when mandatory distributions are based on higher account values from the previous year, regardless of current performance.

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Source:

1. Royal, James. How Required Minimum Distributions Impact Your Traditional IRA Balance. Investopedia , 15 Apr. 2025, www.investopedia.com/required-minimum-distributions-ira-impact-5185475 .

2. Riquier, Andrea. Should I Rush to Take My RMD While the S&P 500 Is Down, or Wait Until the End of the Year Like Normal? MarketWatch , 12 Apr. 2025, www.marketwatch.com/rmd-timing-strategy-s-p-500-2025-5183472 .

3. RMD Strategies to Help Ease Your Tax Burden. Charles Schwab , Jan. 2025, www.schwab.com/rmd-tax-strategy-planning-2025 .

4. Inherited IRAs: What to Know About Taxes, RMDs, and More. Morningstar , Mar. 2025, www.morningstar.com/inherited-iras-rmd-tax-implications-2025 .

5. RMD Strategies for Wealthy Retirees: 2025 Tax Planning Guide. RCS Planning , Mar. 2025, www.rcsplanning.com/rmd-strategies-tax-planning-wealthy-retirees-2025 .

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Service Credit in UCRP: Service credit is essential in determining retirement eligibility and the amount of retirement benefits for University of California employees. It is based on the period of employment in an eligible position and covered compensation during that time. Employees earn service credit proportionate to their work time, and unused sick leave can convert to additional service credit upon retirement. Employees can enhance their service credit through methods like purchasing service credit for unpaid leaves or sabbatical periods(University of Californi…).

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For more information you can reach the plan administrator for University of California at 9500 gilman dr La Jolla, CA 92093; or by calling them at 858-534-2230.