New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Oneok Insights: What’s Fueling the 2025 Gold Rally?

'For Oneok employees navigating today’s volatile economic landscape, the surge in gold prices underscores the importance of reviewing long-term financial strategies through a lens of historical perspective and market resilience.' – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'The sharp rise in gold prices in 2025 reminds Oneok employees to evaluate how global economic shifts and inflation trends could impact their broader retirement planning approach.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

The driving forces behind gold’s price increase in 2025, including central bank activity and global economic conditions.
Historical patterns of gold rallies and their relevance to current market dynamics.
Strategic implications for investors, including Oneok employees, given gold's recent performance.

Gold is experiencing one of its strongest years on record, rising as much as 30% year-over-year. ¹ In April 2025, it rose as high as $3,500 per troy ounce ¹ —nearly double its price from the autumn of 2022. Multiple global factors are fueling this rise, including increased activity from central banks, shifts in investment strategies, and persistent economic uncertainty. These developments are influencing sentiment across financial markets, including for Oneok investors with concentrated commodity exposures.

The Rally's Basis

A primary catalyst of this rally has been a notable increase in gold purchases by central banks, especially from non-OECD countries. From 2022 to 2024, central banks added approximately 1,000 metric tons of gold to their reserves each year. ² Poland was a standout in 2024, acquiring 90 metric tons. ³ Boris Shepov, co-manager of the Fidelity® Select Gold Portfolio (FSAGX), notes that this behavior reflects a move away from reliance on the U.S. dollar. ⁴ This trend may influence the strategic positioning of commodity-related businesses as dollar fluctuations impact both oil and gold pricing.

China’s ongoing demand for gold further reinforces global interest. In April 2025 alone, China imported 127.5 metric tons of gold—an 11-month high ⁵ —prompting the People’s Bank of China to ease bullion import controls. This surge in both consumer and institutional interest in gold reflects broader concerns about macroeconomic volatility, a factor that also affects pricing trends in global energy markets relevant to companies like Oneok.

Economic Instability as a Catalyst

Ongoing global financial concerns are contributing to increased demand for gold. Since late 2022, rising fears of a potential recession have driven investors toward assets viewed as more resilient in uncertain environments. These dynamics helped gold surpass the $2,000 threshold. In Q1 2025, after the U.S. credit rating was downgraded by Moody’s from 'Aaa' to 'Aa1' due to negative GDP growth, the shift toward gold intensified. Similar volatility affects investment behavior in sectors tied to commodities.

Historic Context

Previous gold rallies offer a useful frame of reference. In the late 1970s, runaway inflation sparked a rapid rise in gold prices. During the 2007–08 financial crisis, investors shifted to gold amid widespread economic disruption. The 2010s saw gold gradually rise in tandem with expanding global liquidity, while the 2020 pandemic fueled another gold spike as central banks introduced stimulus. As with oil, gold often mirrors broader economic trends—a trend that should remain on the radar of any investor, including those at Oneok.

Today’s Environment

The current rally gained momentum in late 2022 and accelerated significantly after gold broke through $2,000 in 2023. Now trading at record levels, gold’s rise reflects changing global capital allocation patterns and heightened economic uncertainty. For Oneok employees, this shift parallels evolving investment approaches influenced by inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical developments.

The Road Ahead

Despite the current bullish environment, many market analysts urge caution. Although gold’s price may be exceeding some underlying real-rate fundamentals, interest rates and inflation will still play a role in determining future trends. Oneok employees and retirees may find these macroeconomic signals relevant when reviewing oil-linked investments and corporate strategy outlooks.

Shepov remains positive on gold’s long-term trajectory, citing structural factors like fiscal deficits and expanded monetary supply. However, he also acknowledges the likelihood of short-term fluctuations, with corrections of 10% to 15% remaining a common feature during extended rallies.

Final Insights

The convergence of global instability, policy recalibration, and institutional demand has created a powerful backdrop for gold. While historical events help contextualize the present environment, each rally emerges from a unique combination of risk factors and potential opportunities. For Oneok employees evaluating investment allocation strategies, gold stands as both a potential value-preserving asset and a market influenced by evolving global conditions.

One of the more prominent developments in 2025 has been the increase in gold-backed exchange traded fund (ETF) flows. Over 150 tonnes were added to global retirement portfolios in Q1, according to the World Gold Council. This activity suggests that many retirement-focused investors are adapting to changing market conditions by incorporating gold into their strategies.

Understanding the gold rally in 2025 requires an examination of central bank activity, inflation trends, U.S. dollar positioning, and ETF flows. For Oneok employees and stakeholders, these elements echo shifts in the broader energy and commodity sectors and speak to the ongoing need to pay close attention to shifting geopolitical and market trends when structuring portfolios.

Analogy

The 2025 surge in gold resembles a cargo ship returning to harbor after navigating turbulent seas. For seasoned investors—much like experienced Oneok employees monitoring ocean currents—the reappearance of familiar indicators such as elevated inflation and depreciating currencies suggests that gold’s ascent was a foreseeable response to prevailing conditions. This rally, like previous voyages, highlights the importance of maintaining a thoughtful approach during economic uncertainty.

Featured Video

Articles you may find interesting:

Sources:

1. J.P. Morgan. ' Will gold prices break $4,000/oz in 2026? ' June 10, 2025.

2. RBC Wealth Management. ' Gold's regime change? ' by Joseph Wu. June 26, 2025.

3. VettaFi Advisor Perspectives. ' Central Banks Continued Stockpiling Gold in Q1 ,' by Mike Maharrey. May 9, 2025.

4. Kitco News. ' Gold's long-term drivers remain, but investors should be cautious in the near term - Fidelity's Shepov and Oldham ,' by Ernest Hoffman. May 30, 2025.

5. Kitco News. ' China's gold imports via Hong Kong nearly tripled to 43.5 tonnes in April as premiums rose ,' by Ernest Hoffman. May 27, 2025.

Other Resources:

1. Stevens, Jessica. “Central Banks on Track for 4th Year of Massive Gold Purchases.” Reuters , 5 June 2025, https://www.reuters.com/world/india/central-banks-track-4th-year-massive-gold-purchases-metals-focus-says-2025-06-05/ .

2. World Gold Council. Gold Demand Trends Q1 2025 . World Gold Council, May 2025, www.gold.org/goldhub/research/gold-demand-trends/gold-demand-trends-q1-2025 .

3. Doshi, Aakash, and Diego Andrade. Gold 2025 Midyear Outlook . State Street Global Advisors, 4 June 2025, www.ssga.com/library-content/pdfs/global/gold-2025-midyear-outlook.pdf .

4. Szafron, Jeremy. “Gold Demand Surges in Q1 as Central Banks and Investors Buy Up Bullion.” Kitco News , 21 May 2025, https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-05-21/gold-demand-surges-q1-central-banks-and-investors-return-market-says-wgcs .

5. Mackenzie, Michael. “Gold Set to Rally Further This Year, Say Wall Street Banks.” Financial Times , 12 Jan. 2025, https://www.ft.com/content/9fa96c1d-03f2-4d25-9644-b29ae19407aa .

What specific factors does ONEOK, Inc. consider when determining an employee's eligibility for retirement benefits, and how do these factors align with commonly understood retirement planning principles in the context of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan?

Eligibility Factors: ONEOK, Inc. considers several factors when determining eligibility for its retirement plan, such as date of hire, age, and participation in certain programs like the Profit Sharing Plan. Employees must have been hired before January 1, 2005, and must meet the minimum age of 21 to be eligible(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). These factors align with common retirement planning principles, such as ensuring long-term employment and participation in benefit programs.

How does the structure of the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan impact the financial planning strategies of employees who are nearing retirement age, particularly in relation to their final average earnings and years of credited service?

Plan Structure and Financial Planning: The ONEOK Retirement Plan uses a formula based on Final Average Earnings and Years of Credited Service. This structure impacts employees' financial planning, as it encourages maximizing years of service and optimizing earnings in the final years before retirement(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees nearing retirement should focus on maximizing both variables for a stronger financial outcome.

In what ways can changes to the IRS limits in 2024 affect the retirement planning of employees participating in the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan, and how can they adapt their strategies to accommodate these changes?

IRS Limits and Impact on Planning: Changes to IRS limits, such as increases in contribution caps or income thresholds, could affect employees’ ability to defer taxes and maximize savings(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees can adapt by adjusting their contributions to their 401(k) or other retirement accounts in line with new limits, ensuring they stay within allowable tax advantages.

For employees considering early retirement, what are the implications of selecting this option under the ONEOK, Inc. Retirement Plan compared to waiting for normal retirement benefits, and what should they consider regarding potential reductions in benefits?

Early Retirement vs. Normal Retirement: Opting for early retirement under the ONEOK Plan can lead to a reduction in benefits, as payments are reduced based on the Early Retirement Benefit Reduction Schedule(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees should consider their financial needs and health before making this decision, as waiting until normal retirement age results in higher monthly benefits.

How does the process for applying for retirement benefits at ONEOK, Inc. work, and what specific documentation and timelines should employees be prepared to navigate in order to ensure a smooth transition into retirement?

Retirement Application Process: Employees must request a retirement estimate online or through HR, and submit retirement forms and documentation to initiate benefits(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Timely submission is key to ensure a smooth transition, and benefits usually begin the first of the month after retirement.

What options are available to employees of ONEOK, Inc. if they wish to change their designated beneficiaries in the retirement plan, and how can they ensure that these changes are executed properly?

Changing Beneficiaries: Employees can change their designated beneficiaries by submitting a pre-retirement death beneficiary form(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Spousal consent is required for changes that involve someone other than the spouse, and notarization is needed to ensure proper execution.

How does ONEOK, Inc. manage the investment of its retirement plan assets, and what guidelines are in place to ensure that participants' funds are invested prudently and in alignment with their retirement goals?

Investment Management: ONEOK manages its retirement plan assets in a trust, with investments overseen by plan fiduciaries following an investment policy(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). This policy ensures that funds are invested prudently, balancing risk and returns in alignment with participants' retirement goals.

In terms of employee rights under ERISA, what recourse do employees of ONEOK, Inc. have if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged or if they encounter issues when filing claims related to their retirement benefits?

ERISA Rights and Recourse: Employees have rights under ERISA, including the ability to file claims and appeals if they believe their benefits are being mismanaged(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). If claims are denied, they can appeal and ultimately take legal action under Section 502(a) of ERISA if necessary.

What procedures does ONEOK, Inc. have in place for communicating changes to the retirement plan, and how can employees stay informed about updates that may affect their benefits or retirement planning?

Plan Updates and Communication: ONEOK communicates changes to its retirement plan through electronic and physical notices(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Employees are encouraged to stay updated by regularly reviewing these communications and contacting HR if they need clarification.

How can employees of ONEOK, Inc. reach out for additional information regarding the retirement plan, and what are the best practices for utilizing the resources available for retirement planning assistance?

Accessing Retirement Information: Employees can contact ONEOK HR Solutions or access the Employee Self-Service platform for detailed information about their retirement plan(ONEOK_Inc_Retirement_Pl…). Best practices include regular consultations with HR to stay informed and plan effectively for retirement.