New Update: Healthcare Costs Increasing by Over 60% in Some States. Will you be impacted?

Revisiting the 4% Withdrawal Rule for Southwest Gas Holdings Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Southwest Gas Holdings Southwest Gas Holdings provides healthcare benefits through a variety of insurers, primarily utilizing Aetna for their healthcare plans. This partnership enables employees to access a broad network of healthcare services. Expected Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 As we approach 2026, healthcare costs are anticipated to soar, significantly impacting those affiliated with Southwest Gas Holdings. This expected surge stems from factors such as the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies for Affordable Care Act (ACA) plans, which could lead to a staggering increase of over 75% in out-of-pocket premiums for many enrollees. Moreover, aggressive rate hikes from major insurers, combined with rising medical costs, suggest that employees and retirees may face a challenging financial landscape in the coming year. Proactive management of health benefits and planning will be crucial for individuals navigating these increasing costs. Click here to learn more

Saving for your retirement from Southwest Gas Holdings isn't always easy, but using your retirement savings wisely can be just as challenging. How much of your savings can you withdraw each year? This is an important question we often receive from many of our Southwest Gas Holdings clients, and understandably so — withdraw too much and you run the risk of running out of money, but withdraw too little and you may miss out on a comfortable retirement from Southwest Gas Holdings.

For more than 25 years, the most common guideline has been a rule known as the '4% rule.' This rule suggests that a withdrawal equal to 4% of the initial portfolio value, with annual increases for inflation, is sustainable over a 30-year retirement. This guideline can be helpful for Southwest Gas Holdings employees in projecting a savings goal and providing a realistic picture of the annual income that their savings might provide. For example, a $1 million portfolio could provide $40,000 of income in the first year with inflation-adjusted withdrawals in succeeding years.

The 4% rule has stimulated a great deal of discussion over the years, with some experts saying 4% is too low and others saying it's too high. Due to the speculation, we find it important for us to analyze both the original and recent research regarding the 4% rule with our clients from Southwest Gas Holdings. The most recent analysis happens to come from the man who invented it, financial professional William Bengen, who believes the rule has been misunderstood and offers new insights based on new research. Let's see if he's right.

Original research

Bengen first published his findings in 1994, based on analyzing data for retirements from the years 1926 to 1976 — that's 50 years of data. He considered a hypothetical, conservative portfolio comprising 50% large-cap stocks and 50% intermediate-term Treasury bonds held in a tax-advantaged account and rebalanced annually. A 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawal was the highest sustainable rate in the worst-case scenario — retirement in October 1968. This was the beginning of a bear market and a long period of high inflation. All other retirement years had higher sustainable rates, some as high as 10% or more.[1]

Of course, no one can predict the future, which is why Bengen suggested the worst-case scenario as a sustainable rate. He later adjusted it slightly upward to 4.5%, based on a more diverse portfolio comprising 30% large-cap stocks, 20% small-cap stocks, and 50% intermediate-term Treasuries.[2]

New research

Now that we have an understanding of Bengen's original research, we'd like to take a look at a more recent analysis with our clients from Southwest Gas Holdings. In October 2020, Bengen published new research that attempts to project a sustainable withdrawal rate based on two key factors at the time of retirement: stock market valuation and inflation (annual change in the Consumer Price Index). In theory, when the market is expensive, it has less potential to grow, and sustaining increased withdrawals over time may be more difficult. On the other hand, lower inflation means lower inflation-adjusted withdrawals, allowing a higher initial rate. For example, a $40,000 first-year withdrawal becomes an $84,000 withdrawal after 20 years with a 4% annual inflation increase but just $58,000 with a 2% increase.

To measure market valuation, Bengen used the Shiller CAPE, the cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio for the S&P 500 index developed by Nobel laureate Robert Shiller. The price-earnings (P/E) ratio of a stock is the share price divided by its earnings per share for the previous 12 months. For example, if a stock is priced at $100 and the earnings per share is $4, the P/E ratio would be 25. The Shiller CAPE divides the total share price of stocks in the S&P 500 index by average inflation-adjusted earnings over 10 years.

5% rule?

Bengen once again used historical data, this time, for over 60 years of retirement. Analyzing retirement dates from 1926 to 1990, Bengen found a clear correlation between market valuation and inflation at the time of retirement and the maximum sustainable withdrawal rate. Historically, rates ranged from as low as 4.5% to as high as 13%, but the scenarios that supported high rates were unusual, with very low market valuations and/or deflation rather than inflation.[3]

For the majority of the last 25 years, the United States has experienced high market valuations, and inflation has been low since the Great Recession.[4-5] In a high-valuation, low-inflation scenario at the time of retirement, Bengen found that a 5% initial withdrawal rate was sustainable over 30 years.[6] While not a big difference from the 4% rule, this suggests retirees could make larger initial withdrawals, particularly in a low-inflation environment. But in a high inflation environment withdrawals should decrease.

One caveat is that current market valuation is extremely high: The S&P 500 index had a CAPE of 34.19 at the end of 2020, a level only reached (and exceeded) during the late-1990s dot-com boom and higher than any of the scenarios in Bengen's research.[7] His range for a 5% withdrawal rate is a CAPE of 23 or higher, with inflation between 0% and 2.5%.[8] (Inflation was 1.2% in November 2020.)[9] Bengen's research suggests that if market valuation drops near the historical mean of 16.77, a withdrawal rate of 6% might be sustainable as long as inflation is 5% or lower. On the other hand, if valuation remains high and inflation surpasses 2.5%, the maximum sustainable rate might be 4.5%.[10]

It's important for Southwest Gas Holdings employees to keep in mind that these projections are based on historical scenarios and a hypothetical portfolio, and there is no guarantee that your portfolio will perform in a similar manner. Also remember that these calculations are based on annual inflation-adjusted withdrawals, and you might choose not to increase withdrawals in some years or use other criteria to make adjustments, such as market performance.

Although there is no assurance that working with a financial professional will improve investment results, a professional can evaluate your objectives and available resources and help you consider appropriate long-term financial strategies, including your withdrawal strategy.

We'd like to remind our clients from Southwest Gas Holdings that all investments are subject to market fluctuation, risk, and loss of principal. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. U.S. Treasury securities are guaranteed by the federal government as to the timely payment of principal and interest. The principal value of Treasury securities fluctuates with market conditions. If not held to maturity, they could be worth more or less than the original amount paid. Asset allocation and diversification are methods used to help manage investment risk; they do not guarantee a profit or protect against investment loss. Rebalancing involves selling some investments in order to buy others; selling investments in a taxable account could result in a tax liability.

The S&P 500 index is an unmanaged group of securities considered representative of the U.S. stock market in general. The performance of an unmanaged index is not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Individuals cannot invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Actual results will vary.

1-2) Forbes Advisor, October 12, 2020
3-4, 6, 8, 10) Financial Advisor, October 2020
5, 9) U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2020
7) multpl.com, December 31, 2020

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Flps Must Comply With State Law and IRS Requirements

An FLP is subject to more restrictive rules than other forms of business entities. Care must be taken to create a valid FLP in the eyes of the state and the IRS. An FLP will be recognized only if it is formed for a valid business purpose. The FLP form will be disregarded if the IRS or the state finds that it was formed solely to avoid taxes.

Some specific purposes for creating an FLP include:

To adopt a family succession plan
To simplify annual gifting by the senior generation
To minimize income, gift, and estate taxes
To protect assets from potential creditors
To protect assets from waste by heirs
To consolidate assets into a single entity
To keep the business in the family
To decrease estate and probate costs

Additionally, an FLP may own a closely held business (other than a corporation that has made an election to be taxed as an 'S' corporation), real estate, marketable securities, or almost any other investment asset. Homes, cottages, or other personal use assets are normally not suitable for an FLP.

Tips For Forming And Maintaining A Valid FLP:

Have one or more substantial nontax purposes for creating the FLP, such as asset protection
Keep good records
Create the FLP while you're still in good health
Observe all legal formalities when creating the FLP and while operating the business
Hire an independent appraiser to value assets going into the FLP
Transfer legal title of assets going into the FLP
Put only business assets into the FLP — don't put any personal assets into the FLP
If you do put personal assets into the FLP, such as your home, pay fair market rent for their use
Don't commingle FLP assets and personal assets — keep them separate
Never use FLP assets for personal purposes
Keep enough assets outside the FLP to pay for personal expenses
Distribute income to partners pro rata

How does the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan accommodate changes in benefits for employees who have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, and what specific provisions have been implemented to ensure continuity of pension credit during such interruptions? Employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan are particularly encouraged to review how these provisions may impact their retirement plans and benefits, especially given the unprecedented circumstances of the pandemic.

The Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan accommodated changes due to COVID-19 by extending various deadlines for participants, such as the 12-month deadline to apply for pension credit for periods of disability, and other deadlines regarding claims and appeals. These extensions were applied from March 1, 2020, to a period of up to one year after the original deadline or 60 days after the end of the COVID-19 national emergency, ensuring continuity of pension credit during the pandemic interruptions(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What enhancements to pension benefit calculations have been introduced for the years following January 1, 2021, under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, and how do these changes affect participants working more than 1,800 hours? This question emphasizes the implications of increased benefit accrual rates and the actual processes employees must follow to calculate their pensions effectively.

Enhancements to pension benefit calculations effective January 1, 2021, under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan include an increase in the monthly benefit accrual rate for participants working 1,800 hours or more. The rate increased from $100 to $200, and for those working more than 1,800 hours, a maximum benefit accrual rate of $244.44 was introduced(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

In the context of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, could you explain the eligibility criteria for receiving a Service Pension and how employees can accumulate the necessary Pension Credits more quickly? This consideration is vital for members who wish to understand the retirement options available to them and the strategies they might employ in their careers to maximize their benefits under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan.

Employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan are eligible for a Service Pension after earning 30 years of Pension Credit. Additional Service Pension Eligibility Credit was introduced, allowing employees working over 1,800 hours annually to accumulate credits more quickly, up to a maximum of 2,200 hours(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

How do temporary disability benefits interact with the accumulation of Pension Credits within the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan? Specifically, employees may have questions about how their working history and service time might be affected should they take leave for health-related reasons, highlighting the intricate balance between pay and benefits during challenging times.

Temporary disability benefits under the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan allow participants to accumulate Pension Credits during non-working periods if they are on short-term disability or receiving workers' compensation. Pension Credits can be granted for up to 1,200 hours annually, depending on the nature of the disability and employment history(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What are the implications of the revised definitions under the Required Beginning Date as specified by the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, particularly in compliance with the SECURE Act (Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act)? Employees should understand how these legislative changes affect their retirement strategies, especially in light of penalties for failing to comply with mandatory commencement dates.

The Required Beginning Date for the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan was revised to comply with the SECURE Act. Participants born on or after July 1, 1949, must begin receiving benefits by April 1 of the calendar year following the year they turn 72. Failure to comply with this could result in a 50% excise tax(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

How can employees of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan navigate the process for applying for pension credit during periods of Temporary Disability, and what specific documentation is required? This inquiry encourages a deeper understanding of protocol surrounding disability applications and the associated benefits that participants are entitled to under the Plan.

Employees applying for pension credit during periods of Temporary Disability must submit a written application within one year of the onset of the disability, and provide documentation such as state-approved short-term disability certification or workers' compensation benefits(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What are the implications of the retroactive increases to the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan benefits aimed at participants who accrued credit during the years 2011 to 2020, and how can affected employees determine their eligibility for said increases? Employees often seek clarification on how historical contributions can manifest in current benefits.

Retroactive increases to the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan benefits for the years 2011 to 2020 apply to participants who worked at least 1,000 hours in 2020 or under specific collective bargaining agreements. A 50% increase in benefit accrual rates was applied to these years, and eligible employees can determine their eligibility based on their hours worked(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

What role does the Southwest Carpenters Administrative Office play in assisting employees who have questions regarding modifiability in their pension plans, and what are the best methods for contacting them for assistance? This question highlights the importance of communication within the organization concerning employee inquiries and issue resolution.

The Southwest Carpenters Administrative Office assists employees with questions regarding modifications to their pension plans. Participants can contact them at (213) 386-8590 or (800) 293-1370 for personalized assistance(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

Can you detail the factors influencing the Benefit Accrual Rate for participants of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan for the calendar years after 2021, and how might employees calculate their expected pension benefits? Participants will want to understand the nuances of how their benefits are computed to make informed decisions regarding their retirement planning.

The Benefit Accrual Rate for participants of the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan after 2021 increased to $200 for 1,800 hours worked, with higher accrual rates for additional hours. Employees can calculate their benefits by multiplying their benefit accrual rate by the applicable benefit factor(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).

In the event of legal actions regarding benefits under ERISA against the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan, what venue restrictions apply, and what does this mean for participants seeking resolution in disputes? Employees need to be informed of the legal frameworks governing their benefits and understand their rights and the procedures that affect their claims within the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan.

Legal actions regarding benefits under ERISA against the Southwest Carpenters Pension Plan must be filed in Federal District Court in Los Angeles County, California. This venue restriction defines the jurisdiction where participants must file claims(Southwest Carpenters Pe…).