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Union Pacific Employees and the Changing Future of Social Security

“Given the potential for Social Security reforms to reshape retirement income, Union Pacific employees should regularly revisit their savings strategies and consider a broader range of planning tools to adapt to evolving benefits trends.” – Michael Corgiat, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

“Union Pacific employees can strengthen their retirement outlook by staying updated on Social Security developments and by integrating flexible planning strategies that account for possible changes to future benefits.” – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

The possible insolvency of the Social Security Trust Fund and its potential impact on future retirement benefits
Proposed legislative reforms, including raising the full retirement age and alternative funding strategies
Retirement planning actions Union Pacific employees can consider to prepare for potentially reduced Social Security support

The financial situation facing Social Security continues to worsen. Without major reforms—such as raising the full retirement age (FRA), adjusting taxes, or implementing corrective policies—the program is expected to become insolvent within the next decade. ¹ The following five data-driven insights highlight the urgency for Union Pacific employees and others to reconsider their retirement outlook:

Trust Fund Insolvency by 2034

According to the Social Security Administration’s 2024 Trustees Report, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund is anticipated to be depleted by 2034. ² At that point, only about 77% of scheduled benefits would be available using existing payroll tax revenue. ³ This development means those at Union Pacific nearing retirement should review income expectations and long-term planning.

Shrinking Workforce-to-Retiree Ratio

In 1960, 5.1 workers supported each retiree. ⁴ By 2025, the ratio is expected to drop to 2.7 and further decrease to 2.1 by 2035. ⁴ This demographic trend places additional pressure on the system, meaning current employees at Union Pacific may experience increased unpredictability in their retirement timelines.

Persistent Annual Deficits Since 2021

Since 2021, Social Security has paid out more in benefits than it has received in tax revenue, ⁵ causing the ongoing depletion of Trust Fund reserves. Union Pacific professionals should be aware that without reforms, these annual shortfalls are likely to increase.

Life Expectancy Outpaces Retirement Age

When the program started in 1940, average life expectancy at age 65 was 13 years. As of 2025, it is over 18 years. ² However, adjustments to the FRA have not kept pace, adding long-term financial pressures. Union Pacific retirees should consider this trend when reviewing how their pension and Social Security benefits may work together.

Automatic 23% Benefit Cuts in 2034 Without Reform

If no legislative action occurs, federal law requires that all Social Security benefits be reduced by 23% beginning in 2034. ² These changes would affect millions—including many Union Pacific employees—making it necessary to plan for potential reductions in retirement income.

Reform Proposals from Policymakers

Multiple proposals to address Social Security are being discussed, with the most debated change involving adjustments to the FRA. The House Republican Study Committee recommends gradually increasing the FRA from 67 to 69 by 2033. ⁶ For a typical Union Pacific worker, this could translate to $3,500 less in annual benefits over a 30-year retirement—approximately a 13% overall reduction.

Senator Rand Paul has proposed a more aggressive plan, calling for an FRA of 70 or 71, arguing that this aligns with longer life expectancies and addresses long-term fiscal demands.

Impact on Physically Demanding Jobs

If these proposals move forward, up to 257 million Americans could be affected. ⁷ Union Pacific team members in operational or field-based roles may find it difficult to work into their late 60s or 70s due to health limitations. In such cases, some may turn to Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI), which could further strain the system.

Even though increasing the FRA to 69 would reduce benefits, it would only delay insolvency by one year—from 2034 to 2035—according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Arguments Supporting an FRA Increase

Proponents point to:

- Demographic strain: With fewer workers supporting more retirees, the program timeline needs to be reviewed.
- Extended longevity: Aligning FRA with life expectancy could help maintain balance in the program.
- Fiscal restraint: A higher FRA may lower overall outflows and reduce future tax increases or benefit reductions.

Critics Raise Equity and Health Concerns

Opponents note the regressive impact of these reforms:

- Occupational health disparities: Many physical laborers or lower-income workers—including some at Union Pacific—face health challenges that make extended work lives difficult.
- Income-based longevity gaps: Delaying the FRA disproportionately affects those with shorter life expectancies and poorer health.
- Alternative funding ideas: Proposals include increasing payroll taxes for high earners or removing the wage cap on Social Security taxes.

Implications for Retirement Planning

Union Pacific employees may benefit from adopting a cautious retirement approach:

- Increase contributions: Build additional savings in IRAs or Union Pacific 401k plans to help decrease reliance on Social Security.
- Diversify accounts: Roth IRAs and HSAs may provide added flexibility if Social Security payments are reduced.
- Plan conservatively: Expecting lower future benefits can help form a more robust retirement plan.

Key Takeaways for Union Pacific Employees

Fact or Proposal	Principal Implication
OASI Trust Fund depletion by 2034	Only 77% of benefits may be paid through payroll tax revenue.
Worker-to-retiree ratio falling to 2.1	Higher financial pressure on active workers to support retirees.
Annual deficits since 2021	Trust Fund reserves are being used to cover shortfalls.
Lifespan at 65 now about 18 years	Benefit duration is 50% longer than when the program began.
23% benefit cuts by 2034 without reform	Legally required reductions unless funding changes are made.
Raising FRA to 69–70	May reduce benefits by ~13%, only delays insolvency by one year.
Additional ideas	Raising wage cap, increasing payroll taxes, revising formulas.

Final Thoughts

Social Security’s future is uncertain, and workers at Union Pacific should remain attentive as reforms progress. Raising the full retirement age remains a point of debate; while it may help stabilize the system, those most impacted may be the least prepared for change. A broader solution will likely include some combination of tax adjustments, changes to the FRA, and new benefit structures.

On January 5, 2025, the Social Security Fairness Act repealed the Windfall Elimination Provision and Government Pension Offset, raising benefits for nearly 3 million public employees—including teachers, firefighters, and police officers—by $360 to $1,190 per month. While this provided meaningful relief, it also increased demands on the Social Security Administration’s processing capacity.

For Union Pacific employees, staying informed about these proposed changes is as important as monitoring industry developments. Taking proactive steps—such as diversifying savings, setting realistic expectations, and engaging in thoughtful retirement planning—can help individuals better navigate the uncertain horizon.

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Sources:

1. CBS News. ' Social Security's insolvency date is now a year earlier ,' by Aimee Picchi. June 19, 2025.

2. Social Security Board of Trustees. “The 2024 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds.” Social Security Administration, May 2024, pp. 7–21, 28–32, https://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2024/tr2024.pdf .

3. Social Security. ' Status of the Social Security and Medicare Programs .' 2025.

4. Huntington. ' What Does the Future Hold for Social Security and Medicare? ' 2024.

5. Pew Research Center. ' What the data says about Social Security ,' by Drew Desilver. May 20, 2025.

6. MSN. ' New Social Security rule proposal would raise retirement age to 69 for millions of Americans ,' by Andrea Arlett Nabor Herrera. 2025.

7. House Committee on the Budget. ' House Republican Budget Plans Would Cut Social Security Benefits .' 2025.

Other Resources:

1. Van de Water, Paul N. “What the 2024 Trustees’ Report Shows About Social Security.” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 7 May 2024, https://www.cbpp.org/research/social-security/what-the-2024-trustees-report-shows-about-social-security .

2. Anderson, Julia. “How Would Raising the Social Security Retirement Age to 69 Affect Your Benefits?” Kiplinger, 8 Apr. 2024, https://www.kiplinger.com/retirement/raising-the-social-security-retirement-age .

3. Congressional Budget Office. “Raising the Full Retirement Age for Social Security.” Congressional Budget Office, Nov. 2024, pp. 1–5, https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58905 .

4. Noguchi, Yuki. “If Social Security Not Fixed, Retirees Face Automatic Cut in 2033.” NPR, 6 May 2024, https://www.npr.org/2024/05/06/1249406440/social-security-medicare-congress-fix-boomers-benefits .

What are the specific eligibility requirements for employees of Union Pacific Corporation to participate in the pension plan, and how might these requirements evolve as IRS regulations change? Understanding how Union Pacific Corporation aligns its eligibility criteria with broader IRS regulations can help employees assess their own eligibility for the pension plan, particularly in light of any new IRS guidelines issued for 2024.

Eligibility Requirements for Pension Plan Participation: Eligibility to participate in the Union Pacific Corporation pension plan is governed by specific criteria set forth in the plan documents. As of January 1, 2018, the plan was closed to new participants, meaning individuals hired on or after this date are not eligible. For existing employees, eligibility to accrue benefits continued provided they were active participants as of December 31, 2017, and remained in covered employment. Changes in IRS regulations could potentially alter these eligibility criteria by requiring adjustments to maintain compliance with legal standards, potentially affecting who can accrue benefits in the future.

How does Union Pacific Corporation calculate an employee's final average compensation for pension benefits? Given the potential for changes in compensation structures, it is essential for employees at Union Pacific Corporation to comprehend how their average compensation is determined and how this figure might impact their retirement planning.

Calculation of Final Average Compensation: The pension plan calculates an employee's final average compensation based on the average monthly compensation over the 36-consecutive month period out of the last 120 months of active participation that yields the highest average. This includes base pay, overtime, and certain incentive and bonus payments. Understanding this calculation is crucial for employees to appreciate how raises, bonuses, and other compensation changes might impact their pension benefits.

What forms of payment options are available to employees of Union Pacific Corporation when they choose to retire, and how do these options influence the total benefit received? Employees need detailed information on the different payment structures to make informed decisions that suit their financial needs in retirement.

Payment Options Available at Retirement: Union Pacific offers various payment options for pension benefits upon retirement. Employees can choose a lifetime annuity or opt for joint and survivor annuities, providing continued benefits to a designated beneficiary. Other options include certain annuities that guarantee payments for a set period, regardless of the employee's lifespan. These choices allow employees to tailor retirement benefits to their financial needs and family circumstances.

In what ways does Union Pacific Corporation integrate Social Security and Railroad Retirement benefits into the pension plan, and how does this integration affect the overall retirement income for employees? Employees should explore the implications of these benefits on their pensions to develop a comprehensive retirement income strategy.

Integration of Social Security and Railroad Retirement Benefits: The pension benefits are coordinated with Social Security or Railroad Retirement benefits through an offset formula in the pension plan. This integration reduces the pension benefit by a portion of the government retirement benefits projected at the time of retirement, reflecting that some of the funding for these benefits comes from Union Pacific. Employees need to understand how this interaction affects their total retirement income to plan effectively.

What strategies can employees of Union Pacific Corporation employ to maximize their pension benefits prior to retirement while adhering to IRS limits? Employees must be informed of practical steps they can take to enhance their benefits within the framework established by IRS guidelines.

Maximizing Pension Benefits: To maximize pension benefits under the IRS limits, Union Pacific employees can ensure they maximize their earnings during the final average compensation period, continue employment as long as possible to increase credited service, and make strategic decisions about retirement age and benefit commencement. Understanding the interplay of these factors with IRS contribution and benefit limits is essential for optimizing pension payouts.

How does the vesting schedule work within Union Pacific Corporation's pension plan, and what implications does this have for employees who leave the company before full vesting? An understanding of the vesting schedule is crucial for employees at Union Pacific Corporation to grasp the long-term benefits they might forfeit by leaving before they are fully vested.

Vesting Schedule: The vesting schedule is crucial as it determines an employee's entitlement to pension benefits upon leaving the company before retirement age. Union Pacific's plan requires employees to complete five years of vesting service to qualify for a vested benefit, which is payable as early as age 55. Employees considering leaving Union Pacific should be aware of how their vesting status might affect their pension entitlements.

What responsibilities do employees have to keep Union Pacific Corporation informed about their earnings records, particularly when claims for benefits arise, and what might happen if these records are not accurately reported? Employees should be aware of their duties to maintain their benefits and the potential consequences of noncompliance within the pension plan.

Responsibilities for Reporting Earnings: Employees are responsible for ensuring that Union Pacific has accurate records of their earnings to calculate pension benefits accurately. Failure to report or correct discrepancies in earnings records can lead to miscalculations in pension benefits, affecting retirement income. It's vital for employees to regularly review their earnings records and report any inaccuracies.

How does Union Pacific Corporation ensure compliance with ERISA regulations as they relate to employee retirement benefits, and what rights do employees have under these regulations? Employees of Union Pacific Corporation should familiarize themselves with their rights under ERISA to ensure they are adequately protected when claiming pension benefits.

Compliance with ERISA Regulations: Union Pacific ensures compliance with the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) regulations, which protect employees' rights to their pension benefits. Employees have specific rights under these regulations, including the right to receive information about their pension plan, appeal denials of benefits, and sue for benefits or breaches of fiduciary duty. Awareness of these rights is important for employees to safeguard their benefits.

What happens to the pension benefits of employees of Union Pacific Corporation in the event of a company merger or acquisition, and how can employees prepare for these changes? Understanding the potential impacts of organizational changes on their pension benefits can enable employees to safeguard their retirement plans.

Impact of Company Mergers or Acquisitions: In the event of a merger or acquisition, employees' pension benefits could be affected. Union Pacific's pension plan provisions include terms for handling benefits under such circumstances. Employees should be proactive in understanding how these corporate changes might impact their pension benefits and seek clarity on their rights and options.

How can employees of Union Pacific Corporation contact the Benefits Group to inquire further about the pension plan and related questions? Clear guidance on contacting the Benefits Group will assist employees in accessing the information necessary to navigate their retirement options effectively.

Contacting the Benefits Group: Employees with questions or who need assistance regarding their pension plan can contact Union Pacific's Benefits Group. Having the contact information handy ensures that employees can promptly address concerns or seek guidance about their retirement benefits, aiding in effective retirement planning.