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Navigating Sequence Risk in Retirement: Lessons and Strategies for Nordstrom Employees

Healthcare Provider Update: Healthcare Provider for Nordstrom For its healthcare needs, Nordstrom partners primarily with Aetna, Premera, and Kaiser Permanente to provide health insurance plans to its employees. Each of these insurers offers various options, including high-deductible plans accompanied by Health Savings Accounts (HSAs), allowing employees to manage their healthcare expenses more effectively. Potential Healthcare Cost Increases in 2026 In 2026, healthcare costs for Nordstrom employees may see significant increases due to projected hikes in Affordable Care Act (ACA) premiums. Many states are anticipating rate increases of over 20%, with places like New York facing hikes exceeding 66%. The expiration of enhanced ACA subsidies will exacerbate these financial pressures, with projections suggesting that more than 22 million enrolled individuals could see their premiums surge by over 75%. This perfect storm of rising medical costs and subsidy losses will require employees to prepare for a substantial rise in their out-of-pocket healthcare expenses. Click here to learn more

'Nordstrom employees approaching retirement should recognize that the sequence of market returns in their early years can influence the longevity of their income far more than the average return itself, making disciplined withdrawal strategies and diversified income planning essential.' – Brent Wolf, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

'Nordstrom employees nearing retirement can benefit from understanding how market downturns early in retirement may have lasting effects, and from adopting flexible, research-based withdrawal and allocation strategies to help sustain their income over time.' – Paul Bergeron, a representative of The Retirement Group, a division of Wealth Enhancement.

In this article we will discuss:

Historical examples of sequence-of-returns risk and their effects on retirement income.
Why the first years of retirement are most critical for portfolio sustainability.
Research‑backed strategies for managing sequence risk and supporting long‑term retirement goals.

Contributed by Paul Bergeron and Brent Wolf of Wealth Enhancement

For Fortune 500 employees approaching retirement, recognizing the timing of returns—not just the average return—can be critical to keeping income going over the long term. This concept, known as sequence-of‑returns risk, shows how poor early market performance in retirement can have a lasting impact on a withdrawal plan, even if long-term averages seem strong. Historical market data provides clear examples of this risk and offers practical methods for responding to it.

Historical examples of sequence risk

Fortune 500 retirees entering retirement during tough market cycles face situations similar to the declines seen in the late 1960s, when the market hit two bear markets (1968–70 and 1973–74) alongside high inflation. The S&P 500 dropped roughly 48% during the 1973–74 bear market, compounding inflation-related difficulties. ¹ Likewise, those retiring in 2000 endured two severe bear markets in the decade, while 2022 proved one of the toughest years for balanced portfolios, with sharp drops in both U.S. stocks and high-quality bonds.

Why the early years matter most

For a Fortune 500 retiree, significant losses in the first five to ten years of retirement—combined with regular withdrawals—can shrink the number of shares left to rebound when markets recover. Academic studies and industry research repeatedly show that even with the same average return, the order of gains and losses plays a huge role in retirement outcomes.

Research-backed strategies to manage sequence risk

One effective method for Fortune 500 retirees is keeping a mix of asset types to help weather downturns. Cash and bonds can act as “shock absorbers” for immediate expenses, reducing the need to sell stocks during market dips. Flexible withdrawal approaches—such as adjusting withdrawals within set guardrails—have been shown to support portfolio longevity better than fixed-dollar withdrawal methods.

Staging risk in a retirement portfolio—by holding one to two years of expenses in cash-like assets and several years in short‑ to intermediate‑term bonds—may give equities time to recover before they're tapped for income. For some Fortune 500 retirees, delaying income sources like Social Security can help raise total lifetime income and lessen the need to tap investments during volatile times. Thoughtful rebalancing and managing tax lots, especially during downturns, can also help maintain equity exposure and extend portfolio lifespan.

Implications for retirement planning

While higher stock allocations may offer greater long-term growth potential, they also increase sequence risk in early retirement for Fortune 500 workers. Historically, balanced portfolios—often with 30% to 50% equities for income-focused funds—have supported more resilient initial withdrawal rates compared to all-stock strategies. ² Strong early-market results can set up long-term success, but disciplined spending limits, guardrails, and rebalancing remain key.

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Sources:

1.The New York Times. ' What Happens When Stock Markets Become Bears ,' by William Davis, Karl Russell, and Stephen Gandel. 13 June 2022.

2. Vanguard UK. ' Sustainable Spending Rates in Turbulent Markets ,' by Daga, Ankul, et al. Mar. 2021, pp. 1–7.

Other Resources:

1. Guyton, Jonathan T., and William J. Klinger. “ Decision Rules and Maximum Initial Withdrawal Rates .” Journal of Financial Planning , vol. 19, no. 3, Mar. 2006, pp. 48–50, 52–54, 56–58. Financial Planning Association.

2. “ Timeline of U.S. Stock Market Crashes .” Investopedia , 30 Oct. 2024, section “The 1973–74 Oil Crisis Bear Market.”

3. ' When to Start Receiving Retirement Benefits. ' Social Security Administration, Pub. No. 05-10147, May 2024, pp. 1–2.

4. Arnott, Amy C., CFA, and Ivanna Hampton. “ Why More Diversification Doesn’t Mean Better Returns .” Morningstar , 7 June 2024.

What is the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

The Nordstrom 401(k) plan is a retirement savings plan that allows eligible employees to save for their future by contributing a portion of their earnings before taxes.

How can I enroll in the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

You can enroll in the Nordstrom 401(k) plan by accessing the employee benefits portal or contacting the HR department for guidance on the enrollment process.

What is the employer match for the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

Nordstrom offers a matching contribution to your 401(k) plan, which typically matches a percentage of your contributions up to a certain limit, helping you save more for retirement.

When can I start contributing to the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

Eligible employees can start contributing to the Nordstrom 401(k) plan after completing a specified waiting period, usually within the first few months of employment.

What types of investments are available in the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

The Nordstrom 401(k) plan offers a variety of investment options, including mutual funds, stocks, and bonds, allowing employees to choose investments that align with their retirement goals.

Can I change my contribution rate for the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

Yes, you can change your contribution rate for the Nordstrom 401(k) plan at any time, subject to certain limits and guidelines set by the plan.

Is there a vesting schedule for Nordstrom's 401(k) matching contributions?

Yes, Nordstrom has a vesting schedule for its matching contributions, meaning that you must work for the company for a certain period before you fully own the employer contributions.

What happens to my Nordstrom 401(k) plan if I leave the company?

If you leave Nordstrom, you can choose to roll over your 401(k) balance to another retirement account, cash it out (subject to taxes and penalties), or leave it in the Nordstrom plan if eligible.

Can I take a loan from my Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

Yes, Nordstrom allows employees to take loans from their 401(k) plan, subject to certain terms and conditions outlined in the plan documents.

Are there hardship withdrawal options available in the Nordstrom 401(k) plan?

Yes, Nordstrom offers hardship withdrawal options for employees facing financial difficulties, allowing access to funds under specific circumstances defined by the plan.

With the current political climate we are in it is important to keep up with current news and remain knowledgeable about your benefits.

Name of Pension Plan: Nordstrom offers a defined benefit pension plan named the Nordstrom Retirement Plan. Years of Service and Age Qualification: Employees are eligible for the Nordstrom Retirement Plan after 5 years of service, and they must be at least 55 years old to start receiving benefits. Pension Formula: The pension benefits are calculated based on years of service and average salary. Specific formulas and details are outlined in the plan document. Name of 401(k) Plan: The 401(k) plan offered by Nordstrom is named the Nordstrom 401(k) Savings Plan. Qualification for 401(k) Plan: Employees are eligible to participate in the Nordstrom 401(k) Savings Plan from their first day of employment. Company Match: Nordstrom provides a company match up to a certain percentage of the employee’s contributions.

Restructuring and Layoffs: In 2023, Nordstrom announced a restructuring plan aimed at streamlining its operations and improving profitability. This included a significant reduction in workforce, with several hundred employees being laid off as part of a broader strategy to reduce costs and enhance efficiency. The company stated that these changes were essential to adapt to shifting market conditions and consumer behavior. 2. Changes to Benefits and Pension Plans: In response to economic pressures, Nordstrom has made adjustments to its employee benefits and pension plans. The company has introduced changes to its 401(k) matching contributions, reducing the amount of company contributions to employee retirement accounts. Additionally, modifications were made to health benefits to control costs, affecting the coverage levels and out-of-pocket expenses for employees.**

Nordstrom offers stock options and RSUs as part of its employee compensation package. These benefits are available to various levels of employees, often including executives and key staff members. Stock options at Nordstrom give employees the right to purchase shares at a set price, while RSUs are company shares granted to employees after meeting certain conditions.

2022-2023: Nordstrom updated its healthcare plans to include enhanced mental health services and telehealth options. They also introduced flexible spending accounts (FSAs) and health savings accounts (HSAs) to provide more financial flexibility for employees. 2024: There have been announcements of new partnerships with healthcare providers to improve access to quality care and reduce costs for employees. Nordstrom is focusing on preventive care and wellness programs.