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Revisiting the 4% Withdrawal Rule for Schneider National Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Schneider National: Schneider National primarily utilizes UnitedHealthcare as its healthcare provider for employee health benefits. UnitedHealthcare is renowned for offering a range of health insurance plans, including those that cater to commercial trucking and logistics companies through tailored healthcare solutions. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026: As we move toward 2026, Schneider National, like many employers, may face significant healthcare cost increases primarily due to anticipated premium hikes in the ACA marketplace. With some states expected to see increases over 60%, and the loss of enhanced federal premium subsidies looming, employees could experience out-of-pocket premium costs rising by as much as 75%. This alarming trend stems from escalating medical costs and the financial pressures on insurers, which may lead to tougher choices for companies in managing benefits while ensuring their workforce stays adequately covered. Click here to learn more

Saving for your retirement from Schneider National isn't always easy, but using your retirement savings wisely can be just as challenging. How much of your savings can you withdraw each year? This is an important question we often receive from many of our Schneider National clients, and understandably so — withdraw too much and you run the risk of running out of money, but withdraw too little and you may miss out on a comfortable retirement from Schneider National.

For more than 25 years, the most common guideline has been a rule known as the '4% rule.' This rule suggests that a withdrawal equal to 4% of the initial portfolio value, with annual increases for inflation, is sustainable over a 30-year retirement. This guideline can be helpful for Schneider National employees in projecting a savings goal and providing a realistic picture of the annual income that their savings might provide. For example, a $1 million portfolio could provide $40,000 of income in the first year with inflation-adjusted withdrawals in succeeding years.

The 4% rule has stimulated a great deal of discussion over the years, with some experts saying 4% is too low and others saying it's too high. Due to the speculation, we find it important for us to analyze both the original and recent research regarding the 4% rule with our clients from Schneider National. The most recent analysis happens to come from the man who invented it, financial professional William Bengen, who believes the rule has been misunderstood and offers new insights based on new research. Let's see if he's right.

Original research

Bengen first published his findings in 1994, based on analyzing data for retirements from the years 1926 to 1976 — that's 50 years of data. He considered a hypothetical, conservative portfolio comprising 50% large-cap stocks and 50% intermediate-term Treasury bonds held in a tax-advantaged account and rebalanced annually. A 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal was the highest sustainable rate in the worst-case scenario — retirement in October 1968. This was the beginning of a bear market and a long period of high inflation. All other retirement years had higher sustainable rates, some as high as 10% or more.[1]

Of course, no one can predict the future, which is why Bengen suggested the worst-case scenario as a sustainable rate. He later adjusted it slightly upward to 4.5%, based on a more diverse portfolio comprising 30% large-cap stocks, 20% small-cap stocks, and 50% intermediate-term Treasuries.[2]

New research

Now that we have an understanding of Bengen's original research, we'd like to take a look at a more recent analysis with our clients from Schneider National. In October 2020, Bengen published new research that attempts to project a sustainable withdrawal rate based on two key factors at the time of retirement: stock market valuation and inflation (annual change in the Consumer Price Index). In theory, when the market is expensive, it has less potential to grow, and sustaining increased withdrawals over time may be more difficult. On the other hand, lower inflation means lower inflation-adjusted withdrawals, allowing a higher initial rate. For example, a $40,000 first-year withdrawal becomes an $84,000 withdrawal after 20 years with a 4% annual inflation increase but just $58,000 with a 2% increase.

To measure market valuation, Bengen used the Shiller CAPE, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 index developed by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller. The price-earnings (P/E) ratio of a stock is the share price divided by its earnings per share for the previous 12 months. For example, if a stock is priced at $100 and the earnings per share is $4, the P/E ratio would be 25. The Shiller CAPE divides the total share price of stocks in the S&P 500 index by average inflation-adjusted earnings over 10 years.

5% rule?

Bengen once again used historical data, this time, for over 60 years of retirement. Analyzing retirement dates from 1926 to 1990, Bengen found a clear correlation between market valuation and inflation at the time of retirement and the maximum sustainable withdrawal rate. Historically, rates ranged from as low as 4.5% to as high as 13%, but the scenarios that supported high rates were unusual, with very low market valuations and/or deflation rather than inflation.[3]

For the majority of the last 25 years, the United States has experienced high market valuations, and inflation has been low since the Great Recession.[4-5] In a high-valuation, low-inflation scenario at the time of retirement, Bengen found that a 5% initial withdrawal rate was sustainable over 30 years.[6] While not a big difference from the 4% rule, this suggests retirees could make larger initial withdrawals, particularly in a low-inflation environment. But in a high inflation environment withdrawals should decrease.

One caveat is that current market valuation is extremely high: The S&P 500 index had a CAPE of 34.19 at the end of 2020, a level only reached (and exceeded) during the late-1990s dot-com boom and higher than any of the scenarios in Bengen's research.[7] His range for a 5% withdrawal rate is a CAPE of 23 or higher, with inflation between 0% and 2.5%.[8] (Inflation was 1.2% in November 2020.)[9] Bengen's research suggests that if market valuation drops near the historical mean of 16.77, a withdrawal rate of 6% might be sustainable as long as inflation is 5% or lower. On the other hand, if valuation remains high and inflation surpasses 2.5%, the maximum sustainable rate might be 4.5%.[10]

It's important for Schneider National employees to keep in mind that these projections are based on historical scenarios and a hypothetical portfolio, and there is no guarantee that your portfolio will perform in a similar manner. Also remember that these calculations are based on annual inflation-adjusted withdrawals, and you might choose not to increase withdrawals in some years or use other criteria to make adjustments, such as market performance.

Although there is no assurance that working with a financial professional will improve investment results, a professional can evaluate your objectives and available resources and help you consider appropriate long-term financial strategies, including your withdrawal strategy.

We'd like to remind our clients from Schneider National that all investments are subject to market fluctuation, risk, and loss of principal. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid. Asset allocation and diversification are methods used to help manage investment risk; they do not guarantee a profit or protect against investment loss. Rebalancing involves selling some investments in order to buy others; selling investments in a taxable account could result in a tax liability.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities considered representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1-2) Forbes Advisor, October 12, 2020
3-4, 6, 8, 10) Financial Advisor, October 2020
5, 9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2020
7) multpl.com, December 31, 2020

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An FLP is subject to more restrictive rules than other forms of business entities. Care must be taken to create a valid FLP in the eyes of the state and the IRS. An FLP will be recognized only if it is formed for a valid business purpose. The FLP form will be disregarded if the IRS or the state finds that it was formed solely to avoid taxes.

Some specific purposes for creating an FLP include:

To adopt a family succession plan
To simplify annual gifting by the senior generation
To minimize income, gift, and estate taxes
To protect assets from potential creditors
To protect assets from waste by heirs
To consolidate assets into a single entity
To keep the business in the family
To decrease estate and probate costs

Additionally, an FLP may own a closely held business (other than a corporation that has made an election to be taxed as an 'S' corporation), real estate, marketable securities, or almost any other investment asset. Homes, cottages, or other personal use assets are normally not suitable for an FLP.

Tips For Forming And Maintaining A Valid FLP:

Have one or more substantial nontax purposes for creating the FLP, such as asset protection
Keep good records
Create the FLP while you're still in good health
Observe all legal formalities when creating the FLP and while operating the business
Hire an independent appraiser to value assets going into the FLP
Transfer legal title of assets going into the FLP
Put only business assets into the FLP — don't put any personal assets into the FLP
If you do put personal assets into the FLP, such as your home, pay fair market rent for their use
Don't commingle FLP assets and personal assets — keep them separate
Never use FLP assets for personal purposes
Keep enough assets outside the FLP to pay for personal expenses
Distribute income to partners pro rata

What are the eligibility criteria for employees to participate in the Schneider Electric pension plan, and how do these criteria vary for salaried and hourly employees of Schneider Electric? In your answer, please elaborate on the implications of the different eligibility dates and any exceptions that may apply, such as coverage under collective bargaining agreements or participation in other retirement plans maintained by Schneider Electric.

Salaried and Hourly Employees: Eligible employees include those hired before January 1, 2006. Salaried employees become plan members the January 1 after joining the company if they are scheduled to work at least 17.5 hours per week, or if working less but completing 1,000 hours in a year. Hourly employees become members upon completing one hour of service. Exceptions: Employees hired or rehired after December 31, 2005, those covered under a collective bargaining agreement unless specified otherwise, and employees currently accruing benefits under another qualified company plan are ineligible.

How does the Schneider Electric pension plan calculate the monthly retirement benefit for participants, and what factors contribute to the final benefit amount? Discuss the importance of years of service, salary history, and the effect of any early or late retirement provisions on the final pension benefit.

The pension benefit for salaried employees is calculated using a formula considering years of benefit service, average monthly compensation, and covered compensation as of December 31, 2009. The benefit depends on the retirement age, chosen benefit payment form, and if benefits are received under another company plan. For hourly employees, the pension benefit is determined by the years of benefit service as of December 31, 2009, and a pension rate effective at that time.

What options are available for employees of Schneider Electric regarding spousal benefits under the pension plan, particularly if a participant passes away before or after retirement? In answering this question, detail how these options could affect survivors' financial stability and the importance of proper beneficiary designations during an employee's tenure at Schneider Electric.

Pre-Retirement: If an employee dies before pension payments start, the surviving spouse may receive a monthly death benefit at the employee’s normal retirement date, with payments potentially starting as early as the employee's 55th birthday. Post-Retirement: Joint and survivor annuity options are available, which provide continuing income to the spouse after the participant's death. The benefit amount is adjusted based on the selected payment option.

What procedures must be followed by Schneider Electric employees to initiate the retirement process and apply for pension benefits? Include in your discussion the timeframes and eligibility requirements for different retirement options, and highlight the consequences of failing to comply with these processes.

Employees must actively apply for pension benefits through the Schneider Electric Retiree Benefits Center. The application should be made close to the retirement date but no later than 90 days prior. The process includes choosing a payment method and, if applicable, obtaining spousal consent for certain payment options.

How does Schneider Electric ensure that benefits under its pension plan comply with the regulations set forth in ERISA, and what protections are offered to plan participants regarding benefit entitlement? Discuss the implications of these regulations and how they safeguard the interests of Schneider Electric employees.

The plan is designed to comply with the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA), offering protections like vesting rights and fiduciary standards to ensure benefit security. Participants are entitled to a fair process for benefit claims and appeals.

What steps can Schneider Electric employees take if their claim for pension benefits is denied, and what rights do they have under ERISA to appeal such denials? Explain the importance of understanding the claims review process and the role that documentation plays in successfully navigating benefits disputes.

If a pension claim is denied, participants can appeal the decision by following the process outlined in the plan document, which includes a review and potentially an adjustment of the claim.

How does the Schneider Electric pension plan handle the calculation of benefits for employees who were re-hired after a break in service? In addressing this question, explore the effect of prior service on future benefits and the rules governing vesting and accrual for these employees as stated in the plan.

Re-hired employees retain their previously earned benefits as of December 31, 2009, but they do not accrue additional benefits. If re-hired after a break and not fully vested, previous service may count towards vesting upon return, depending on the duration of the break in service.

What is the significance of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) in the context of Schneider Electric's pension plan, and how does it provide an additional layer of security for employeesâ€™ retirement benefits? Discuss how the PBGC's involvement affects participantsâ€™ perceptions of the safety and reliability of their pension benefits.

PBGC provides an insurance backstop that guarantees continuous payment of earned pension benefits up to legal limits in the event the plan fails financially, enhancing the security of the pension for employees.

What considerations must employees of Schneider Electric keep in mind when planning for early retirement, especially concerning the benefit reduction factors that apply? Elaborate on how consistent planning and understanding of these factors can influence an employeeâ€™s financial readiness for retirement.

Employees can elect early retirement beginning at age 55 with at least 10 years of vesting service. However, benefits are reduced based on how early the retirement starts relative to the normal retirement age.

How can Schneider Electric employees contact the company to obtain more information about the pension plan and retirement benefits? Detail the available resources, including specific contact numbers and web links, ensuring that employees know where to direct their inquiries regarding the Schneider Electric pension plan.

Employees can contact the Schneider Electric Retiree Benefits Center at 1-800-964-8843 for information about their pension plan and benefits, or access details online at the provided portal.