The volatility of recent markets forces us to remind ConocoPhillips employees to be proactive about portfolio management,' says Michael Corgiat, a financial expert with the Retirement Group. Regular portfolio reviews and rebalancing could protect retirement savings against sudden market downturns and help you stay on track with your long-term financial goals,' he added.
With all the volatility in the markets, ConocoPhillips employees need to create a resilient investment strategy, says Brent Wolf of the Retirement Group. A diversified portfolio that can ride economic cycles is essential for retirement financial security,' said Dr.
In this article we will discuss:
1. Market Volatility and Retirement Savings: Market fluctuations and how they affect retirement income challenge retirees. Factors
2. driving Market Volatility in 2021 & 2022: Exploring how the pandemic, economic policies and global events shaped market
3. changes. Strategies for Investors During Volatility: Advice on diversification and holding investment strategies during turbulent times.
Several studies suggest that extreme market volatility may be especially difficult for retirees or those approaching retirement age to recover from possible losses. According to a report in October 2021 from Fidelity Investments, market volatility could wipe out retirement savings of up to 26% for those in their 60s. That underscores the need for a diversified investment portfolio and a solid retirement plan that reflects possible market volatility.
During the extremely volatile first 100 trading days of 2022, the constituent equities of the S&P 500 continued to fall, and the benchmark index entered a bear market on June 13, 2022 - a decline of at least 20% in stock prices. The S&P 500 was down 21.8% from its January 3 peak and the tech-heavy NASDAQ, already in bear territory, was down 32.7% from its November 19, 2021 zenith.
Some investors nervous about the future of their portfolios seem to have gone defensive and sold riskier assets like growth-oriented technology stocks.
What drives market volatility? In 2021, companies throughout the US, including ConocoPhillips, dealt with unpredictable demand shifts and supply shocks from the pandemic. Near zero interest rates and trillions in pandemic relief bolstered consumer spending, economic growth and record corporate profits. Profits from S&P 500 companies in 2021 were 75% higher than in 2020 and 33% higher than in 2019 - a nearly 29% total market return. (3-4)
In early 2022, however, investors feared that a planned loosening of monetary policy - meant to cool stubbornly high inflation - would choke economic growth and cause a recession. Demand, supply-chain issues and a labor shortage in the spring of 2021 drove prices up and wages went up. China's COVID-19 lockdowns impacted product supplies in the first quarter of 2022 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine pushed already high world food and fuel prices skyrocketing. May 2022 saw the fastest annual rate of increase in forty years, 8.6% (5).
The seemingly unstoppable acceleration of price increases puts pressure on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which meets June 14 and 15, to act aggressively against inflation. In May, the federal Open Market Committee raised the benchmark Federal funds rate by 0.5% (from 0.75-1.0%). That's the first half-percent increase since May 2000 and Fed forecasters expect more. (6)
High interest rate bond yields rise and higher returns from lower-risk bond investments make higher-risk stock investments less attractive. Stock investors also buy a component of a company's future cash flows that lose value in an inflationary environment. Higher financing costs may also depress the purchasing power of consumers and profits of debt-intensive businesses.
The downside of domination The S&P Information Technology Sector Index has fallen 29.2% more than the S&P 500 as a whole from its January 3 peak. Also, like most benchmarks, the S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization - the value of a company's outstanding shares. This gives the largest companies - mostly technology - a disproportionate drag on index performance. As at May 31 the information technology sector had 27.1% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500, followed by 14.4% for health care and 11.2% for financials, the next two largest sectors. The four most valuable companies are Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet & Amazon; Nvidia is ranked ninth while Meta dropped to 11. (7)
The past few years saw tech stock gains lift the market. However, falling share prices of these companies dragged down broader stock indexes. In analyzing market data through May 17, just eight of the largest U.S. companies accounted for 46% of the 2022 losses (total return) of the S&P 500. (8)
Those famous technology companies have grown into huge multinational corporations affecting every day life. Some companies are so dominant in their fields - social media, smartphones, online search and advertising, e-commerce and cloud computing - that antitrust investigations and calls for tougher rules have been made in the US and abroad. And they do have plenty of cash on board to help them weather an economic slowdown better than their smaller rivals (8).
Takeaways for investors Stocks are often spread across the eleven S&P 500 sectors. Yet a once-diversified stock portfolio can become overly concentrated in a sector that has outperformed the market as a whole over time. TECH-sector equities posted huge total returns of about 50% for 2019, 44% for 2020 and 35% for 2021; therefore, some ConocoPhillips employees and retirees may wish to rebalance if they are overexposed to this volatile sector. This involves selling some investments to buy others. Remember that the sale of investments from a taxable account may be taxed. (10)
Should you feel lost after more than five months of market volatility? our ConocoPhillips clients should get perspective. Several market analysts see recent price declines as a painful but long overdue repricing of equities at overpriced valuations and a reality check from dwindling growth expectations. That ratio of forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of S&P 500 companies fell from 23.3 at the end of 2021 to 17.8 in May 2022, closer to the 10-year average of 16.9.11-12.
It could be some time before investors can assess how the economy and corporate profits will fare with rising inflation and higher borrowing costs - and the stock market does not like uncertainty. Downward economic data and company earnings reports could fuel volatility in the months to come.
If you have a sufficiently diversified, all-weather investment strategy, sticking with it is often the best course of action amid grim headlines. When the market goes down, panic and leave it - you can't profit from its upswings. And if you still invest regularly to fund a long-term goal like retirement, a market decline could let you buy additional shares at a discount.
Stocks' return and principal value vary depending on market conditions. If sold, shares might fetch more or less than their original price. Investments that seek greater return usually involve greater risk. We recommend diversification as a risk management technique to our ConocoPhillips clients. But that does not mean diversification guarantees a profit or protects against investment loss for ConocoPhillips employees. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of stocks representative of the U.S. stock market in general. An unmanaged index does not represent any investment performance.
No one can own an index directly. The past does not predict future performance. The real results will differ. Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee or prevent a profit or loss. These programs involve ongoing investments in securities irrespective of price movements. ConocoPhillips employees and retirees should ask themselves whether they can afford to keep buying during low and high prices. But this may be a good way for investors to get shares to fund long-term goals.
A stock market investment is like planting a tree in your backyard. Just as you choose the location, type of tree, and soil conditions for your tree, you choose your investment strategy, stocks, and market conditions. And you also need to water and fertilize your investment just as you would your tree. With patience and an investment that grows over time, you can enjoy a healthy tree that produces shade and fruit for many years to come, just as your investment can provide retirement for you and your family.
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Sources:
1. 'Market Volatility - Fidelity Can Help.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/misc/buffers/market-volatility.shtml .
2. Lannan, Kelly. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Business Wire , 2021, www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211011005389/en/Fidelity%C2%AE-Q3-2021-Retirement-Analysis-Retirement-Savers-%E2%80%9CStay-the-Course%E2%80%9D-in-Spite-of-Stock-Market-Swings-and-Ongoing-Economic-Uncertainty .
3. Barry, Kevin. '401k Savers 'Stay the Course' Despite Market Volatility.' 401k Specialist Magazine , 2022, www.401kspecialistmag.com/401k-savers-stay-the-course-despite-market-volatility/ .
4. 'Retiring in a Recession, Downturn, or Period of Market Volatility? Things to Consider.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/retiring-in-a-recession .
5. 'Fidelity® Q3 2021 Retirement Analysis: Retirement Savers 'Stay the Course' in Spite of Stock Market Swings and Ongoing Economic Uncertainty.' Fidelity Investments , 2021, www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/q3-2021-retirement-analysis .
How does the retirement process at ConocoPhillips provide guidance to employees in selecting the most beneficial form of payment? In what ways can employees utilize available resources to maximize their understanding of the pension options offered by ConocoPhillips?
The retirement process at ConocoPhillips provides employees with various resources to guide them in selecting the most beneficial form of pension payment. Employees can access the "How to Choose the Best Form of Payment" link on Your Benefits Resources™ (YBR) to learn more about their options and determine what works best for their financial situation(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
What steps must be completed by employees at ConocoPhillips to ensure they initiate their retirement process accurately and avoid any delays? How crucial is the timing of these steps in determining the Benefit Commencement Date (BCD)?
Employees at ConocoPhillips must initiate the retirement process by requesting their pension paperwork 60-90 days before their Benefit Commencement Date (BCD). Timing is crucial, as missing deadlines may delay the BCD and associated payments. Completing all steps on time ensures that the retirement process flows smoothly(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
Given the complexities associated with the lump-sum pension payment option at ConocoPhillips, what considerations should employees take into account before electing this choice? How does the current interest rate at the Benefit Commencement Date impact the lump-sum amount?
Before electing a lump-sum pension payment, ConocoPhillips employees should consider the current interest rate at their BCD, as it directly affects the lump-sum amount. A higher interest rate typically reduces the lump-sum payment, making timing and rate awareness critical(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
In what ways can ConocoPhillips employees ensure their Pension Election Authorization form is completed correctly to facilitate timely pension payments? What are the implications of not adhering to the required notarized consent for married participants?
Ensuring the correct completion of the Pension Election Authorization form is vital for timely pension payments. For married participants, notarized spousal consent is required, and failure to provide this could result in delays or issues with payment processing(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
How does choosing direct deposit for pension payments at ConocoPhillips streamline the retirement process for employees? What should employees know about setup and changes regarding direct deposit after initiating their pension benefits?
Choosing direct deposit for pension payments simplifies the process for employees at ConocoPhillips, as it enables automatic payments to their bank account. Employees can set up direct deposit during their retirement process or update it at a later time(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
For employees considering rolling over their lump-sum pension payment from ConocoPhillips, what procedures should they follow to ensure compliance with IRS regulations and to avoid tax penalties? How can effective planning influence the success of this rollover?
Employees electing to roll over their lump-sum pension payment must follow specific IRS regulations to avoid tax penalties. Effective planning, such as obtaining rollover paperwork and adhering to IRS rules, ensures compliance and smooth fund transfer(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
What resources does ConocoPhillips provide for employees to calculate and project their retirement income? How can these tools empower employees to make informed decisions regarding their future financial security?
ConocoPhillips provides employees with tools such as the "Project Retirement Income" feature on YBR, empowering them to calculate and project their retirement income. These resources help employees make informed decisions about their financial future(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
How do deadlines play a pivotal role in the benefits process for retiring employees at ConocoPhillips, and what specific dates must be adhered to in order to avoid payment delays? Can you provide examples of consequences resulting from missed deadlines?
Deadlines are critical in ConocoPhillips' retirement process, as missing them can delay pension payments. For example, requesting pension paperwork after the 15th of the month can delay the BCD by a month, affecting the pension payout date(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
What are the added advantages for employees at ConocoPhillips who actively seek assistance or information from the Benefits Center during their retirement planning? How can this proactive approach enhance their overall retirement experience?
Employees who seek assistance from the Benefits Center during their retirement planning benefit from personalized guidance. This proactive approach ensures that they fully understand their options and deadlines, enhancing their overall retirement experience(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).
How can employees at ConocoPhillips contact the Benefits Center to receive personalized assistance in navigating their retirement options? What specific resources and support can they expect when reaching out for help?
ConocoPhillips employees can contact the Benefits Center by calling 800-622-5501 or accessing YBR online. The Benefits Center provides personalized assistance and guidance, helping employees navigate their pension options effectively(ConocoPhillips_Your_Ret…).